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timeseries-entropy / README.md
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Cached entropy estimates#

Machine-generated by .github/workflows/estimates.yml on main — do not edit by hand. Every dispatch runs the whole grid again with fresh, independent pasts, appends one record per cell to runs.jsonl, and rebuilds estimates.json from the full log, so the means tighten run after run.

The estimand is H(z_(M+1) | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample — an upper bound on the entropy rate of z that tightens as the conditioning window M grows.

Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends access-control-allow-origin: *):

https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json

Current state (40 runs, generated 2026-08-06T04:09:55Z)#

cell sigma M mean se pasts predicted
bp300-6000_s1 1 512 0.9423 0.0062 320 0.9513
bp300-6000_s16 16 512 2.5532 0.0133 320 2.5680
bp300-6000_s2 2 512 1.3172 0.0066 320 1.3319
bp300-6000_s32 32 512 2.9824 0.0281 320 2.9938
bp300-6000_s4 4 512 1.7159 0.0075 320 1.7342
bp300-6000_s8 8 512 2.1322 0.0137 320 2.1476
lp3000_s1 1 512 0.4796 0.0137 320 0.6166
lp3000_s16 16 512 1.4578 0.0106 320 1.4888
lp3000_s2 2 512 0.7558 0.0154 320 0.8251
lp3000_s32 32 512 1.6502 0.0114 320 1.7179
lp3000_s4 4 512 0.9996 0.0100 320 1.0415
lp3000_s8 8 512 1.2213 0.0104 320 1.2632
ma8_s1 1 512 0.4912 0.0121 320 0.6100
ma8_s16 16 512 3.1997 0.0174 320 3.1777
ma8_s2 2 512 0.9717 0.0062 320 0.9825
ma8_s32 32 512 4.0840 0.0140 320 4.1125
ma8_s4 4 512 1.5598 0.0064 320 1.5529
ma8_s8 8 512 2.2949 0.0079 320 2.3064
none_s1 1 512 2.1085 0.0051 320 2.1048
none_s16 16 512 6.0165 0.0249 320 6.0473
none_s2 2 512 3.0631 0.0049 320 3.0620
none_s32 32 512 7.0672 0.0564 320 7.0472
none_s4 4 512 4.0344 0.0076 320 4.0508
none_s8 8 512 5.0633 0.0168 320 5.0480
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