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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (73 runs, generated 2026-08-09T15:33:10Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9311 0.0052 584 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5479 0.0093 584 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3134 0.0047 584 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9595 0.0177 584 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7205 0.0055 584 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1343 0.0090 584 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4770 0.0097 584 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4485 0.0077 584 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7565 0.0113 584 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6567 0.0088 584 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9870 0.0080 584 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2245 0.0087 584 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4771 0.0086 584 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1839 0.0109 584 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9733 0.0042 584 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0835 0.0098 584 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5569 0.0045 584 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3038 0.0062 584 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1082 0.0031 584 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0335 0.0205 584 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0665 0.0039 584 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0761 0.0436 584 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0388 0.0058 584 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0708 0.0131 584 5.0480
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