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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (84 runs, generated 2026-08-11T03:02:55Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9321 0.0049 672 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5446 0.0086 672 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3103 0.0045 672 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9713 0.0201 672 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7212 0.0050 672 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1366 0.0082 672 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4725 0.0090 672 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4444 0.0072 672 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7621 0.0105 672 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6601 0.0080 672 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9881 0.0075 672 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2171 0.0084 672 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4791 0.0080 672 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1859 0.0105 672 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9732 0.0038 672 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0864 0.0091 672 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5560 0.0040 672 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3001 0.0057 672 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1060 0.0028 672 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0205 0.0184 672 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0653 0.0036 672 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0791 0.0399 672 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0385 0.0053 672 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0667 0.0119 672 5.0480
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