estimates: run 133 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (119 runs, generated 2026-08-14T08:37:14Z)
24+## Current state (120 runs, generated 2026-08-14T09:51:33Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9316 | 0.0040 | 952 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5508 | 0.0089 | 952 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3094 | 0.0037 | 952 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9836 | 0.0202 | 952 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7256 | 0.0044 | 952 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1298 | 0.0064 | 952 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4774 | 0.0076 | 952 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4395 | 0.0062 | 952 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7624 | 0.0087 | 952 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6670 | 0.0067 | 952 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9908 | 0.0062 | 952 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2126 | 0.0070 | 952 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4788 | 0.0068 | 952 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1785 | 0.0082 | 952 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9753 | 0.0031 | 952 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0881 | 0.0076 | 952 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5570 | 0.0035 | 952 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3089 | 0.0055 | 952 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1059 | 0.0022 | 952 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0238 | 0.0164 | 952 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0659 | 0.0029 | 952 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0646 | 0.0351 | 952 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0364 | 0.0043 | 952 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0563 | 0.0097 | 952 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9319 | 0.0040 | 960 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5504 | 0.0089 | 960 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3098 | 0.0037 | 960 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9863 | 0.0204 | 960 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7253 | 0.0044 | 960 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1294 | 0.0063 | 960 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4772 | 0.0075 | 960 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4399 | 0.0061 | 960 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7619 | 0.0087 | 960 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6685 | 0.0067 | 960 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9913 | 0.0061 | 960 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2129 | 0.0070 | 960 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4780 | 0.0067 | 960 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1791 | 0.0083 | 960 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9755 | 0.0031 | 960 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0881 | 0.0076 | 960 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5574 | 0.0034 | 960 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3091 | 0.0054 | 960 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1059 | 0.0022 | 960 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0236 | 0.0163 | 960 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0661 | 0.0029 | 960 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0604 | 0.0349 | 960 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0369 | 0.0043 | 960 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0561 | 0.0096 | 960 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:13:30Z",
9- "mean": 0.9315940663380307,
10- "n_pasts": 952,
11- "n_runs": 119,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:37:44Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9318950223091924,
10+ "n_pasts": 960,
11+ "n_runs": 120,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.1246561395994549,
22- "se": 0.004040128692600254
21+ "sd": 0.12433944111736285,
22+ "se": 0.0040130382060357
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:22:37Z",
30- "mean": 2.55082734618535,
31- "n_pasts": 952,
32- "n_runs": 119,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:42:04Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5504345616340953,
31+ "n_pasts": 960,
32+ "n_runs": 120,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.27549701636585017,
43- "se": 0.008928909591792782
42+ "sd": 0.2745010143554663,
43+ "se": 0.008859482142631369
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:14:02Z",
51- "mean": 1.3093552281856127,
52- "n_pasts": 952,
53- "n_runs": 119,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:38:27Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3097503720297312,
52+ "n_pasts": 960,
53+ "n_runs": 120,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.1153902408293439,
64- "se": 0.0037398191883580858
63+ "sd": 0.11551425543732609,
64+ "se": 0.003728206562985946
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:37:14Z",
72- "mean": 2.9836348312450944,
73- "n_pasts": 952,
74- "n_runs": 119,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:51:33Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9862639237871473,
73+ "n_pasts": 960,
74+ "n_runs": 120,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6230150797284255,
85- "se": 0.0201920347254557
84+ "sd": 0.6314317330684576,
85+ "se": 0.020379371553675193
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:14:48Z",
93- "mean": 1.7255617573739848,
94- "n_pasts": 952,
95- "n_runs": 119,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:39:55Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7252731986732348,
94+ "n_pasts": 960,
95+ "n_runs": 120,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13569405347770283,
106- "se": 0.004397869536406675
105+ "sd": 0.13733504365769444,
106+ "se": 0.004432469474474327
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:18:28Z",
114- "mean": 2.1297910320912243,
115- "n_pasts": 952,
116- "n_runs": 119,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:40:51Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1293881761450333,
115+ "n_pasts": 960,
116+ "n_runs": 120,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.1967581569024684,
127- "se": 0.006376968497172051
126+ "sd": 0.19608901362472467,
127+ "se": 0.006328745701189982
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T07:58:38Z",
135- "mean": 0.47743407773234825,
