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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (133 runs, generated 2026-08-15T11:17:28Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9325 0.0039 1064 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5514 0.0084 1064 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3111 0.0035 1064 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9819 0.0188 1064 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7242 0.0043 1064 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1300 0.0059 1064 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4786 0.0072 1064 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4412 0.0060 1064 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7603 0.0082 1064 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6685 0.0065 1064 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9936 0.0057 1064 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2092 0.0066 1064 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4821 0.0065 1064 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1761 0.0076 1064 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9757 0.0029 1064 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0879 0.0075 1064 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5562 0.0032 1064 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3091 0.0051 1064 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1054 0.0020 1064 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0128 0.0151 1064 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0666 0.0036 1064 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0503 0.0324 1064 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0381 0.0042 1064 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0517 0.0089 1064 5.0480
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