estimates: run 11 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (3 runs, generated 2026-08-01T21:48:05Z)
24+## Current state (4 runs, generated 2026-08-01T22:54:10Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9644 | 0.0173 | 24 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5427 | 0.0294 | 24 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3438 | 0.0389 | 24 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9625 | 0.0974 | 24 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7323 | 0.0244 | 24 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1653 | 0.0829 | 24 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.5273 | 0.0496 | 24 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4698 | 0.0311 | 24 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7422 | 0.0586 | 24 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6034 | 0.0419 | 24 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9987 | 0.0470 | 24 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2412 | 0.0315 | 24 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4731 | 0.0368 | 24 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.2196 | 0.0909 | 24 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9590 | 0.0183 | 24 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0630 | 0.0373 | 24 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5839 | 0.0326 | 24 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2781 | 0.0203 | 24 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.0874 | 0.0086 | 24 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9139 | 0.0540 | 24 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0509 | 0.0151 | 24 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0523 | 0.1397 | 24 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0482 | 0.0382 | 24 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0918 | 0.0612 | 24 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9254 | 0.0265 | 32 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5753 | 0.0522 | 32 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3310 | 0.0302 | 32 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9611 | 0.0746 | 32 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7266 | 0.0215 | 32 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1631 | 0.0634 | 32 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.5049 | 0.0436 | 32 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4742 | 0.0245 | 32 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7254 | 0.0561 | 32 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6294 | 0.0452 | 32 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0032 | 0.0357 | 32 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2192 | 0.0269 | 32 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.5017 | 0.0380 | 32 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1917 | 0.0696 | 32 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9634 | 0.0162 | 32 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0503 | 0.0302 | 32 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5931 | 0.0260 | 32 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2728 | 0.0179 | 32 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.0894 | 0.0066 | 32 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9474 | 0.0503 | 32 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0524 | 0.0123 | 32 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0594 | 0.1239 | 32 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0345 | 0.0291 | 32 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0689 | 0.0485 | 32 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:23:19Z",
9- "mean": 0.9644404144631148,
10- "n_pasts": 24,
11- "n_runs": 3,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:28:53Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9253976013709497,
10+ "n_pasts": 32,
11+ "n_runs": 4,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.08484687049849705,
22- "se": 0.017319294916110096
21+ "sd": 0.15002013484821305,
22+ "se": 0.026520063666422934
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:44:32Z",
30- "mean": 2.5426761448334396,
31- "n_pasts": 24,
32- "n_runs": 3,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:51:16Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5753453262006487,
31+ "n_pasts": 32,
32+ "n_runs": 4,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.14396382957089685,
43- "se": 0.029386493655474785
42+ "sd": 0.29541858489750056,
43+ "se": 0.052223121167389114
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:39:21Z",
51- "mean": 1.3437858833418292,
52- "n_pasts": 24,
53- "n_runs": 3,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:29:55Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3309681935539235,
52+ "n_pasts": 32,
53+ "n_runs": 4,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.19045405753793804,
64- "se": 0.0388762717008847
63+ "sd": 0.17066646805043983,
64+ "se": 0.03016985421990582
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:48:05Z",
72- "mean": 2.9625264223196837,
73- "n_pasts": 24,
74- "n_runs": 3,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:54:10Z",
72+ "mean": 2.961114271776289,
73+ "n_pasts": 32,
74+ "n_runs": 4,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.47721627369320535,
85- "se": 0.09741136395839303
84+ "sd": 0.4217697140381618,
85+ "se": 0.0745590562238738
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:40:23Z",
