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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (49 runs, generated 2026-08-07T11:37:55Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9350 0.0061 392 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5475 0.0120 392 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3168 0.0059 392 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9700 0.0235 392 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7177 0.0067 392 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1336 0.0117 392 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4806 0.0123 392 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4543 0.0099 392 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7568 0.0140 392 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6530 0.0100 392 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9930 0.0090 392 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2299 0.0113 392 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4883 0.0107 392 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1939 0.0149 392 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9719 0.0054 392 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0843 0.0123 392 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5578 0.0055 392 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2946 0.0069 392 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1071 0.0043 392 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0235 0.0232 392 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0656 0.0046 392 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0960 0.0555 392 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0313 0.0066 392 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0648 0.0151 392 5.0480
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