estimates: run 54 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (45 runs, generated 2026-08-07T03:51:39Z)
24+## Current state (46 runs, generated 2026-08-07T06:23:18Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9376 | 0.0061 | 360 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5477 | 0.0125 | 360 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3143 | 0.0063 | 360 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9725 | 0.0253 | 360 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7195 | 0.0070 | 360 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1331 | 0.0124 | 360 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4750 | 0.0126 | 360 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4575 | 0.0102 | 360 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7572 | 0.0147 | 360 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6555 | 0.0106 | 360 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9950 | 0.0094 | 360 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2206 | 0.0096 | 360 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4869 | 0.0112 | 360 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1958 | 0.0159 | 360 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9721 | 0.0057 | 360 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0797 | 0.0126 | 360 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5583 | 0.0058 | 360 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2958 | 0.0073 | 360 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1079 | 0.0046 | 360 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0160 | 0.0229 | 360 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0643 | 0.0046 | 360 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.1001 | 0.0562 | 360 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0328 | 0.0070 | 360 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0628 | 0.0157 | 360 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9366 | 0.0060 | 368 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5476 | 0.0122 | 368 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3145 | 0.0062 | 368 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9724 | 0.0248 | 368 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7176 | 0.0070 | 368 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1316 | 0.0122 | 368 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4734 | 0.0123 | 368 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4569 | 0.0103 | 368 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7559 | 0.0145 | 368 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6548 | 0.0104 | 368 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9933 | 0.0093 | 368 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2220 | 0.0095 | 368 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4879 | 0.0111 | 368 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1963 | 0.0157 | 368 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9725 | 0.0057 | 368 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0804 | 0.0124 | 368 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5583 | 0.0058 | 368 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2962 | 0.0072 | 368 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1076 | 0.0045 | 368 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0249 | 0.0242 | 368 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0641 | 0.0046 | 368 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.1115 | 0.0584 | 368 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0336 | 0.0069 | 368 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0652 | 0.0158 | 368 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:37:00Z",
9- "mean": 0.9376194716777528,
10- "n_pasts": 360,
11- "n_runs": 45,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T06:12:47Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9365932137725896,
10+ "n_pasts": 368,
11+ "n_runs": 46,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.11577642756989592,
22- "se": 0.006101953507973072
21+ "sd": 0.1153353673089471,
22+ "se": 0.0060122716336206495
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:48:46Z",
30- "mean": 2.5476718094624666,
31- "n_pasts": 360,
32- "n_runs": 45,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T06:19:47Z",
30+ "mean": 2.547582088642211,
31+ "n_pasts": 368,
32+ "n_runs": 46,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.23623636859497907,
43- "se": 0.012450749848786753
42+ "sd": 0.2349261072344296,
43+ "se": 0.012246369899174152
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:38:43Z",
51- "mean": 1.314294720793843,
52- "n_pasts": 360,
53- "n_runs": 45,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T06:13:58Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3145234759891724,
52+ "n_pasts": 368,
53+ "n_runs": 46,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11938330254135958,
64- "se": 0.006292052510394404
63+ "sd": 0.11868380466084044,
64+ "se": 0.006186820996729865
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:51:38Z",
72- "mean": 2.972455938618542,
73- "n_pasts": 360,
74- "n_runs": 45,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T06:23:17Z",
72+ "mean": 2.97238222142914,
73+ "n_pasts": 368,
74+ "n_runs": 46,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.4801013409473804,
85- "se": 0.02530356241824639
84+ "sd": 0.4767028168260391,
85+ "se": 0.024849852132459646
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:43:15Z",
93- "mean": 1.7194559528281805,
94- "n_pasts": 360,
95- "n_runs": 45,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T06:14:55Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7175872294010757,
94+ "n_pasts": 368,
95+ "n_runs": 46,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13303004512963615,
106- "se": 0.007011298997410661
105+ "sd": 0.1343078424567395,
106+ "se": 0.0070012802682842355
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:46:06Z",
114- "mean": 2.1330987178347534,
115- "n_pasts": 360,
116- "n_runs": 45,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T06:16:30Z",
114+ "mean": 2.131570514272425,
115+ "n_pasts": 368,
116+ "n_runs": 46,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.23561411735125226,
127- "se": 0.012417954328669266
126+ "sd": 0.2336196150776326,
127+ "se": 0.012178264287537977
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:26:05Z",
135- "mean": 0.47500626925404926,
136- "n_pasts": 360,
137- "n_runs": 45,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T05:57:19Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4733826984892582,
