estimates: run 196 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (178 runs, generated 2026-08-19T13:42:23Z)
24+## Current state (179 runs, generated 2026-08-19T15:24:32Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9326 | 0.0033 | 1424 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5513 | 0.0068 | 1424 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3143 | 0.0030 | 1424 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9852 | 0.0169 | 1424 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7236 | 0.0039 | 1424 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1318 | 0.0050 | 1424 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4791 | 0.0062 | 1424 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4430 | 0.0055 | 1424 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7578 | 0.0071 | 1424 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6675 | 0.0055 | 1424 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9922 | 0.0051 | 1424 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2087 | 0.0055 | 1424 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4820 | 0.0056 | 1424 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1731 | 0.0063 | 1424 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9746 | 0.0025 | 1424 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0873 | 0.0064 | 1424 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5573 | 0.0028 | 1424 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3115 | 0.0047 | 1424 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1061 | 0.0017 | 1424 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0252 | 0.0152 | 1424 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0639 | 0.0029 | 1424 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0431 | 0.0270 | 1424 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0439 | 0.0038 | 1424 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0419 | 0.0073 | 1424 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9326 | 0.0033 | 1432 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5517 | 0.0067 | 1432 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3142 | 0.0030 | 1432 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9850 | 0.0168 | 1432 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7232 | 0.0039 | 1432 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1318 | 0.0050 | 1432 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4797 | 0.0062 | 1432 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4415 | 0.0056 | 1432 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7573 | 0.0071 | 1432 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6674 | 0.0055 | 1432 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9919 | 0.0050 | 1432 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2080 | 0.0055 | 1432 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4826 | 0.0056 | 1432 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1728 | 0.0062 | 1432 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9747 | 0.0025 | 1432 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0946 | 0.0101 | 1432 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5574 | 0.0028 | 1432 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3114 | 0.0047 | 1432 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1063 | 0.0017 | 1432 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0260 | 0.0152 | 1432 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0636 | 0.0029 | 1432 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0416 | 0.0269 | 1432 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0439 | 0.0038 | 1432 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0417 | 0.0072 | 1432 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:30:29Z",
9- "mean": 0.9325552066470788,
10- "n_pasts": 1424,
11- "n_runs": 178,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:09:24Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9325880566666932,
10+ "n_pasts": 1432,
11+ "n_runs": 179,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12362428699936696,
22- "se": 0.0032760370534156698
21+ "sd": 0.12338725030609897,
22+ "se": 0.003260609406198548
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:39:51Z",
30- "mean": 2.551319927037476,
31- "n_pasts": 1424,
32- "n_runs": 178,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:18:30Z",
30+ "mean": 2.551737871366914,
31+ "n_pasts": 1432,
32+ "n_runs": 179,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2551738029850353,
43- "se": 0.00676209225493245
42+ "sd": 0.254789380023774,
43+ "se": 0.006733018582098587
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:31:52Z",
51- "mean": 1.3142806145364339,
52- "n_pasts": 1424,
53- "n_runs": 178,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:10:17Z",
51+ "mean": 1.314222023610082,
52+ "n_pasts": 1432,
53+ "n_runs": 179,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11195606088591153,
64- "se": 0.002966829679823229
63+ "sd": 0.11208946849204872,
64+ "se": 0.002962056244825032
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:42:22Z",
72- "mean": 2.985219528155086,
73- "n_pasts": 1424,
74- "n_runs": 178,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:24:32Z",
72+ "mean": 2.984962465897606,
73+ "n_pasts": 1432,
74+ "n_runs": 179,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6377258696659904,
85- "se": 0.01689970174677905
84+ "sd": 0.6360935083103926,
85+ "se": 0.016809293271982256
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:33:24Z",
93- "mean": 1.7235579090841022,
94- "n_pasts": 1424,
95- "n_runs": 178,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:11:26Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7232181016986419,
94+ "n_pasts": 1432,
95+ "n_runs": 179,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.14838676915496643,
106- "se": 0.003932241518131438
105+ "sd": 0.14836384584919302,
106+ "se": 0.00392063645243384
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:36:49Z",
114- "mean": 2.1318218177982606,
115- "n_pasts": 1424,
116- "n_runs": 178,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:14:16Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1318105309823387,
115+ "n_pasts": 1432,
116+ "n_runs": 179,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.1902025875617165,
127- "se": 0.005040358489678589
126+ "sd": 0.18991323645815744,
