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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (92 runs, generated 2026-08-11T20:07:07Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9321 0.0045 736 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5409 0.0080 736 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3103 0.0043 736 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9744 0.0196 736 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7215 0.0048 736 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1340 0.0077 736 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4752 0.0086 736 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4450 0.0068 736 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7623 0.0099 736 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6642 0.0076 736 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9881 0.0072 736 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2152 0.0081 736 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4730 0.0075 736 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1843 0.0098 736 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9747 0.0036 736 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0871 0.0088 736 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5549 0.0038 736 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3030 0.0054 736 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1063 0.0027 736 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0180 0.0175 736 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0660 0.0034 736 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0743 0.0375 736 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0384 0.0051 736 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0619 0.0111 736 5.0480
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