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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (74 runs, generated 2026-08-09T17:19:16Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9314 0.0051 592 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5483 0.0092 592 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3127 0.0047 592 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9575 0.0175 592 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7207 0.0054 592 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1365 0.0090 592 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4767 0.0096 592 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4484 0.0076 592 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7559 0.0113 592 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6561 0.0087 592 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9866 0.0080 592 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2253 0.0086 592 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4779 0.0085 592 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1842 0.0109 592 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9736 0.0042 592 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0845 0.0097 592 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5567 0.0044 592 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3030 0.0061 592 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1080 0.0031 592 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0353 0.0203 592 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0660 0.0039 592 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0749 0.0432 592 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0386 0.0057 592 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0718 0.0130 592 5.0480
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