136- "n_pasts": 952,
137- "n_runs": 119,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:31:47Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4772168653024821,
136+ "n_pasts": 960,
137+ "n_runs": 120,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23402529484304957,
147- "se": 0.007584803376132893
146+ "sd": 0.23334520736825703,
147+ "se": 0.00753118418378813
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:09:57Z",
155- "mean": 1.4395387491610874,
156- "n_pasts": 952,
157- "n_runs": 119,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:34:04Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4398978796618003,
156+ "n_pasts": 960,
157+ "n_runs": 120,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.1909128822560179,
167- "se": 0.006187522057621337
166+ "sd": 0.19033554509544853,
167+ "se": 0.0061430533028831915
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:00:05Z",
175- "mean": 0.7624176569701671,
176- "n_pasts": 952,
177- "n_runs": 119,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:32:21Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7619035548542575,
176+ "n_pasts": 960,
177+ "n_runs": 120,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2684175815535588,
187- "se": 0.008699463791494179
186+ "sd": 0.26838911828282386,
187+ "se": 0.008662221545105578
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:12:50Z",
195- "mean": 1.6669918775650754,
196- "n_pasts": 952,
197- "n_runs": 119,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:37:17Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6685067572977386,
196+ "n_pasts": 960,
197+ "n_runs": 120,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20627364729410497,
207- "se": 0.006685367312336234
206+ "sd": 0.20728524918486785,
207+ "se": 0.006690102650062064
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:01:35Z",
215- "mean": 0.9908036717582531,
216- "n_pasts": 952,
217- "n_runs": 119,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:32:44Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9912950460982903,
216+ "n_pasts": 960,
217+ "n_runs": 120,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19036517182043494,
227- "se": 0.0061697706604326745
226+ "sd": 0.18993939744445615,
227+ "se": 0.006130267692425419
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T08:02:09Z",
235- "mean": 1.2126383817145945,
236- "n_pasts": 952,
237- "n_runs": 119,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:33:19Z",
235+ "mean": 1.212927770822534,
236+ "n_pasts": 960,
237+ "n_runs": 120,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21626336956148276,
247- "se": 0.007009136070884547
246+ "sd": 0.2160608156736475,
247+ "se": 0.006973332840600226
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T07:55:17Z",
255- "mean": 0.47881173700580576,
256- "n_pasts": 952,
257- "n_runs": 119,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:31:00Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4780437091892836,
256+ "n_pasts": 960,
257+ "n_runs": 120,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.209147163084361,
265- "se": 0.006778498494082728
264+ "sd": 0.2084834535670859,
265+ "se": 0.006728774530209424
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T07:57:41Z",
273- "mean": 3.1784688076589833,
274- "n_pasts": 952,
275- "n_runs": 119,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:31:15Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1790595792449423,
274+ "n_pasts": 960,
275+ "n_runs": 120,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.25402999694497547,
283- "se": 0.008233159495683902
282+ "sd": 0.25650103217827014,
283+ "se": 0.008278535215928773
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T07:55:21Z",
291- "mean": 0.9753240761198253,
292- "n_pasts": 952,
293- "n_runs": 119,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:31:04Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9755098584253291,
292+ "n_pasts": 960,
293+ "n_runs": 120,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09498640200221185,
301- "se": 0.003078526973232824
300+ "sd": 0.0950521686822668,
301+ "se": 0.003067795552727646
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T07:57:45Z",
309- "mean": 4.088135338567421,
310- "n_pasts": 952,
311- "n_runs": 119,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:31:18Z",
309+ "mean": 4.088106251626088,
310+ "n_pasts": 960,
311+ "n_runs": 120,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23585631539547455,
319- "se": 0.007644147093132014
318+ "sd": 0.235231975055403,
319+ "se": 0.00759207934904212
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T07:55:32Z",
327- "mean": 1.557043102942975,
328- "n_pasts": 952,
329- "n_runs": 119,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:31:08Z",
327+ "mean": 1.557425639459622,
328+ "n_pasts": 960,
329+ "n_runs": 120,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10668284762142125,
337- "se": 0.0034576109533676707
336+ "sd": 0.10667693238761224,
337+ "se": 0.0034429831880143065
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T07:57:38Z",
345- "mean": 2.3088976186411965,
346- "n_pasts": 952,
347- "n_runs": 119,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:31:11Z",
345+ "mean": 2.30913089390189,
346+ "n_pasts": 960,
347+ "n_runs": 120,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.16816498648283065,
355- "se": 0.005450258520463511
354+ "sd": 0.16850209062294977,
355+ "se": 0.005438381589865145
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T07:55:07Z",
363- "mean": 2.1059135764685712,
364- "n_pasts": 952,
365- "n_runs": 119,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T09:30:55Z",
363+ "mean": 2.105895306607756,
364+ "n_pasts": 960,
365+ "n_runs": 120,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.0678168131843983,
372- "se": 0.0021979555412784246
371+ "sd": 0.06761853987583226,
372+ "se": 0.002182378990283004
373373 },
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450- "n_runs": 119,
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451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.298684308845983,
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456+ "sd": 0.29786213037347564,
457+ "se": 0.009613458920019446
458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-14T08:37:14Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-14T09:51:33Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 119
469+ "total_runs": 120
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2854,3 +2854,27 @@
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