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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (90 runs, generated 2026-08-11T15:50:54Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9324 0.0046 720 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5417 0.0082 720 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3106 0.0044 720 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9756 0.0199 720 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7212 0.0048 720 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1342 0.0078 720 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4757 0.0087 720 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4457 0.0069 720 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7628 0.0100 720 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6642 0.0077 720 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9883 0.0072 720 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2172 0.0081 720 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4737 0.0076 720 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1845 0.0100 720 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9749 0.0037 720 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0879 0.0090 720 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5550 0.0038 720 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3032 0.0055 720 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1064 0.0027 720 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0184 0.0178 720 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0659 0.0035 720 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0821 0.0382 720 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0395 0.0051 720 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0635 0.0113 720 5.0480
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