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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (41 runs, generated 2026-08-06T07:25:40Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9406 0.0062 328 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5517 0.0130 328 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3171 0.0066 328 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9769 0.0275 328 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7173 0.0074 328 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1323 0.0134 328 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4762 0.0135 328 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4581 0.0104 328 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7530 0.0154 328 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6517 0.0113 328 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9978 0.0099 328 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2218 0.0102 328 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4914 0.0119 328 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1994 0.0170 328 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9713 0.0061 328 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0821 0.0136 328 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5591 0.0063 328 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2939 0.0077 328 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1081 0.0050 328 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0110 0.0245 328 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0643 0.0048 328 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0793 0.0569 328 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0352 0.0076 328 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0619 0.0165 328 5.0480
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