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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (67 runs, generated 2026-08-09T02:57:10Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9343 0.0052 536 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5448 0.0097 536 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3113 0.0051 536 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9591 0.0190 536 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7202 0.0057 536 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1345 0.0096 536 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4754 0.0100 536 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4492 0.0081 536 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7589 0.0118 536 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6581 0.0089 536 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9875 0.0083 536 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2232 0.0092 536 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4776 0.0090 536 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1878 0.0118 536 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9728 0.0044 536 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0846 0.0103 536 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5586 0.0047 536 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3022 0.0065 536 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1072 0.0033 536 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0345 0.0218 536 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0673 0.0042 536 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0846 0.0463 536 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0380 0.0060 536 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0735 0.0141 536 5.0480
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