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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (64 runs, generated 2026-08-08T19:36:28Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9340 0.0053 512 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5454 0.0100 512 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3113 0.0052 512 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9589 0.0192 512 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7209 0.0059 512 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1352 0.0100 512 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4764 0.0104 512 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4512 0.0083 512 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7558 0.0122 512 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6588 0.0089 512 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9884 0.0084 512 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2248 0.0096 512 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4768 0.0092 512 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1876 0.0121 512 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9735 0.0045 512 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0825 0.0104 512 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5590 0.0048 512 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3027 0.0067 512 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1068 0.0034 512 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0359 0.0226 512 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0685 0.0043 512 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0872 0.0478 512 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0385 0.0061 512 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0678 0.0141 512 5.0480
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