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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (112 runs, generated 2026-08-13T15:55:42Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9315 0.0042 896 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5442 0.0076 896 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3093 0.0039 896 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9761 0.0200 896 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7237 0.0045 896 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1315 0.0066 896 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4763 0.0078 896 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4428 0.0063 896 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7633 0.0090 896 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6662 0.0069 896 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9938 0.0063 896 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2115 0.0073 896 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4761 0.0069 896 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1782 0.0085 896 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9749 0.0032 896 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0890 0.0080 896 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5574 0.0036 896 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3064 0.0053 896 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1057 0.0023 896 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0146 0.0158 896 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0654 0.0030 896 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0627 0.0364 896 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0370 0.0044 896 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0574 0.0101 896 5.0480
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