estimates: run 193 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (175 runs, generated 2026-08-19T07:33:03Z)
24+## Current state (176 runs, generated 2026-08-19T09:28:42Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9329 | 0.0033 | 1400 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5512 | 0.0068 | 1400 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3139 | 0.0030 | 1400 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9867 | 0.0171 | 1400 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7238 | 0.0040 | 1400 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1310 | 0.0051 | 1400 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4794 | 0.0063 | 1400 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4438 | 0.0056 | 1400 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7583 | 0.0072 | 1400 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6678 | 0.0055 | 1400 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9916 | 0.0051 | 1400 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2087 | 0.0056 | 1400 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4816 | 0.0056 | 1400 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1731 | 0.0064 | 1400 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9743 | 0.0025 | 1400 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0887 | 0.0065 | 1400 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5571 | 0.0028 | 1400 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3111 | 0.0048 | 1400 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1057 | 0.0018 | 1400 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0271 | 0.0154 | 1400 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0638 | 0.0029 | 1400 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0425 | 0.0272 | 1400 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0446 | 0.0039 | 1400 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0437 | 0.0073 | 1400 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9333 | 0.0033 | 1408 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5512 | 0.0068 | 1408 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3140 | 0.0030 | 1408 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9857 | 0.0171 | 1408 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7234 | 0.0040 | 1408 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1308 | 0.0051 | 1408 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4792 | 0.0062 | 1408 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4429 | 0.0056 | 1408 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7581 | 0.0071 | 1408 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6674 | 0.0055 | 1408 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9915 | 0.0051 | 1408 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2093 | 0.0056 | 1408 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4826 | 0.0056 | 1408 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1739 | 0.0063 | 1408 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9743 | 0.0025 | 1408 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0879 | 0.0064 | 1408 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5571 | 0.0028 | 1408 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3113 | 0.0048 | 1408 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1060 | 0.0018 | 1408 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0268 | 0.0153 | 1408 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0638 | 0.0029 | 1408 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0422 | 0.0271 | 1408 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0442 | 0.0039 | 1408 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0435 | 0.0073 | 1408 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:19:47Z",
9- "mean": 0.9329113460505316,
10- "n_pasts": 1400,
11- "n_runs": 175,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:18:52Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9333425275464905,
10+ "n_pasts": 1408,
11+ "n_runs": 176,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12348213213908231,
22- "se": 0.003300198798948523
21+ "sd": 0.12329026856017693,
22+ "se": 0.0032856966970881644
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:30:40Z",
30- "mean": 2.5511944826049016,
31- "n_pasts": 1400,
32- "n_runs": 175,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:26:00Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5511701236398308,
31+ "n_pasts": 1408,
32+ "n_runs": 176,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2562775138382307,
43- "se": 0.006849304662263407
42+ "sd": 0.2558797537263332,
43+ "se": 0.006819218349418927
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:20:48Z",
51- "mean": 1.3139106534741478,
52- "n_pasts": 1400,
53- "n_runs": 175,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:19:48Z",
51+ "mean": 1.314023894117256,
52+ "n_pasts": 1408,
53+ "n_runs": 176,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11232709963099069,
64- "se": 0.0030020680147799196
63+ "sd": 0.11212621781487822,
64+ "se": 0.0029881737450471557
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:33:03Z",
72- "mean": 2.9867345883955716,
73- "n_pasts": 1400,
74- "n_runs": 175,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:28:42Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9857156856421145,
73+ "n_pasts": 1408,
74+ "n_runs": 176,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6415261511884148,
85- "se": 0.017145507588591347
84+ "sd": 0.6399760034859835,
85+ "se": 0.01705541779920154
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:21:33Z",
93- "mean": 1.7237782025505264,
94- "n_pasts": 1400,
95- "n_runs": 175,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:20:59Z",
93+ "mean": 1.723436560327633,
94+ "n_pasts": 1408,
95+ "n_runs": 176,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.14870756895335346,
106- "se": 0.003974376956025072
105+ "sd": 0.1484435570151751,
106+ "se": 0.003956034086751278
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:23:56Z",
114- "mean": 2.1309623522625025,
115- "n_pasts": 1400,
116- "n_runs": 175,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:22:36Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1307949679633587,
