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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (46 runs, generated 2026-08-07T06:23:18Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9366 0.0060 368 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5476 0.0122 368 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3145 0.0062 368 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9724 0.0248 368 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7176 0.0070 368 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1316 0.0122 368 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4734 0.0123 368 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4569 0.0103 368 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7559 0.0145 368 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6548 0.0104 368 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9933 0.0093 368 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2220 0.0095 368 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4879 0.0111 368 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1963 0.0157 368 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9725 0.0057 368 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0804 0.0124 368 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5583 0.0058 368 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2962 0.0072 368 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1076 0.0045 368 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0249 0.0242 368 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0641 0.0046 368 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.1115 0.0584 368 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0336 0.0069 368 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0652 0.0158 368 5.0480
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