estimates: run 143 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (129 runs, generated 2026-08-15T03:31:11Z)
24+## Current state (130 runs, generated 2026-08-15T05:22:14Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9318 | 0.0039 | 1032 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5506 | 0.0086 | 1032 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3103 | 0.0035 | 1032 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9846 | 0.0193 | 1032 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7252 | 0.0043 | 1032 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1300 | 0.0060 | 1032 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4793 | 0.0073 | 1032 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4411 | 0.0061 | 1032 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7615 | 0.0083 | 1032 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6678 | 0.0066 | 1032 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9927 | 0.0059 | 1032 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2106 | 0.0068 | 1032 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4820 | 0.0066 | 1032 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1759 | 0.0078 | 1032 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9756 | 0.0030 | 1032 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0895 | 0.0077 | 1032 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5564 | 0.0033 | 1032 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3092 | 0.0052 | 1032 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1053 | 0.0021 | 1032 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0137 | 0.0154 | 1032 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0672 | 0.0037 | 1032 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0514 | 0.0331 | 1032 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0390 | 0.0043 | 1032 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0505 | 0.0091 | 1032 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9320 | 0.0039 | 1040 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5501 | 0.0085 | 1040 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3109 | 0.0035 | 1040 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9838 | 0.0191 | 1040 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7253 | 0.0043 | 1040 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1296 | 0.0060 | 1040 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4795 | 0.0073 | 1040 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4411 | 0.0061 | 1040 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7621 | 0.0083 | 1040 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6674 | 0.0066 | 1040 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9930 | 0.0058 | 1040 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2089 | 0.0068 | 1040 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4824 | 0.0066 | 1040 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1754 | 0.0077 | 1040 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9759 | 0.0030 | 1040 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0893 | 0.0076 | 1040 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5563 | 0.0033 | 1040 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3090 | 0.0052 | 1040 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1053 | 0.0020 | 1040 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0148 | 0.0153 | 1040 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0672 | 0.0037 | 1040 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0475 | 0.0329 | 1040 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0389 | 0.0043 | 1040 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0501 | 0.0090 | 1040 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:20:34Z",
9- "mean": 0.9317690890482491,
10- "n_pasts": 1032,
11- "n_runs": 129,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T05:02:18Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9319527409031364,
10+ "n_pasts": 1040,
11+ "n_runs": 130,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12578574719468905,
22- "se": 0.003915539281583852
21+ "sd": 0.12556669895596828,
22+ "se": 0.003893658044561641
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:28:08Z",
30- "mean": 2.5505759693933356,
31- "n_pasts": 1032,
32- "n_runs": 129,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T05:09:23Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5501440697927436,
31+ "n_pasts": 1040,
32+ "n_runs": 130,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2749060276705982,
43- "se": 0.008557450856672677
42+ "sd": 0.2741210520657626,
43+ "se": 0.008500132984572865
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:21:21Z",
51- "mean": 1.3103344844120652,
52- "n_pasts": 1032,
53- "n_runs": 129,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T05:04:08Z",
51+ "mean": 1.310891803769705,
52+ "n_pasts": 1040,
53+ "n_runs": 130,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11345678065230574,
64- "se": 0.003531755316590454
63+ "sd": 0.11333586238565485,
64+ "se": 0.0035143959026109383
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:31:11Z",
72- "mean": 2.984643176421499,
73- "n_pasts": 1032,
74- "n_runs": 129,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T05:22:14Z",
72+ "mean": 2.983838224802834,
73+ "n_pasts": 1040,
74+ "n_runs": 130,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6190144671442149,
85- "se": 0.019269078699515867
84+ "sd": 0.6173258557934359,
85+ "se": 0.0191424621695987
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:23:10Z",
93- "mean": 1.7251772579977986,
94- "n_pasts": 1032,
95- "n_runs": 129,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T05:05:55Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7253053223381762,
94+ "n_pasts": 1040,
95+ "n_runs": 130,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13763947376418387,
106- "se": 0.004284529672396356
105+ "sd": 0.1377722946207952,
106+ "se": 0.0042721374992591415
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:25:17Z",
114- "mean": 2.1299589955944707,
115- "n_pasts": 1032,
116- "n_runs": 129,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T05:07:35Z",
