estimates: run 99 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (85 runs, generated 2026-08-11T05:57:19Z)
24+## Current state (86 runs, generated 2026-08-11T08:20:24Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9319 | 0.0048 | 680 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5429 | 0.0085 | 680 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3105 | 0.0045 | 680 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9719 | 0.0199 | 680 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7208 | 0.0050 | 680 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1362 | 0.0081 | 680 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4732 | 0.0090 | 680 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4447 | 0.0071 | 680 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7619 | 0.0104 | 680 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6611 | 0.0080 | 680 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9883 | 0.0074 | 680 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2173 | 0.0083 | 680 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4783 | 0.0080 | 680 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1861 | 0.0104 | 680 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9733 | 0.0038 | 680 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0855 | 0.0090 | 680 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5558 | 0.0040 | 680 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3006 | 0.0057 | 680 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1058 | 0.0028 | 680 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0213 | 0.0183 | 680 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0650 | 0.0035 | 680 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0788 | 0.0396 | 680 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0387 | 0.0053 | 680 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0664 | 0.0118 | 680 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9323 | 0.0048 | 688 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5420 | 0.0085 | 688 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3105 | 0.0045 | 688 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9786 | 0.0205 | 688 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7209 | 0.0049 | 688 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1355 | 0.0081 | 688 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4745 | 0.0089 | 688 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4448 | 0.0071 | 688 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7610 | 0.0104 | 688 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6606 | 0.0079 | 688 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9894 | 0.0074 | 688 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2174 | 0.0083 | 688 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4779 | 0.0079 | 688 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1854 | 0.0103 | 688 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9739 | 0.0038 | 688 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0884 | 0.0093 | 688 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5554 | 0.0040 | 688 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3013 | 0.0057 | 688 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1056 | 0.0028 | 688 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0209 | 0.0181 | 688 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0647 | 0.0035 | 688 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0844 | 0.0395 | 688 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0386 | 0.0052 | 688 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0660 | 0.0117 | 688 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:45:44Z",
9- "mean": 0.9319412428939337,
10- "n_pasts": 680,
11- "n_runs": 85,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:55:48Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9322819894192961,
10+ "n_pasts": 688,
11+ "n_runs": 86,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.1256937038800079,
22- "se": 0.004820133509725747
21+ "sd": 0.12529781103386164,
22+ "se": 0.00477693426211719
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:51:39Z",
30- "mean": 2.542883712450375,
31- "n_pasts": 680,
32- "n_runs": 85,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T08:01:20Z",
30+ "mean": 2.541956605748407,
31+ "n_pasts": 688,
32+ "n_runs": 86,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2224281377798248,
43- "se": 0.008529729710582235
42+ "sd": 0.22166962039452823,
43+ "se": 0.008451075049084185
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:46:58Z",
51- "mean": 1.310527352807296,
52- "n_pasts": 680,
53- "n_runs": 85,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:56:53Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3104908670919075,
52+ "n_pasts": 688,
53+ "n_runs": 86,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11674729670323371,
64- "se": 0.004477054455697814
63+ "sd": 0.11707359845188278,
64+ "se": 0.004463389096901391
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:57:19Z",
72- "mean": 2.9719129052224704,
73- "n_pasts": 680,
74- "n_runs": 85,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T08:20:24Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9786093028059875,
73+ "n_pasts": 688,
74+ "n_runs": 86,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5189856838708242,
85- "se": 0.01990219246209658
84+ "sd": 0.5387534804782744,
85+ "se": 0.020539783883662923
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:48:31Z",
93- "mean": 1.7208366164314772,
94- "n_pasts": 680,
95- "n_runs": 85,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:57:49Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7208644049984303,
94+ "n_pasts": 688,
95+ "n_runs": 86,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.12951227772847118,
106- "se": 0.004966569132180723
105+ "sd": 0.12965893067138712,
106+ "se": 0.00494320038956021
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:49:47Z",
114- "mean": 2.1361731742925216,
115- "n_pasts": 680,
116- "n_runs": 85,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:59:29Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1354785271614483,