115+ "n_pasts": 1408,
116+ "n_runs": 176,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19056962642885636,
127- "se": 0.005093187503016293
126+ "sd": 0.19023205138388247,
127+ "se": 0.0050697012036051295
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:13:03Z",
135- "mean": 0.47936848961272954,
136- "n_pasts": 1400,
137- "n_runs": 175,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:05:34Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4792436501662829,
136+ "n_pasts": 1408,
137+ "n_runs": 176,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23423291469147883,
147- "se": 0.006260137967721159
146+ "sd": 0.23440203014687103,
147+ "se": 0.006246835092815287
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:17:12Z",
155- "mean": 1.4437680310556453,
156- "n_pasts": 1400,
157- "n_runs": 175,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:15:43Z",
155+ "mean": 1.442851110788528,
156+ "n_pasts": 1408,
157+ "n_runs": 176,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.2079995734938057,
167- "se": 0.00555902243292091
166+ "sd": 0.20875142229287444,
167+ "se": 0.005563244096636672
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:14:15Z",
175- "mean": 0.758318949492732,
176- "n_pasts": 1400,
177- "n_runs": 175,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:06:37Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7581402531427893,
176+ "n_pasts": 1408,
177+ "n_runs": 176,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2681693946396253,
187- "se": 0.00716712854542893
186+ "sd": 0.2681746801027465,
187+ "se": 0.007146879238292777
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:19:09Z",
195- "mean": 1.6678084332168819,
196- "n_pasts": 1400,
197- "n_runs": 175,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:18:02Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6674359333177429,
196+ "n_pasts": 1408,
197+ "n_runs": 176,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20715216072850146,
207- "se": 0.005536374374114144
206+ "sd": 0.20685219406510738,
207+ "se": 0.0055126294943013306
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:14:58Z",
215- "mean": 0.9916362290191919,
216- "n_pasts": 1400,
217- "n_runs": 175,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:07:24Z",
215+ "mean": 0.991472107926398,
216+ "n_pasts": 1408,
217+ "n_runs": 176,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19056678070537636,
227- "se": 0.005093111447857152
226+ "sd": 0.19126238232363715,
227+ "se": 0.005097159615410011
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:15:43Z",
235- "mean": 1.2086802331242512,
236- "n_pasts": 1400,
237- "n_runs": 175,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:11:34Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2092907427683743,
236+ "n_pasts": 1408,
237+ "n_runs": 176,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.20847898362961925,
247- "se": 0.005571835207749204
246+ "sd": 0.2091108951749257,
247+ "se": 0.00557282408113214
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:11:39Z",
255- "mean": 0.4816447147325238,
256- "n_pasts": 1400,
257- "n_runs": 175,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:04:00Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4825771996575081,
256+ "n_pasts": 1408,
257+ "n_runs": 176,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20985624757211102,
265- "se": 0.005608644134920358
264+ "sd": 0.21041780645914665,
265+ "se": 0.005607653383883282
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:12:00Z",
273- "mean": 3.1730708707971376,
274- "n_pasts": 1400,
275- "n_runs": 175,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:04:28Z",
273+ "mean": 3.173861845844829,
274+ "n_pasts": 1408,
275+ "n_runs": 176,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.23783058863454618,
283- "se": 0.006356289848323174
282+ "sd": 0.23806814902269163,
283+ "se": 0.006344537489136509
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:11:45Z",
291- "mean": 0.9742709091846071,
292- "n_pasts": 1400,
293- "n_runs": 175,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:04:09Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9742852619521026,
292+ "n_pasts": 1408,
293+ "n_runs": 176,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09390090602174626,
301- "se": 0.0025096072760073754
300+ "sd": 0.09368729960770811,
301+ "se": 0.0024967749237232587
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:12:05Z",
309- "mean": 4.08872995182952,
310- "n_pasts": 1400,
311- "n_runs": 175,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:04:31Z",
309+ "mean": 4.087880871205697,
310+ "n_pasts": 1408,
311+ "n_runs": 176,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
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319- "se": 0.00645191056269637
318+ "sd": 0.24102471394014527,
319+ "se": 0.006423330208930632
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:11:51Z",
327- "mean": 1.557073974198666,
328- "n_pasts": 1400,
329- "n_runs": 175,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:04:14Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5570809030317967,
328+ "n_pasts": 1408,
329+ "n_runs": 176,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10648638693145034,
337- "se": 0.0028459684018066374
336+ "sd": 0.10629877473036692,
337+ "se": 0.002832871865029736
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:11:56Z",
345- "mean": 2.3111222048666624,
346- "n_pasts": 1400,
347- "n_runs": 175,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-19T09:04:20Z",
345+ "mean": 2.311310471736086,
346+ "n_pasts": 1408,
347+ "n_runs": 176,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.18005254757170785,
355- "se": 0.004812106747351051
354+ "sd": 0.1797395087469117,
355+ "se": 0.004790074002780886
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-19T07:11:25Z",
363- "mean": 2.1057417110264836,
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459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-19T07:33:03Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-19T09:28:42Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 175
469+ "total_runs": 176
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -4198,3 +4198,27 @@
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