114+ "mean": 2.129645614989632,
115+ "n_pasts": 1040,
116+ "n_runs": 130,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19289900574998575,
127- "se": 0.006004683767736358
126+ "sd": 0.19236167225201103,
127+ "se": 0.005964882240728623
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:11:39Z",
135- "mean": 0.479345434448404,
136- "n_pasts": 1032,
137- "n_runs": 129,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:54:23Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4795465454963547,
136+ "n_pasts": 1040,
137+ "n_runs": 130,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23429674888827126,
147- "se": 0.007293339223874709
146+ "sd": 0.2346858232734604,
147+ "se": 0.0072772984503933855
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:16:37Z",
155- "mean": 1.441077183607354,
156- "n_pasts": 1032,
157- "n_runs": 129,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:58:29Z",
155+ "mean": 1.441139157041979,
156+ "n_pasts": 1040,
157+ "n_runs": 130,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19662183465297003,
167- "se": 0.006120570369623683
166+ "sd": 0.19615317050383282,
167+ "se": 0.006082451610568665
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:13:18Z",
175- "mean": 0.7615204869441418,
176- "n_pasts": 1032,
177- "n_runs": 129,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:55:20Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7620782321141468,
176+ "n_pasts": 1040,
177+ "n_runs": 130,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26812725066232607,
187- "se": 0.008346436745384656
186+ "sd": 0.26740286703777955,
187+ "se": 0.008291810910356096
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:19:41Z",
195- "mean": 1.6678092093039836,
196- "n_pasts": 1032,
197- "n_runs": 129,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T05:01:35Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6673630374266466,
196+ "n_pasts": 1040,
197+ "n_runs": 130,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.21245195167044378,
207- "se": 0.006613340388456187
206+ "sd": 0.2131517002479515,
207+ "se": 0.006609553641873296
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:14:05Z",
215- "mean": 0.9927303803048859,
216- "n_pasts": 1032,
217- "n_runs": 129,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:56:14Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9929922114583543,
216+ "n_pasts": 1040,
217+ "n_runs": 130,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18804358903978688,
227- "se": 0.005853541247369432
226+ "sd": 0.18740877547183274,
227+ "se": 0.0058112994313343335
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:15:05Z",
235- "mean": 1.210564691310064,
236- "n_pasts": 1032,
237- "n_runs": 129,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:57:12Z",
235+ "mean": 1.208947552259667,
236+ "n_pasts": 1040,
237+ "n_runs": 130,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.2172248019594193,
247- "se": 0.006761912728394488
246+ "sd": 0.21805114196694012,
247+ "se": 0.0067614788801858075
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:09:06Z",
255- "mean": 0.48203771032397175,
256- "n_pasts": 1032,
257- "n_runs": 129,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:52:32Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4823771614183616,
256+ "n_pasts": 1040,
257+ "n_runs": 130,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.21221723643373588,
265- "se": 0.006606034022275498
264+ "sd": 0.21219268334266975,
265+ "se": 0.006579815790044999
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:09:35Z",
273- "mean": 3.1758923488544175,
274- "n_pasts": 1032,
275- "n_runs": 129,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:53:29Z",
273+ "mean": 3.17536075498449,
274+ "n_pasts": 1040,
275+ "n_runs": 130,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2495935861465642,
283- "se": 0.007769508968894679
282+ "sd": 0.2488379587824633,
283+ "se": 0.007716137543325807
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:09:11Z",
291- "mean": 0.9755623508677672,
292- "n_pasts": 1032,
293- "n_runs": 129,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:53:12Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9758692437830904,
292+ "n_pasts": 1040,
293+ "n_runs": 130,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09569854071570767,
301- "se": 0.0029789654529191853
300+ "sd": 0.09547095567527902,
301+ "se": 0.00296042866204033
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:09:44Z",
309- "mean": 4.089456589794811,
310- "n_pasts": 1032,
311- "n_runs": 129,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:53:34Z",
309+ "mean": 4.089274635918066,
310+ "n_pasts": 1040,
311+ "n_runs": 130,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24680034884726063,
319- "se": 0.00768255928968118
318+ "sd": 0.24644840086945585,
319+ "se": 0.007642040497944451
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:09:16Z",
327- "mean": 1.556373058949869,
328- "n_pasts": 1032,
329- "n_runs": 129,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:53:18Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5562972819771546,
328+ "n_pasts": 1040,
329+ "n_runs": 130,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10612810536214964,
337- "se": 0.0033036236194740527
336+ "sd": 0.10608963135304417,
337+ "se": 0.0032896998168854504
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-15T03:09:26Z",
345- "mean": 2.309182795632385,
346- "n_pasts": 1032,
347- "n_runs": 129,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T04:53:23Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3089580346116154,
346+ "n_pasts": 1040,
347+ "n_runs": 130,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.16688868234134815,
355- "se": 0.005195017765787923
354+ "sd": 0.16672597077681944,
355+ "se": 0.0051699528836077315
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-15T03:31:11Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-15T05:22:14Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 129
469+ "total_runs": 130
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -3094,3 +3094,27 @@
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