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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (31 runs, generated 2026-08-04T23:59:20Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9390 0.0069 248 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5400 0.0133 248 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3209 0.0077 248 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9756 0.0334 248 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7157 0.0086 248 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1321 0.0136 248 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4741 0.0159 248 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4532 0.0104 248 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7454 0.0181 248 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6552 0.0134 248 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 1.0060 0.0110 248 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2178 0.0126 248 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4793 0.0131 248 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1962 0.0200 248 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9739 0.0074 248 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0782 0.0156 248 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5624 0.0076 248 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2953 0.0093 248 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1053 0.0033 248 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0050 0.0256 248 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0643 0.0055 248 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0355 0.0530 248 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0360 0.0088 248 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0607 0.0166 248 5.0480
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