estimates: run 128 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (114 runs, generated 2026-08-13T19:45:13Z)
24+## Current state (115 runs, generated 2026-08-13T21:55:27Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9321 | 0.0041 | 912 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5440 | 0.0075 | 912 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3102 | 0.0038 | 912 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9751 | 0.0197 | 912 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7252 | 0.0045 | 912 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1309 | 0.0065 | 912 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4755 | 0.0077 | 912 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4415 | 0.0062 | 912 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7630 | 0.0089 | 912 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6666 | 0.0068 | 912 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9939 | 0.0062 | 912 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2132 | 0.0072 | 912 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4772 | 0.0069 | 912 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1788 | 0.0085 | 912 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9750 | 0.0031 | 912 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0883 | 0.0079 | 912 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5575 | 0.0035 | 912 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3074 | 0.0053 | 912 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1057 | 0.0023 | 912 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0157 | 0.0156 | 912 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0660 | 0.0030 | 912 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0677 | 0.0360 | 912 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0378 | 0.0044 | 912 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0576 | 0.0100 | 912 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9322 | 0.0041 | 920 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5432 | 0.0074 | 920 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3104 | 0.0038 | 920 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9739 | 0.0195 | 920 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7253 | 0.0045 | 920 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1313 | 0.0065 | 920 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4758 | 0.0077 | 920 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4397 | 0.0063 | 920 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7631 | 0.0089 | 920 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6669 | 0.0068 | 920 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9932 | 0.0062 | 920 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2128 | 0.0072 | 920 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4781 | 0.0069 | 920 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1779 | 0.0084 | 920 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9745 | 0.0031 | 920 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0887 | 0.0078 | 920 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5576 | 0.0035 | 920 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3075 | 0.0053 | 920 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1055 | 0.0022 | 920 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0166 | 0.0155 | 920 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0663 | 0.0030 | 920 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0660 | 0.0357 | 920 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0372 | 0.0044 | 920 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0569 | 0.0100 | 920 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:37:40Z",
9- "mean": 0.9320596136560254,
10- "n_pasts": 912,
11- "n_runs": 114,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:38:12Z",
9+ "mean": 0.932201647498986,
10+ "n_pasts": 920,
11+ "n_runs": 115,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12401637341803118,
22- "se": 0.004106592484951087
21+ "sd": 0.12364839857364188,
22+ "se": 0.0040765669793059464
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:42:41Z",
30- "mean": 2.5439996161768845,
31- "n_pasts": 912,
32- "n_runs": 114,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:52:59Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5432467879013583,
31+ "n_pasts": 920,
32+ "n_runs": 115,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.22664417307190868,
43- "se": 0.007504938519349824
42+ "sd": 0.22591410584666005,
43+ "se": 0.007448167502997832
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:38:37Z",
51- "mean": 1.3101838664332015,
52- "n_pasts": 912,
53- "n_runs": 114,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:40:07Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3104241777170806,
52+ "n_pasts": 920,
53+ "n_runs": 115,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11587106678284184,
64- "se": 0.0038368744300379654
63+ "sd": 0.11548752331666207,
64+ "se": 0.003807510889792381
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:45:13Z",
72- "mean": 2.9751479908087592,
73- "n_pasts": 912,
74- "n_runs": 114,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:55:27Z",
72+ "mean": 2.973860179040225,
73+ "n_pasts": 920,
74+ "n_runs": 115,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5948504719496533,
85- "se": 0.019697467442818205
84+ "sd": 0.5926372085473807,
85+ "se": 0.01953867015619648
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:39:17Z",
93- "mean": 1.7252084086683146,
94- "n_pasts": 912,
95- "n_runs": 114,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:44:04Z",
93+ "mean": 1.725332543700016,
94+ "n_pasts": 920,
95+ "n_runs": 115,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.1354705788909555,
106- "se": 0.0044858791292850825
105+ "sd": 0.13612773808039247,
106+ "se": 0.004487998618887344
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:40:53Z",
114- "mean": 2.1309281225981644,
115- "n_pasts": 912,
116- "n_runs": 114,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:49:31Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1312870636184345,
