estimates: run 83 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (74 runs, generated 2026-08-09T17:19:16Z)
24+## Current state (75 runs, generated 2026-08-09T19:33:32Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9314 | 0.0051 | 592 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5483 | 0.0092 | 592 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3127 | 0.0047 | 592 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9575 | 0.0175 | 592 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7207 | 0.0054 | 592 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1365 | 0.0090 | 592 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4767 | 0.0096 | 592 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4484 | 0.0076 | 592 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7559 | 0.0113 | 592 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6561 | 0.0087 | 592 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9866 | 0.0080 | 592 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2253 | 0.0086 | 592 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4779 | 0.0085 | 592 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1842 | 0.0109 | 592 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9736 | 0.0042 | 592 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0845 | 0.0097 | 592 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5567 | 0.0044 | 592 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3030 | 0.0061 | 592 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1080 | 0.0031 | 592 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0353 | 0.0203 | 592 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0660 | 0.0039 | 592 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0749 | 0.0432 | 592 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0386 | 0.0057 | 592 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0718 | 0.0130 | 592 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9312 | 0.0051 | 600 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5472 | 0.0091 | 600 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3132 | 0.0047 | 600 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9594 | 0.0174 | 600 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7205 | 0.0054 | 600 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1363 | 0.0090 | 600 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4749 | 0.0096 | 600 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4490 | 0.0076 | 600 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7551 | 0.0112 | 600 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6556 | 0.0086 | 600 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9869 | 0.0079 | 600 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2257 | 0.0085 | 600 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4784 | 0.0085 | 600 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1838 | 0.0108 | 600 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9734 | 0.0041 | 600 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0829 | 0.0096 | 600 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5563 | 0.0044 | 600 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3013 | 0.0061 | 600 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1079 | 0.0031 | 600 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0340 | 0.0201 | 600 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0655 | 0.0039 | 600 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0801 | 0.0433 | 600 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0381 | 0.0057 | 600 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0734 | 0.0130 | 600 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:08:33Z",
9- "mean": 0.9313772697127958,
10- "n_pasts": 592,
11- "n_runs": 74,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:18:36Z",
9+ "mean": 0.931240913333442,
10+ "n_pasts": 600,
11+ "n_runs": 75,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.1252441368179824,
22- "se": 0.005147502314702481
21+ "sd": 0.1248500894346073,
22+ "se": 0.005096983557593884
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:16:35Z",
30- "mean": 2.548278598747845,
31- "n_pasts": 592,
32- "n_runs": 74,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:28:41Z",
30+ "mean": 2.54723739207651,
31+ "n_pasts": 600,
32+ "n_runs": 75,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.22268515165338365,
43- "se": 0.009152303354939046
42+ "sd": 0.2219421098682767,
43+ "se": 0.009060748693566682
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:09:11Z",
51- "mean": 1.3126939364427432,
52- "n_pasts": 592,
53- "n_runs": 74,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:20:00Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3132414242654702,
52+ "n_pasts": 600,
53+ "n_runs": 75,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11465886162616039,
64- "se": 0.004712450184231465
63+ "sd": 0.11433536585592138,
64+ "se": 0.004667721765024024
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:19:15Z",
72- "mean": 2.957478056253281,
73- "n_pasts": 592,
74- "n_runs": 74,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:33:32Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9594416284366845,
73+ "n_pasts": 600,
74+ "n_runs": 75,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.4266982930970751,
85- "se": 0.01753719181752092
84+ "sd": 0.42627141608699504,
85+ "se": 0.017402457689112576
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:10:29Z",
93- "mean": 1.720699552780468,
94- "n_pasts": 592,
95- "n_runs": 74,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:21:16Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7204992956968044,
94+ "n_pasts": 600,
95+ "n_runs": 75,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13177546400215207,
106- "se": 0.005415938208411842
105+ "sd": 0.13111101726195604,
106+ "se": 0.005352584865817159
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:14:54Z",
114- "mean": 2.1364804252322704,
115- "n_pasts": 592,
116- "n_runs": 74,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:24:49Z",
114+ "mean": 2.13633697064169,
115+ "n_pasts": 600,
116+ "n_runs": 75,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.21923258374524093,
127- "se": 0.009010403688013636
126+ "sd": 0.219371562010825,
