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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (7 runs, generated 2026-08-02T07:26:53Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9432 0.0177 56 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5541 0.0340 56 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3401 0.0188 56 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9167 0.0519 56 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7147 0.0172 56 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1512 0.0385 56 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4705 0.0315 56 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4592 0.0237 56 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7274 0.0406 56 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6304 0.0304 56 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 1.0179 0.0232 56 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2112 0.0260 56 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4828 0.0264 56 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.2031 0.0551 56 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9745 0.0123 56 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0635 0.0229 56 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5670 0.0170 56 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2773 0.0140 56 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.0913 0.0056 56 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 5.9957 0.0485 56 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0561 0.0094 56 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 6.9785 0.1034 56 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0337 0.0197 56 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0945 0.0430 56 5.0480
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