estimates: run 115 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (101 runs, generated 2026-08-12T15:55:57Z)
24+## Current state (102 runs, generated 2026-08-12T17:43:18Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9307 | 0.0044 | 808 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5427 | 0.0076 | 808 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3101 | 0.0041 | 808 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9685 | 0.0182 | 808 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7249 | 0.0047 | 808 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1329 | 0.0072 | 808 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4766 | 0.0082 | 808 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4455 | 0.0066 | 808 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7608 | 0.0095 | 808 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6663 | 0.0072 | 808 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9897 | 0.0068 | 808 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2126 | 0.0078 | 808 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4727 | 0.0072 | 808 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1808 | 0.0091 | 808 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9758 | 0.0034 | 808 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0863 | 0.0084 | 808 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5562 | 0.0037 | 808 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3048 | 0.0056 | 808 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1059 | 0.0025 | 808 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0161 | 0.0166 | 808 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0659 | 0.0032 | 808 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0738 | 0.0395 | 808 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0378 | 0.0048 | 808 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0661 | 0.0111 | 808 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9312 | 0.0044 | 816 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5419 | 0.0075 | 816 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3099 | 0.0041 | 816 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9685 | 0.0181 | 816 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7247 | 0.0047 | 816 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1331 | 0.0071 | 816 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4771 | 0.0082 | 816 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4446 | 0.0066 | 816 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7607 | 0.0095 | 816 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6659 | 0.0072 | 816 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9901 | 0.0067 | 816 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2129 | 0.0077 | 816 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4715 | 0.0071 | 816 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1806 | 0.0091 | 816 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9758 | 0.0033 | 816 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0850 | 0.0083 | 816 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5565 | 0.0037 | 816 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3045 | 0.0056 | 816 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1057 | 0.0025 | 816 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0145 | 0.0165 | 816 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0654 | 0.0032 | 816 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0763 | 0.0394 | 816 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0373 | 0.0047 | 816 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0646 | 0.0110 | 816 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:45:36Z",
9- "mean": 0.930732622235059,
10- "n_pasts": 808,
11- "n_runs": 101,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:32:55Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9311694307273545,
10+ "n_pasts": 816,
11+ "n_runs": 102,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12457274141724625,
22- "se": 0.004382453750074801
21+ "sd": 0.12433618849814224,
22+ "se": 0.004352637211947528
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:53:17Z",
30- "mean": 2.5426886773411095,
31- "n_pasts": 808,
32- "n_runs": 101,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:40:22Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5419124420179853,
31+ "n_pasts": 816,
32+ "n_runs": 102,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2162480997605493,
43- "se": 0.007607581602205685
42+ "sd": 0.2154120527022429,
43+ "se": 0.007540930181463569
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:46:41Z",
51- "mean": 1.3101451212105573,
52- "n_pasts": 808,
53- "n_runs": 101,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:33:45Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3099001415674218,
52+ "n_pasts": 816,
53+ "n_runs": 102,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11688232023138242,
64- "se": 0.00411190567685902
63+ "sd": 0.11689282967952289,
64+ "se": 0.004092067534147854
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:55:57Z",
72- "mean": 2.9684823601143306,
73- "n_pasts": 808,
74- "n_runs": 101,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:43:18Z",
72+ "mean": 2.968514207806441,
73+ "n_pasts": 816,
74+ "n_runs": 102,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5172509212146383,
85- "se": 0.01819682390880506
84+ "sd": 0.5158376094032074,
85+ "se": 0.018057928275998274
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:47:55Z",
93- "mean": 1.7249166539974228,
94- "n_pasts": 808,
95- "n_runs": 101,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:37:13Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7246769315245671,
94+ "n_pasts": 816,
95+ "n_runs": 102,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13429965025861074,
106- "se": 0.0047246452090047705
105+ "sd": 0.13433876369579892,
106+ "se": 0.004702797382904306
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:51:32Z",
114- "mean": 2.1329488022886425,
115- "n_pasts": 808,
116- "n_runs": 101,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:38:42Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1330534158447403,
115+ "n_pasts": 816,
116+ "n_runs": 102,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.20335522238826342,
127- "se": 0.007154011759023231
126+ "sd": 0.20270039915834964,
