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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (123 runs, generated 2026-08-14T15:35:42Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9319 0.0040 984 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5511 0.0087 984 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3099 0.0037 984 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9875 0.0201 984 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7243 0.0044 984 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1300 0.0062 984 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4774 0.0074 984 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4385 0.0061 984 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7628 0.0086 984 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6679 0.0066 984 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9919 0.0061 984 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2113 0.0069 984 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4786 0.0067 984 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1770 0.0081 984 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9753 0.0030 984 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0900 0.0078 984 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5578 0.0034 984 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3101 0.0054 984 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1058 0.0021 984 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0211 0.0160 984 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0654 0.0029 984 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0550 0.0341 984 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0373 0.0042 984 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0537 0.0094 984 5.0480
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