136+ "n_pasts": 368,
137+ "n_runs": 46,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23868406549364782,
147- "se": 0.012579754802478815
146+ "sd": 0.23655126367090024,
147+ "se": 0.01233108703469959
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:33:33Z",
155- "mean": 1.4575130649581212,
156- "n_pasts": 360,
157- "n_runs": 45,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T06:06:07Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4569404108921882,
156+ "n_pasts": 368,
157+ "n_runs": 46,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.1931050608241416,
167- "se": 0.01017753033182732
166+ "sd": 0.19750712138517867,
167+ "se": 0.01029577042193252
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:27:16Z",
175- "mean": 0.7572444437921222,
176- "n_pasts": 360,
177- "n_runs": 45,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T05:58:25Z",
175+ "mean": 0.755871136650582,
176+ "n_pasts": 368,
177+ "n_runs": 46,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.27797713098196275,
187- "se": 0.014650681189032672
186+ "sd": 0.27770622032802633,
187+ "se": 0.014476437452925829
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:35:45Z",
195- "mean": 1.6555444402600257,
196- "n_pasts": 360,
197- "n_runs": 45,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T06:07:50Z",
195+ "mean": 1.654780095644601,
196+ "n_pasts": 368,
197+ "n_runs": 46,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2002354617977693,
207- "se": 0.010553335460276413
206+ "sd": 0.19885476373090666,
207+ "se": 0.01036602113545201
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:30:43Z",
215- "mean": 0.9950128050314411,
216- "n_pasts": 360,
217- "n_runs": 45,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T05:59:30Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9933335480156777,
216+ "n_pasts": 368,
217+ "n_runs": 46,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.1783793113560181,
227- "se": 0.009401415188955927
226+ "sd": 0.1793073190451846,
227+ "se": 0.009347040141712908
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:31:32Z",
235- "mean": 1.2205998760543646,
236- "n_pasts": 360,
237- "n_runs": 45,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T06:04:18Z",
235+ "mean": 1.221967526000205,
236+ "n_pasts": 368,
237+ "n_runs": 46,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.1825498223954948,
247- "se": 0.009621220420482975
246+ "sd": 0.18178354331412017,
247+ "se": 0.009476122254840659
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:24:21Z",
255- "mean": 0.4869016788392113,
256- "n_pasts": 360,
257- "n_runs": 45,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T05:55:16Z",
255+ "mean": 0.48789179638360325,
256+ "n_pasts": 368,
257+ "n_runs": 46,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.21271211277865132,
265- "se": 0.011210912704785764
264+ "sd": 0.21331979391931868,
265+ "se": 0.011120062958965669
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:24:59Z",
273- "mean": 3.1957909698922418,
274- "n_pasts": 360,
275- "n_runs": 45,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T05:55:54Z",
273+ "mean": 3.196334644135732,
274+ "n_pasts": 368,
275+ "n_runs": 46,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.3021887862229137,
283- "se": 0.015926747463768636
282+ "sd": 0.3002720627901744,
283+ "se": 0.01565276330760059
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:24:37Z",
291- "mean": 0.9721322035354035,
292- "n_pasts": 360,
293- "n_runs": 45,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T05:55:27Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9725362838155528,
292+ "n_pasts": 368,
293+ "n_runs": 46,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.10890243262130213,
301- "se": 0.005739662163605597
300+ "sd": 0.10892681418322936,
301+ "se": 0.005678202708629983
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:25:05Z",
309- "mean": 4.079660503792839,
310- "n_pasts": 360,
311- "n_runs": 45,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T05:56:04Z",
309+ "mean": 4.080391626576983,
310+ "n_pasts": 368,
311+ "n_runs": 46,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23838588572344224,
319- "se": 0.01256403934871156
318+ "sd": 0.2380552168135191,
319+ "se": 0.012409486011775207
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:24:46Z",
327- "mean": 1.5583173414711802,
328- "n_pasts": 360,
329- "n_runs": 45,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T05:55:32Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5582834496421676,
328+ "n_pasts": 368,
329+ "n_runs": 46,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.11075493579015591,
337- "se": 0.005837297653376555
336+ "sd": 0.11034129912180042,
337+ "se": 0.005751937833169659
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:24:52Z",
345- "mean": 2.295791535275044,
346- "n_pasts": 360,
347- "n_runs": 45,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T05:55:45Z",
345+ "mean": 2.2961590617613736,
346+ "n_pasts": 368,
347+ "n_runs": 46,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.1391096571580574,
355- "se": 0.007331722685743453
354+ "sd": 0.13855369506666307,
355+ "se": 0.0072226106355669645
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:24:04Z",
363- "mean": 2.1078668758670616,
364- "n_pasts": 360,
365- "n_runs": 45,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T05:55:01Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1075581236086807,
364+ "n_pasts": 368,
365+ "n_runs": 46,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.08691536701654683,
372- "se": 0.004580842057362694
371+ "sd": 0.08629466913326264,
372+ "se": 0.004498420592642848
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
377377 "highres_szego": 6.047095585180641,
378378 "id": "none_s16",
379- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T03:24:08Z",
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442442 {
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451451 "params": {
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454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.2973033873815972,
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456+ "sd": 0.30271072883986627,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-07T03:51:39Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-07T06:23:18Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 45
469+ "total_runs": 46
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -1078,3 +1078,27 @@
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