115+ "n_pasts": 920,
116+ "n_runs": 115,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19726936374962234,
127- "se": 0.0065322413836002196
126+ "sd": 0.19693096566192037,
127+ "se": 0.006492621668222326
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:32:20Z",
135- "mean": 0.4755434816073364,
136- "n_pasts": 912,
137- "n_runs": 114,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:11:47Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47584480332550805,
136+ "n_pasts": 920,
137+ "n_runs": 115,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23238645054615462,
147- "se": 0.007695084327296936
146+ "sd": 0.23242847848259474,
147+ "se": 0.00766294000862579
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:35:42Z",
155- "mean": 1.4415002108536312,
156- "n_pasts": 912,
157- "n_runs": 114,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:19:30Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4396892827198513,
156+ "n_pasts": 920,
157+ "n_runs": 115,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18829785527681425,
167- "se": 0.006235165052002283
166+ "sd": 0.189707759524544,
167+ "se": 0.006254479614107396
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:32:51Z",
175- "mean": 0.7629908567742423,
176- "n_pasts": 912,
177- "n_runs": 114,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:12:52Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7630587334132327,
176+ "n_pasts": 920,
177+ "n_runs": 115,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26937581888903317,
187- "se": 0.008919924708235437
186+ "sd": 0.26910015971321266,
187+ "se": 0.008871969535129004
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:37:00Z",
195- "mean": 1.66655342436656,
196- "n_pasts": 912,
197- "n_runs": 114,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:36:51Z",
195+ "mean": 1.666854803947918,
196+ "n_pasts": 920,
197+ "n_runs": 115,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2049781550922184,
207- "se": 0.006787504972778504
206+ "sd": 0.204858870855746,
207+ "se": 0.006753996962209409
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:33:35Z",
215- "mean": 0.9939192349780283,
216- "n_pasts": 912,
217- "n_runs": 114,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:14:01Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9931671532044348,
216+ "n_pasts": 920,
217+ "n_runs": 115,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.1885481405733468,
227- "se": 0.0062434528263461565
226+ "sd": 0.18878024490116113,
227+ "se": 0.006223900362535012
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:34:12Z",
235- "mean": 1.213240239488462,
236- "n_pasts": 912,
237- "n_runs": 114,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:17:30Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2127975119667571,
236+ "n_pasts": 920,
237+ "n_runs": 115,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.2183810700839959,
247- "se": 0.007231319837418541
246+ "sd": 0.2178215736639277,
247+ "se": 0.007181364617916798
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:31:08Z",
255- "mean": 0.47717577676176776,
256- "n_pasts": 912,
257- "n_runs": 114,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:09:29Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47806780614497124,
256+ "n_pasts": 920,
257+ "n_runs": 115,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20818227407839127,
265- "se": 0.006893603954605314
264+ "sd": 0.20873037921991536,
265+ "se": 0.006881636813105496
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:31:36Z",
273- "mean": 3.1788040542789453,
274- "n_pasts": 912,
275- "n_runs": 114,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:09:52Z",
273+ "mean": 3.177904737682263,
274+ "n_pasts": 920,
275+ "n_runs": 115,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2552885597549173,
283- "se": 0.008453448944598024
282+ "sd": 0.25439767408408387,
283+ "se": 0.008387242938417519
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:31:15Z",
291- "mean": 0.9750106395836745,
292- "n_pasts": 912,
293- "n_runs": 114,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:09:33Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9744953329123289,
292+ "n_pasts": 920,
293+ "n_runs": 115,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09455256090835311,
301- "se": 0.0031309481591619264
300+ "sd": 0.09469560803634838,
301+ "se": 0.003122021742775464
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:31:40Z",
309- "mean": 4.088326515222407,
310- "n_pasts": 912,
311- "n_runs": 114,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:10:01Z",
309+ "mean": 4.0887330891959275,
310+ "n_pasts": 920,
311+ "n_runs": 115,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23723946181036812,
319- "se": 0.007855783588513235
318+ "sd": 0.23745259252943124,
319+ "se": 0.007828580143555664
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:31:22Z",
327- "mean": 1.5574970439233031,
328- "n_pasts": 912,
329- "n_runs": 114,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:09:40Z",
327+ "mean": 1.557555543662614,
328+ "n_pasts": 920,
329+ "n_runs": 115,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.1072008801259843,
337- "se": 0.0035497758608179298
336+ "sd": 0.10692778916361975,
337+ "se": 0.0035253048118936248
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-13T19:31:27Z",
345- "mean": 2.307353875993733,
346- "n_pasts": 912,
347- "n_runs": 114,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T21:09:48Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3074519626376024,
346+ "n_pasts": 920,
347+ "n_runs": 115,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.16093372233374995,
355- "se": 0.005329048064349327
354+ "sd": 0.16052800493258904,
355+ "se": 0.005292451594286589
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-13T19:45:13Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-13T21:55:27Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 114
469+ "total_runs": 115
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2734,3 +2734,27 @@
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