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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (115 runs, generated 2026-08-13T21:55:27Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9322 0.0041 920 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5432 0.0074 920 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3104 0.0038 920 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9739 0.0195 920 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7253 0.0045 920 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1313 0.0065 920 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4758 0.0077 920 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4397 0.0063 920 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7631 0.0089 920 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6669 0.0068 920 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9932 0.0062 920 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2128 0.0072 920 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4781 0.0069 920 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1779 0.0084 920 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9745 0.0031 920 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0887 0.0078 920 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5576 0.0035 920 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3075 0.0053 920 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1055 0.0022 920 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0166 0.0155 920 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0663 0.0030 920 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0660 0.0357 920 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0372 0.0044 920 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0569 0.0100 920 5.0480
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