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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (59 runs, generated 2026-08-08T09:49:03Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9357 0.0054 472 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5489 0.0107 472 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3120 0.0055 472 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9650 0.0206 472 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7231 0.0061 472 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1376 0.0107 472 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4741 0.0107 472 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4547 0.0087 472 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7573 0.0127 472 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6546 0.0094 472 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9907 0.0085 472 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2221 0.0100 472 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4800 0.0097 472 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1860 0.0128 472 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9740 0.0048 472 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0847 0.0112 472 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5586 0.0050 472 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2995 0.0070 472 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1062 0.0036 472 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0244 0.0228 472 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0653 0.0040 472 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0608 0.0482 472 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0365 0.0065 472 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0716 0.0150 472 5.0480
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