estimates: run 29 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (21 runs, generated 2026-08-03T20:31:12Z)
24+## Current state (22 runs, generated 2026-08-03T21:53:39Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9430 | 0.0088 | 168 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5458 | 0.0178 | 168 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3180 | 0.0097 | 168 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9432 | 0.0277 | 168 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7107 | 0.0100 | 168 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1436 | 0.0178 | 168 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4555 | 0.0185 | 168 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4517 | 0.0125 | 168 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7335 | 0.0224 | 168 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6375 | 0.0156 | 168 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0161 | 0.0121 | 168 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2236 | 0.0149 | 168 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4866 | 0.0159 | 168 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.2136 | 0.0257 | 168 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9731 | 0.0096 | 168 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0845 | 0.0210 | 168 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5594 | 0.0093 | 168 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2935 | 0.0107 | 168 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1043 | 0.0040 | 168 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9808 | 0.0278 | 168 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0613 | 0.0061 | 168 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9565 | 0.0570 | 168 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0380 | 0.0117 | 168 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0653 | 0.0209 | 168 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9434 | 0.0085 | 176 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5441 | 0.0170 | 176 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3181 | 0.0094 | 176 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9380 | 0.0268 | 176 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7143 | 0.0097 | 176 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1448 | 0.0172 | 176 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4584 | 0.0183 | 176 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4527 | 0.0126 | 176 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7372 | 0.0218 | 176 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6418 | 0.0152 | 176 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0119 | 0.0121 | 176 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2202 | 0.0145 | 176 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4844 | 0.0154 | 176 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.2104 | 0.0246 | 176 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9725 | 0.0093 | 176 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0845 | 0.0202 | 176 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5581 | 0.0092 | 176 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2954 | 0.0113 | 176 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1034 | 0.0039 | 176 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9779 | 0.0268 | 176 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0636 | 0.0061 | 176 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9510 | 0.0556 | 176 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0381 | 0.0113 | 176 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0588 | 0.0201 | 176 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:19:55Z",
9- "mean": 0.9430213191129655,
10- "n_pasts": 168,
11- "n_runs": 21,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:42:50Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9433623660316502,
10+ "n_pasts": 176,
11+ "n_runs": 22,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.11459733028206069,
22- "se": 0.008841375979617122
21+ "sd": 0.11318015117202988,
22+ "se": 0.00853127488984832
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:26:56Z",
30- "mean": 2.5457865113282834,
31- "n_pasts": 168,
32- "n_runs": 21,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:49:26Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5440940009549395,
31+ "n_pasts": 176,
32+ "n_runs": 22,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.23026501765051663,
43- "se": 0.017765331801277467
42+ "sd": 0.22607477263706927,
43+ "se": 0.01704102716822874
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:21:37Z",
51- "mean": 1.3179665267682452,
52- "n_pasts": 168,
53- "n_runs": 21,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:43:34Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3181287453377402,
52+ "n_pasts": 176,
53+ "n_runs": 22,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.12568261370239864,
64- "se": 0.009696624163135811
63+ "sd": 0.12488208156033195,
64+ "se": 0.009413341081231407
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:31:12Z",
72- "mean": 2.943202178212782,
73- "n_pasts": 168,
74- "n_runs": 21,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:53:39Z",
72+ "mean": 2.937974212974697,
73+ "n_pasts": 176,
74+ "n_runs": 22,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.35860310952328817,
85- "se": 0.02766683055313315
84+ "sd": 0.35495113692204266,
85+ "se": 0.026755448638192743
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:22:40Z",
93- "mean": 1.7107215794710147,
94- "n_pasts": 168,
95- "n_runs": 21,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:44:28Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7143311794838396,
94+ "n_pasts": 176,
95+ "n_runs": 22,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.12977727199252226,
106- "se": 0.010012533908693876
105+ "sd": 0.12848798596988892,
106+ "se": 0.00968514635296751
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:24:06Z",
114- "mean": 2.1436295164688,
115- "n_pasts": 168,
116- "n_runs": 21,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:45:51Z",
114+ "mean": 2.144774631420949,
115+ "n_pasts": 176,
116+ "n_runs": 22,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.2307599299905112,
