estimates: run 71 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (62 runs, generated 2026-08-08T15:09:46Z)
24+## Current state (63 runs, generated 2026-08-08T17:30:20Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9346 | 0.0053 | 496 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5454 | 0.0103 | 496 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3123 | 0.0053 | 496 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9621 | 0.0196 | 496 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7218 | 0.0060 | 496 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1379 | 0.0103 | 496 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4728 | 0.0104 | 496 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4521 | 0.0084 | 496 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7556 | 0.0124 | 496 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6548 | 0.0090 | 496 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9864 | 0.0085 | 496 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2241 | 0.0096 | 496 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4774 | 0.0094 | 496 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1879 | 0.0125 | 496 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9737 | 0.0046 | 496 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0840 | 0.0107 | 496 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5601 | 0.0049 | 496 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3016 | 0.0069 | 496 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1057 | 0.0035 | 496 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0341 | 0.0232 | 496 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0668 | 0.0042 | 496 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0807 | 0.0487 | 496 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0382 | 0.0063 | 496 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0701 | 0.0145 | 496 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9355 | 0.0052 | 504 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5458 | 0.0102 | 504 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3121 | 0.0052 | 504 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9624 | 0.0194 | 504 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7206 | 0.0060 | 504 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1370 | 0.0102 | 504 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4728 | 0.0104 | 504 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4512 | 0.0084 | 504 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7555 | 0.0123 | 504 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6568 | 0.0090 | 504 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9874 | 0.0084 | 504 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2252 | 0.0097 | 504 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4782 | 0.0093 | 504 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1882 | 0.0123 | 504 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9738 | 0.0046 | 504 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0838 | 0.0106 | 504 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5593 | 0.0049 | 504 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3020 | 0.0068 | 504 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1061 | 0.0035 | 504 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0348 | 0.0228 | 504 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0683 | 0.0044 | 504 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0871 | 0.0484 | 504 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0382 | 0.0062 | 504 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0701 | 0.0143 | 504 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T15:01:55Z",
9- "mean": 0.9345943412363532,
10- "n_pasts": 496,
11- "n_runs": 62,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:16:41Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9354564110343542,
10+ "n_pasts": 504,
11+ "n_runs": 63,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.11789630910663593,
22- "se": 0.005293700551234839
21+ "sd": 0.11756553415093715,
22+ "se": 0.005236785110546167
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T15:06:21Z",
30- "mean": 2.5453540751939134,
31- "n_pasts": 496,
32- "n_runs": 62,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:24:05Z",
30+ "mean": 2.545777087229962,
31+ "n_pasts": 504,
32+ "n_runs": 63,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.23007844880223002,
43- "se": 0.010330827321744097
42+ "sd": 0.2284947992647884,
43+ "se": 0.010177967303672911
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T15:02:41Z",
51- "mean": 1.3122762443393874,
52- "n_pasts": 496,
53- "n_runs": 62,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:17:42Z",
51+ "mean": 1.312061210332871,
52+ "n_pasts": 504,
53+ "n_runs": 63,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11720667068399665,
64- "se": 0.00526273487193799
63+ "sd": 0.11665409315015848,
64+ "se": 0.0051961863015798325
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T15:09:45Z",
72- "mean": 2.962107662004619,
73- "n_pasts": 496,
74- "n_runs": 62,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:30:20Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9623702497561655,
73+ "n_pasts": 504,
74+ "n_runs": 63,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.43741256148924174,
85- "se": 0.019640403804145126
84+ "sd": 0.4346226905192334,
85+ "se": 0.019359633338581598
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T15:03:23Z",
93- "mean": 1.7218075237423647,
94- "n_pasts": 496,
95- "n_runs": 62,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:18:58Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7205568320268245,
94+ "n_pasts": 504,
95+ "n_runs": 63,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13408730869746438,
106- "se": 0.006020697894141373
105+ "sd": 0.1344867754686304,
106+ "se": 0.005990517105423921
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T15:04:30Z",
114- "mean": 2.1378504980668196,
115- "n_pasts": 496,
116- "n_runs": 62,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:20:30Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1370074098570244,
115+ "n_pasts": 504,
116+ "n_runs": 63,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.2292814299261465,
