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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (65 runs, generated 2026-08-08T21:18:23Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9325 0.0053 520 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5460 0.0099 520 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3116 0.0052 520 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9585 0.0190 520 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7206 0.0058 520 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1355 0.0099 520 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4767 0.0102 520 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4505 0.0083 520 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7585 0.0120 520 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6611 0.0089 520 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9890 0.0083 520 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2239 0.0095 520 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4755 0.0091 520 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1874 0.0120 520 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9734 0.0045 520 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0834 0.0104 520 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5588 0.0047 520 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3030 0.0066 520 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1071 0.0034 520 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0336 0.0223 520 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0681 0.0043 520 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0894 0.0474 520 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0385 0.0061 520 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0720 0.0143 520 5.0480
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