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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (145 runs, generated 2026-08-16T11:24:32Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9332 0.0036 1160 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5508 0.0079 1160 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3127 0.0033 1160 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9819 0.0177 1160 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7264 0.0043 1160 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1293 0.0055 1160 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4775 0.0068 1160 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4424 0.0058 1160 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7596 0.0078 1160 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6653 0.0062 1160 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9923 0.0056 1160 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2088 0.0063 1160 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4799 0.0062 1160 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1763 0.0072 1160 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9747 0.0028 1160 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0886 0.0072 1160 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5565 0.0031 1160 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.3114 0.0050 1160 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1057 0.0019 1160 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0194 0.0173 1160 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0673 0.0034 1160 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0485 0.0305 1160 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0385 0.0040 1160 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0482 0.0084 1160 5.0480
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