115+ "n_pasts": 688,
116+ "n_runs": 86,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.212338193692325,
127- "se": 0.008142798017855241
126+ "sd": 0.21148298634761803,
127+ "se": 0.008062713266920376
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:34:06Z",
135- "mean": 0.47315896914392563,
136- "n_pasts": 680,
137- "n_runs": 85,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:45:59Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4745153827531019,
136+ "n_pasts": 688,
137+ "n_runs": 86,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23402817461461398,
147- "se": 0.008974570816663394
146+ "sd": 0.233530031228445,
147+ "se": 0.008903248973016597
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:39:53Z",
155- "mean": 1.4446621490249185,
156- "n_pasts": 680,
157- "n_runs": 85,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:52:11Z",
155+ "mean": 1.444799251671195,
156+ "n_pasts": 688,
157+ "n_runs": 86,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18485894566083433,
167- "se": 0.007089016959854923
166+ "sd": 0.18520092021631623,
167+ "se": 0.007060718889317752
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:35:10Z",
175- "mean": 0.7618776603982602,
176- "n_pasts": 680,
177- "n_runs": 85,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:47:07Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7609796386744146,
176+ "n_pasts": 688,
177+ "n_runs": 86,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2718794797165369,
187- "se": 0.01042610210643113
186+ "sd": 0.2715468860567421,
187+ "se": 0.010352627975480966
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:44:58Z",
195- "mean": 1.6610983487251811,
196- "n_pasts": 680,
197- "n_runs": 85,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:54:46Z",
195+ "mean": 1.660618903943793,
196+ "n_pasts": 688,
197+ "n_runs": 86,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20777178465137947,
207- "se": 0.007967684224897175
206+ "sd": 0.20687733365828936,
207+ "se": 0.007887124404277591
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:36:53Z",
215- "mean": 0.9882913379662831,
216- "n_pasts": 680,
217- "n_runs": 85,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:48:02Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9894247366523664,
216+ "n_pasts": 688,
217+ "n_runs": 86,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19392050311650166,
227- "se": 0.007436511825501207
226+ "sd": 0.19396283021905553,
227+ "se": 0.007394763576517925
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:38:05Z",
235- "mean": 1.2173305260867389,
236- "n_pasts": 680,
237- "n_runs": 85,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:49:30Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2173593970726775,
236+ "n_pasts": 688,
237+ "n_runs": 86,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21755024333627387,
247- "se": 0.008342670997707401
246+ "sd": 0.21783820932742307,
247+ "se": 0.008305003871561672
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:32:43Z",
255- "mean": 0.4783005981670921,
256- "n_pasts": 680,
257- "n_runs": 85,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:43:47Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47792200489056363,
256+ "n_pasts": 688,
257+ "n_runs": 86,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20779845938769337,
265- "se": 0.00796870715433915
264+ "sd": 0.2077686544591573,
265+ "se": 0.007921105691237608
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:33:03Z",
273- "mean": 3.1861228033976157,
274- "n_pasts": 680,
275- "n_runs": 85,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:44:21Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1854078744496626,
274+ "n_pasts": 688,
275+ "n_runs": 86,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2708248151189574,
283- "se": 0.010385657565365117
282+ "sd": 0.2694951688327022,
283+ "se": 0.01027440698963275
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:32:47Z",
291- "mean": 0.9732942234960108,
292- "n_pasts": 680,
293- "n_runs": 85,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:43:58Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9738737996860114,
292+ "n_pasts": 688,
293+ "n_runs": 86,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09941796044132345,
301- "se": 0.003812504746055398
300+ "sd": 0.09941012606244795,
301+ "se": 0.0037899755252768287
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:33:07Z",
309- "mean": 4.085521019418144,
310- "n_pasts": 680,
311- "n_runs": 85,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:44:31Z",
309+ "mean": 4.0883719158496765,
310+ "n_pasts": 688,
311+ "n_runs": 86,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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318- "sd": 0.23375469597142973,
319- "se": 0.008964083389437404
318+ "sd": 0.24425834291740262,
319+ "se": 0.009312262021678747
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:32:52Z",
327- "mean": 1.5557514931050278,
328- "n_pasts": 680,
329- "n_runs": 85,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:44:04Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5553798951784694,
328+ "n_pasts": 688,
329+ "n_runs": 86,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10427610190837318,
337- "se": 0.003998805966860135
336+ "sd": 0.10389529472011949,
337+ "se": 0.0039609709772757086
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:32:58Z",
345- "mean": 2.3006045433381566,
346- "n_pasts": 680,
347- "n_runs": 85,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-11T07:44:11Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3013433575222995,
346+ "n_pasts": 688,
347+ "n_runs": 86,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.14799577621163437,
355- "se": 0.005675378942580704
354+ "sd": 0.14836095121543788,
355+ "se": 0.005656208238384895
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-11T05:32:34Z",
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-11T05:57:19Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-11T08:20:24Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 85
469+ "total_runs": 86
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2038,3 +2038,27 @@
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