127- "se": 0.010295040117754091
126+ "sd": 0.2280070467992269,
127+ "se": 0.010156241082057609
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:56:02Z",
135- "mean": 0.47283638377392734,
136- "n_pasts": 496,
137- "n_runs": 62,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T16:59:34Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4728074045736976,
136+ "n_pasts": 504,
137+ "n_runs": 63,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2321534294824881,
147- "se": 0.010423996704688465
146+ "sd": 0.23283962504730302,
147+ "se": 0.010371501226094239
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:59:28Z",
155- "mean": 1.4520636095714148,
156- "n_pasts": 496,
157- "n_runs": 62,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:13:24Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4512159116573955,
156+ "n_pasts": 504,
157+ "n_runs": 63,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.1881369768112289,
167- "se": 0.008447599635646279
166+ "sd": 0.18821783994883148,
167+ "se": 0.008383888942466437
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:56:41Z",
175- "mean": 0.7555566497302585,
176- "n_pasts": 496,
177- "n_runs": 62,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:00:43Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7555073709114614,
176+ "n_pasts": 504,
177+ "n_runs": 63,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.27575982434952373,
187- "se": 0.01238198163478665
186+ "sd": 0.2753971317425213,
187+ "se": 0.012267163241437633
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T15:01:07Z",
195- "mean": 1.6548072270714778,
196- "n_pasts": 496,
197- "n_runs": 62,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:15:50Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6567682093752891,
196+ "n_pasts": 504,
197+ "n_runs": 63,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20015556804013296,
207- "se": 0.008987250312547193
206+ "sd": 0.2014401891821689,
207+ "se": 0.00897285918865003
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:57:20Z",
215- "mean": 0.9864254378108547,
216- "n_pasts": 496,
217- "n_runs": 62,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:01:39Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9873840439861408,
216+ "n_pasts": 504,
217+ "n_runs": 63,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.1896611411849377,
227- "se": 0.008516036636315883
226+ "sd": 0.18935007702624,
227+ "se": 0.008434322790374352
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:58:32Z",
235- "mean": 1.2240875970157405,
236- "n_pasts": 496,
237- "n_runs": 62,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T17:12:13Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2252034904060032,
236+ "n_pasts": 504,
237+ "n_runs": 63,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21364616367389586,
247- "se": 0.009592995938377962
246+ "sd": 0.21711599860564182,
247+ "se": 0.00967111523773334
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:54:41Z",
255- "mean": 0.47744025729605283,
256- "n_pasts": 496,
257- "n_runs": 62,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T16:58:15Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4782048731132643,
256+ "n_pasts": 504,
257+ "n_runs": 63,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2086695565985442,
265- "se": 0.009369539684168683
264+ "sd": 0.20912711116699548,
265+ "se": 0.009315261908008141
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:54:57Z",
273- "mean": 3.18792324771799,
274- "n_pasts": 496,
275- "n_runs": 62,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T16:58:42Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1882132939119745,
274+ "n_pasts": 504,
275+ "n_runs": 63,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.27752412109434554,
283- "se": 0.012461200897216296
282+ "sd": 0.27616324425844424,
283+ "se": 0.012301288605179334
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:54:44Z",
291- "mean": 0.9737062200111402,
292- "n_pasts": 496,
293- "n_runs": 62,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T16:58:20Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9737952868299519,
292+ "n_pasts": 504,
293+ "n_runs": 63,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.10318679008640269,
301- "se": 0.004633223649660444
300+ "sd": 0.10266983419592376,
301+ "se": 0.004573277899024213
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:55:01Z",
309- "mean": 4.084026944943411,
310- "n_pasts": 496,
311- "n_runs": 62,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T16:58:48Z",
309+ "mean": 4.083776102105655,
310+ "n_pasts": 504,
311+ "n_runs": 63,
312312 "params": {
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
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318+ "sd": 0.23771419424302884,
319+ "se": 0.01058863179560053
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:54:49Z",
327- "mean": 1.56005191919462,
328- "n_pasts": 496,
329- "n_runs": 62,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T16:58:25Z",
327+ "mean": 1.559308869454896,
328+ "n_pasts": 504,
329+ "n_runs": 63,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10909334551826563,
337- "se": 0.004898435817729852
336+ "sd": 0.10902747437063064,
337+ "se": 0.004856469700478294
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:54:53Z",
345- "mean": 2.301583609017308,
346- "n_pasts": 496,
347- "n_runs": 62,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T16:58:34Z",
345+ "mean": 2.30201917965299,
346+ "n_pasts": 504,
347+ "n_runs": 63,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.15305273163491034,
355- "se": 0.006872270522827749
354+ "sd": 0.15230944881428096,
355+ "se": 0.006784402074183594
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T14:54:29Z",
363- "mean": 2.105666228060424,
364- "n_pasts": 496,
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451451 "params": {
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456+ "sd": 0.32047649204170925,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-08T15:09:46Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-08T17:30:20Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 62
469+ "total_runs": 63
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -1486,3 +1486,27 @@
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