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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (22 runs, generated 2026-08-03T21:53:39Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9434 0.0085 176 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5441 0.0170 176 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3181 0.0094 176 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9380 0.0268 176 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7143 0.0097 176 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1448 0.0172 176 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4584 0.0183 176 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4527 0.0126 176 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7372 0.0218 176 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6418 0.0152 176 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 1.0119 0.0121 176 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2202 0.0145 176 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4844 0.0154 176 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.2104 0.0246 176 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9725 0.0093 176 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0845 0.0202 176 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5581 0.0092 176 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2954 0.0113 176 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1034 0.0039 176 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 5.9779 0.0268 176 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0636 0.0061 176 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 6.9510 0.0556 176 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0381 0.0113 176 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0588 0.0201 176 5.0480
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