127- "se": 0.01780351511727684
126+ "sd": 0.22775290495213163,
127+ "se": 0.017167521150902202
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:07:11Z",
135- "mean": 0.45549946126606566,
136- "n_pasts": 168,
137- "n_runs": 21,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:36:29Z",
135+ "mean": 0.45835158780140456,
136+ "n_pasts": 176,
137+ "n_runs": 22,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2400951931476411,
147- "se": 0.018523746306238258
146+ "sd": 0.2433889120777139,
147+ "se": 0.018346129533967654
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:13:34Z",
155- "mean": 1.4517240101693998,
156- "n_pasts": 168,
157- "n_runs": 21,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:39:59Z",
155+ "mean": 1.452670046669544,
156+ "n_pasts": 176,
157+ "n_runs": 22,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.16247799040238442,
167- "se": 0.012535449107098268
166+ "sd": 0.16756254072635274,
167+ "se": 0.012630501738817223
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:08:49Z",
175- "mean": 0.7334883629963488,
176- "n_pasts": 168,
177- "n_runs": 21,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:37:06Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7372172008346358,
176+ "n_pasts": 176,
177+ "n_runs": 22,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2904959015912054,
187- "se": 0.022412245382890588
186+ "sd": 0.28932934995751597,
187+ "se": 0.02180902033287524
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:17:45Z",
195- "mean": 1.6374736176976055,
196- "n_pasts": 168,
197- "n_runs": 21,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:42:12Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6417549666140145,
196+ "n_pasts": 176,
197+ "n_runs": 22,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2027346636701303,
207- "se": 0.01564131887886956
206+ "sd": 0.20194139891353438,
207+ "se": 0.015221905678083571
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:09:55Z",
215- "mean": 1.016067370894359,
216- "n_pasts": 168,
217- "n_runs": 21,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:37:53Z",
215+ "mean": 1.011943664283665,
216+ "n_pasts": 176,
217+ "n_runs": 22,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.15628111434064282,
227- "se": 0.012057349739284955
226+ "sd": 0.1604500139060927,
227+ "se": 0.01209437485758672
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:11:06Z",
235- "mean": 1.2236234520206877,
236- "n_pasts": 168,
237- "n_runs": 21,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:38:37Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2201843136335302,
236+ "n_pasts": 176,
237+ "n_runs": 22,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.1926175310001548,
247- "se": 0.014860765147375485
246+ "sd": 0.1918976861638328,
247+ "se": 0.014464832344154733
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:05:06Z",
255- "mean": 0.48664104826701876,
256- "n_pasts": 168,
257- "n_runs": 21,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:35:18Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4843945432263984,
256+ "n_pasts": 176,
257+ "n_runs": 22,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20641292904600234,
265- "se": 0.015925103213642874
264+ "sd": 0.20474176738238567,
265+ "se": 0.015432991393672702
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:05:30Z",
273- "mean": 3.213601267873043,
274- "n_pasts": 168,
275- "n_runs": 21,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:35:43Z",
273+ "mean": 3.2104062093833337,
274+ "n_pasts": 176,
275+ "n_runs": 22,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.3331160230211065,
283- "se": 0.02570045913910303
282+ "sd": 0.3263595696895565,
283+ "se": 0.024600278168229635
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:05:11Z",
291- "mean": 0.9731091901246445,
292- "n_pasts": 168,
293- "n_runs": 21,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:35:22Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9725112690376355,
292+ "n_pasts": 176,
293+ "n_runs": 22,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.12464268030079124,
301- "se": 0.009616391559333066
300+ "sd": 0.12308095067034563,
301+ "se": 0.009277575732131327
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:05:36Z",
309- "mean": 4.084479407578966,
310- "n_pasts": 168,
311- "n_runs": 21,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:35:47Z",
309+ "mean": 4.08446608370205,
310+ "n_pasts": 176,
311+ "n_runs": 22,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
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319- "se": 0.020967373248591006
318+ "sd": 0.26762940802424146,
319+ "se": 0.02017332566548499
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:05:19Z",
327- "mean": 1.559354656169492,
328- "n_pasts": 168,
329- "n_runs": 21,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:35:28Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5580815061920956,
328+ "n_pasts": 176,
329+ "n_runs": 22,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.12050254055535252,
337- "se": 0.009296972843316867
336+ "sd": 0.12182054659055391,
337+ "se": 0.009182569199929002
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:05:23Z",
345- "mean": 2.2934959904359067,
346- "n_pasts": 168,
347- "n_runs": 21,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-03T21:35:39Z",
345+ "mean": 2.295410267719669,
346+ "n_pasts": 176,
347+ "n_runs": 22,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.13804041787122653,
355- "se": 0.010650049453848636
354+ "sd": 0.14969097875024878,
355+ "se": 0.011283382068537238
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-03T20:04:48Z",
363- "mean": 2.1042956215625934,
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450- "n_runs": 21,
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450+ "n_runs": 22,
451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
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456+ "sd": 0.2663277815914322,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-03T20:31:12Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-03T21:53:39Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 21
469+ "total_runs": 22
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -502,3 +502,27 @@
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