127+ "se": 0.005018613216688798
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:18:12Z",
135- "mean": 0.4790556106530798,
136- "n_pasts": 1424,
137- "n_runs": 178,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:00:03Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4796957276644332,
136+ "n_pasts": 1432,
137+ "n_runs": 179,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23465765648371095,
147- "se": 0.006218415459999857
146+ "sd": 0.23468872826763842,
147+ "se": 0.006201842354212931
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:25:16Z",
155- "mean": 1.442970651679552,
156- "n_pasts": 1424,
157- "n_runs": 178,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:05:17Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4414785680754758,
156+ "n_pasts": 1432,
157+ "n_runs": 179,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.2092602563231159,
167- "se": 0.0055453857018022586
166+ "sd": 0.210895734044624,
167+ "se": 0.00557309294475021
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:21:00Z",
175- "mean": 0.7578237334860902,
176- "n_pasts": 1424,
177- "n_runs": 178,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:01:37Z",
175+ "mean": 0.75730294793455,
176+ "n_pasts": 1432,
177+ "n_runs": 179,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2682327292354023,
187- "se": 0.007108153108446161
186+ "sd": 0.26868797133735156,
187+ "se": 0.007100300270097434
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:29:13Z",
195- "mean": 1.66750729896693,
196- "n_pasts": 1424,
197- "n_runs": 178,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:08:20Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6674346828434474,
196+ "n_pasts": 1432,
197+ "n_runs": 179,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20673072344130494,
207- "se": 0.005478353214499109
206+ "sd": 0.20626226854531116,
207+ "se": 0.005450649814257585
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:22:02Z",
215- "mean": 0.9922019261520136,
216- "n_pasts": 1424,
217- "n_runs": 178,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:02:36Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9918909181979283,
216+ "n_pasts": 1432,
217+ "n_runs": 179,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.191166943370721,
227- "se": 0.005065913867506503
226+ "sd": 0.19106118601507188,
227+ "se": 0.00504894872634503
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:23:08Z",
235- "mean": 1.2086815021591024,
236- "n_pasts": 1424,
237- "n_runs": 178,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T15:03:31Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2079889424307706,
236+ "n_pasts": 1432,
237+ "n_runs": 179,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.20913813751903962,
247- "se": 0.005542149559966514
246+ "sd": 0.20983637893182053,
247+ "se": 0.005545098616027084
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:16:12Z",
255- "mean": 0.4819571949581668,
256- "n_pasts": 1424,
257- "n_runs": 178,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T14:58:18Z",
255+ "mean": 0.482614941099576,
256+ "n_pasts": 1432,
257+ "n_runs": 179,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2099009418592321,
265- "se": 0.005562363834553107
264+ "sd": 0.21030206805793009,
265+ "se": 0.0055574048335754155
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:17:05Z",
273- "mean": 3.173090672198276,
274- "n_pasts": 1424,
275- "n_runs": 178,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T14:58:40Z",
273+ "mean": 3.17280501706166,
274+ "n_pasts": 1432,
275+ "n_runs": 179,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.23708737024910048,
283- "se": 0.006282802746008236
282+ "sd": 0.23648764717841567,
283+ "se": 0.006249380263574857
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:16:17Z",
291- "mean": 0.9746327726966597,
292- "n_pasts": 1424,
293- "n_runs": 178,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T14:58:23Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9746892702506746,
292+ "n_pasts": 1432,
293+ "n_runs": 179,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.0936540448937181,
301- "se": 0.0024818272260340416
300+ "sd": 0.09346217363362536,
301+ "se": 0.0024698146827776208
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:17:11Z",
309- "mean": 4.087317167336371,
310- "n_pasts": 1424,
311- "n_runs": 178,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T14:58:54Z",
309+ "mean": 4.094563866388501,
310+ "n_pasts": 1432,
311+ "n_runs": 179,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24019783087850533,
319- "se": 0.006365229787833546
318+ "sd": 0.38121951683880967,
319+ "se": 0.010074038762898401
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:16:51Z",
327- "mean": 1.5572821285794087,
328- "n_pasts": 1424,
329- "n_runs": 178,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T14:58:29Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5573802850187546,
328+ "n_pasts": 1432,
329+ "n_runs": 179,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10633296451644451,
337- "se": 0.0028178179240555675
336+ "sd": 0.10624821346780096,
337+ "se": 0.0028076962843848947
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:16:59Z",
345- "mean": 2.311490553837249,
346- "n_pasts": 1424,
347- "n_runs": 178,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T14:58:34Z",
345+ "mean": 2.311443632313291,
346+ "n_pasts": 1432,
347+ "n_runs": 179,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.17922468324490187,
355- "se": 0.004749444607110184
354+ "sd": 0.17890838135241732,
355+ "se": 0.004727800884113016
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T13:16:00Z",
363- "mean": 2.1060586378955737,
364- "n_pasts": 1424,
365- "n_runs": 178,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T14:58:05Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1062838866392184,
364+ "n_pasts": 1432,
365+ "n_runs": 179,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06583302803152337,
372- "se": 0.0017445717536953512
371+ "sd": 0.0659045831887073,
372+ "se": 0.0017415827269316485
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-19T13:42:23Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-19T15:24:32Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 178
469+ "total_runs": 179
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -4270,3 +4270,27 @@
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