127+ "se": 0.008955806516730662
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:01:53Z",
135- "mean": 0.47671923441081704,
136- "n_pasts": 592,
137- "n_runs": 74,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:10:29Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4748532236995523,
136+ "n_pasts": 600,
137+ "n_runs": 75,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23393240577299007,
147- "se": 0.00961456265174637
146+ "sd": 0.23413096139648118,
147+ "se": 0.009558356473477414
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:06:19Z",
155- "mean": 1.448364084549613,
156- "n_pasts": 592,
157- "n_runs": 74,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:15:07Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4489606504395054,
156+ "n_pasts": 600,
157+ "n_runs": 75,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18578274046640744,
167- "se": 0.007635623597872851
166+ "sd": 0.18566050517744254,
167+ "se": 0.007579558384534811
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:02:25Z",
175- "mean": 0.7558651401663151,
176- "n_pasts": 592,
177- "n_runs": 74,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:11:40Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7551457158454858,
176+ "n_pasts": 600,
177+ "n_runs": 75,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.27374712120902317,
187- "se": 0.011250937376130076
186+ "sd": 0.2741627412977052,
187+ "se": 0.011192647044367447
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:07:52Z",
195- "mean": 1.6561123466486856,
196- "n_pasts": 592,
197- "n_runs": 74,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:17:36Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6555907867440995,
196+ "n_pasts": 600,
197+ "n_runs": 75,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.21211283903113878,
207- "se": 0.008717783982795869
206+ "sd": 0.2109813149201462,
207+ "se": 0.008613276113596762
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:03:25Z",
215- "mean": 0.9866191116232624,
216- "n_pasts": 592,
217- "n_runs": 74,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:12:36Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9869454182633844,
216+ "n_pasts": 600,
217+ "n_runs": 75,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19352612415886136,
227- "se": 0.007953874707211912
226+ "sd": 0.19296918096440296,
227+ "se": 0.007877933824092933
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:04:49Z",
235- "mean": 1.2252700442078044,
236- "n_pasts": 592,
237- "n_runs": 74,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:14:04Z",
235+ "mean": 1.225716749087094,
236+ "n_pasts": 600,
237+ "n_runs": 75,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.20929750327016783,
247- "se": 0.008602074395788823
246+ "sd": 0.20808994464707162,
247+ "se": 0.008495236416488687
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:00:42Z",
255- "mean": 0.4778724462814073,
256- "n_pasts": 592,
257- "n_runs": 74,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:08:43Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4784255838235654,
256+ "n_pasts": 600,
257+ "n_runs": 75,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20740194072901916,
265- "se": 0.008524167255254123
264+ "sd": 0.20879374887686747,
265+ "se": 0.008523969103852226
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:01:00Z",
273- "mean": 3.184225571727294,
274- "n_pasts": 592,
275- "n_runs": 74,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:09:08Z",
273+ "mean": 3.183790368246167,
274+ "n_pasts": 600,
275+ "n_runs": 75,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2649449850849633,
283- "se": 0.01088917180990024
282+ "sd": 0.26335938645905893,
283+ "se": 0.010751601929952264
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:00:46Z",
291- "mean": 0.973559508034646,
292- "n_pasts": 592,
293- "n_runs": 74,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:08:48Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9733840135373533,
292+ "n_pasts": 600,
293+ "n_runs": 75,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.10149169046225022,
301- "se": 0.004171282782975682
300+ "sd": 0.10104978942080187,
301+ "se": 0.0041253403782775715
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:01:07Z",
309- "mean": 4.084463783189451,
310- "n_pasts": 592,
311- "n_runs": 74,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:09:13Z",
309+ "mean": 4.082906613555036,
310+ "n_pasts": 600,
311+ "n_runs": 75,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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319- "se": 0.00974730386815901
318+ "sd": 0.23628563776610337,
319+ "se": 0.00964632076791753
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:00:50Z",
327- "mean": 1.5567213737519348,
328- "n_pasts": 592,
329- "n_runs": 74,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:08:52Z",
327+ "mean": 1.556308730239337,
328+ "n_pasts": 600,
329+ "n_runs": 75,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10781930726406004,
337- "se": 0.0044313462315441554
336+ "sd": 0.10753397754361377,
337+ "se": 0.004390056249895975
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:00:54Z",
345- "mean": 2.3030248676092016,
346- "n_pasts": 592,
347- "n_runs": 74,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-09T19:09:03Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3012891925632615,
346+ "n_pasts": 600,
347+ "n_runs": 75,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.14930186499302342,
355- "se": 0.0061362688519135565
354+ "sd": 0.14950269031109936,
355+ "se": 0.006103421773925466
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-09T17:00:33Z",
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448- "mean": 5.071790180798113,
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451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.3171397031480983,
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456+ "sd": 0.3178789210050744,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-09T17:19:16Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-09T19:33:32Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 74
469+ "total_runs": 75
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -1774,3 +1774,27 @@
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