127+ "se": 0.0070959332991491235
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:27:13Z",
135- "mean": 0.47660948314482376,
136- "n_pasts": 808,
137- "n_runs": 101,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:25:58Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4771058562875256,
136+ "n_pasts": 816,
137+ "n_runs": 102,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23269882796147762,
147- "se": 0.008186316200765612
146+ "sd": 0.2337733016784811,
147+ "se": 0.00818370246294622
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:33:38Z",
155- "mean": 1.4455351202491276,
156- "n_pasts": 808,
157- "n_runs": 101,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:30:09Z",
155+ "mean": 1.444574168633352,
156+ "n_pasts": 816,
157+ "n_runs": 102,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18628805205532994,
167- "se": 0.006553590801935948
166+ "sd": 0.18897223283149786,
167+ "se": 0.0066153513517062616
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:28:24Z",
175- "mean": 0.7607659157456561,
176- "n_pasts": 808,
177- "n_runs": 101,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:26:51Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7607046471968256,
176+ "n_pasts": 816,
177+ "n_runs": 102,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2707557854544787,
187- "se": 0.009525155293364644
186+ "sd": 0.2711397219688636,
187+ "se": 0.009491788816547289
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:44:08Z",
195- "mean": 1.6662671337316077,
196- "n_pasts": 808,
197- "n_runs": 101,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:32:01Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6659372024416217,
196+ "n_pasts": 816,
197+ "n_runs": 102,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20507119207903624,
207- "se": 0.007214379362086198
206+ "sd": 0.2043205464148527,
207+ "se": 0.00715264979756097
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:30:20Z",
215- "mean": 0.989673211569529,
216- "n_pasts": 808,
217- "n_runs": 101,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:27:51Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9900917309340006,
216+ "n_pasts": 816,
217+ "n_runs": 102,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19241645496591897,
227- "se": 0.006769187263986369
226+ "sd": 0.19174819084665704,
227+ "se": 0.0067125293197743945
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:32:05Z",
235- "mean": 1.2126002991551852,
236- "n_pasts": 808,
237- "n_runs": 101,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:28:46Z",
235+ "mean": 1.212864585645919,
236+ "n_pasts": 816,
237+ "n_runs": 102,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.22042841022948162,
247- "se": 0.00775464441131324
246+ "sd": 0.2202863901558471,
247+ "se": 0.0077115661229414136
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:25:41Z",
255- "mean": 0.47265027319298736,
256- "n_pasts": 808,
257- "n_runs": 101,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:23:55Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4715278350341945,
256+ "n_pasts": 816,
257+ "n_runs": 102,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20405650309654244,
265- "se": 0.007178682728248824
264+ "sd": 0.2034202586209611,
265+ "se": 0.0071211334208689725
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:26:08Z",
273- "mean": 3.1808305799287164,
274- "n_pasts": 808,
275- "n_runs": 101,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:24:26Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1806443349528535,
274+ "n_pasts": 816,
275+ "n_runs": 102,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.259573212228293,
283- "se": 0.009131753740079096
282+ "sd": 0.2587227546789608,
283+ "se": 0.009057108016545334
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:25:46Z",
291- "mean": 0.9758320803560351,
292- "n_pasts": 808,
293- "n_runs": 101,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:24:01Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9757676400523436,
292+ "n_pasts": 816,
293+ "n_runs": 102,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09578888442364132,
301- "se": 0.0033698411946463864
300+ "sd": 0.09540835353369179,
301+ "se": 0.0033399604325783
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:26:15Z",
309- "mean": 4.086257363401967,
310- "n_pasts": 808,
311- "n_runs": 101,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:24:30Z",
309+ "mean": 4.08501520026601,
310+ "n_pasts": 816,
311+ "n_runs": 102,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.2375459208070765,
319- "se": 0.00835683633202777
318+ "sd": 0.2367341556959937,
319+ "se": 0.00828735308575715
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:25:54Z",
327- "mean": 1.5561846479040868,
328- "n_pasts": 808,
329- "n_runs": 101,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:24:14Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5565435757392716,
328+ "n_pasts": 816,
329+ "n_runs": 102,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10476809463189528,
337- "se": 0.0036857287074536197
336+ "sd": 0.10526734351621665,
337+ "se": 0.003685094115607331
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:26:02Z",
345- "mean": 2.304832514199003,
346- "n_pasts": 808,
347- "n_runs": 101,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:24:20Z",
345+ "mean": 2.304544268139178,
346+ "n_pasts": 816,
347+ "n_runs": 102,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.15967408076821243,
355- "se": 0.005617314559279029
354+ "sd": 0.15920766560651334,
355+ "se": 0.005573383084334795
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T15:25:30Z",
363- "mean": 2.105945365998959,
364- "n_pasts": 808,
365- "n_runs": 101,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-12T17:23:47Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1057253257451203,
364+ "n_pasts": 816,
365+ "n_runs": 102,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.0702589952702603,
372- "se": 0.0024717028283686173
371+ "sd": 0.07016115625865696,
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373373 },
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-12T15:55:57Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-12T17:43:18Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 101
469+ "total_runs": 102
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2422,3 +2422,27 @@
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