93- "mean": 1.732284649270386,
94- "n_pasts": 24,
95- "n_runs": 3,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:31:08Z",
93+ "mean": 1.726616559516722,
94+ "n_pasts": 32,
95+ "n_runs": 4,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.11958172078839979,
106- "se": 0.0244095165412956
105+ "sd": 0.12154107622702577,
106+ "se": 0.02148562979821025
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:41:25Z",
114- "mean": 2.1653206061305688,
115- "n_pasts": 24,
116- "n_runs": 3,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:33:19Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1630688585399938,
115+ "n_pasts": 32,
116+ "n_runs": 4,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.4063218647038157,
127- "se": 0.08294010332171091
126+ "sd": 0.3588875385185977,
127+ "se": 0.06344295304246218
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:14:55Z",
135- "mean": 0.5272982118594153,
136- "n_pasts": 24,
137- "n_runs": 3,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:18:51Z",
135+ "mean": 0.5048922624548626,
136+ "n_pasts": 32,
137+ "n_runs": 4,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.24283073848074713,
147- "se": 0.0495676169284212
146+ "sd": 0.24656953033383186,
147+ "se": 0.04358774673325866
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:20:12Z",
155- "mean": 1.4698099642264586,
156- "n_pasts": 24,
157- "n_runs": 3,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:23:16Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4742139624516124,
156+ "n_pasts": 32,
157+ "n_runs": 4,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.15244589333023476,
167- "se": 0.031117887670152375
166+ "sd": 0.13871519278144542,
167+ "se": 0.024521613367339823
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:16:03Z",
175- "mean": 0.742240625454177,
176- "n_pasts": 24,
177- "n_runs": 3,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:19:40Z",
175+ "mean": 0.725383343363674,
176+ "n_pasts": 32,
177+ "n_runs": 4,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.28701238183875116,
187- "se": 0.05858615711381583
186+ "sd": 0.31735962883069346,
187+ "se": 0.05610178640525728
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:22:29Z",
195- "mean": 1.6033771928001954,
196- "n_pasts": 24,
197- "n_runs": 3,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:26:43Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6293879472274284,
196+ "n_pasts": 32,
197+ "n_runs": 4,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2051339962275779,
207- "se": 0.0418728016379646
206+ "sd": 0.25547969338262705,
207+ "se": 0.045162855911578884
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:16:50Z",
215- "mean": 0.9987349253486485,
216- "n_pasts": 24,
217- "n_runs": 3,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:20:47Z",
215+ "mean": 1.0031875471650613,
216+ "n_pasts": 32,
217+ "n_runs": 4,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.23044150366679503,
227- "se": 0.04703867496194555
226+ "sd": 0.2018796761312921,
227+ "se": 0.03568762199404516
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:17:34Z",
235- "mean": 1.2411842901561794,
236- "n_pasts": 24,
237- "n_runs": 3,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:21:54Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2192197069761892,
236+ "n_pasts": 32,
237+ "n_runs": 4,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.15431817515782878,
247- "se": 0.03150006559784329
246+ "sd": 0.15239582218780764,
247+ "se": 0.02694002982337453
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:13:36Z",
255- "mean": 0.473060047644904,
256- "n_pasts": 24,
257- "n_runs": 3,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:17:26Z",
255+ "mean": 0.5016564931035465,
256+ "n_pasts": 32,
257+ "n_runs": 4,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.1802652115663768,
265- "se": 0.03679648222603995
264+ "sd": 0.21467809016231312,
265+ "se": 0.03795008333148717
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:13:56Z",
273- "mean": 3.219564375284073,
274- "n_pasts": 24,
275- "n_runs": 3,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:17:53Z",
273+ "mean": 3.191701495624859,
274+ "n_pasts": 32,
275+ "n_runs": 4,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.4453403458059258,
283- "se": 0.09090471742492741
282+ "sd": 0.3937192840039779,
283+ "se": 0.06960039390078124
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:13:39Z",
291- "mean": 0.9589731695782472,
292- "n_pasts": 24,
293- "n_runs": 3,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:17:32Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9634420092168912,
292+ "n_pasts": 32,
293+ "n_runs": 4,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.08959999067409795,
301- "se": 0.01828952150913928
300+ "sd": 0.09187105708445843,
301+ "se": 0.016240661864799243
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:13:59Z",
309- "mean": 4.063041618909452,
310- "n_pasts": 24,
311- "n_runs": 3,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:17:58Z",
309+ "mean": 4.050266911514884,
310+ "n_pasts": 32,
311+ "n_runs": 4,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.18286097235944393,
319- "se": 0.037326339679151346
318+ "sd": 0.17056153744453248,
319+ "se": 0.03015130493415804
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:13:43Z",
327- "mean": 1.5838996422105478,
328- "n_pasts": 24,
329- "n_runs": 3,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:17:41Z",
327+ "mean": 1.593083162740999,
328+ "n_pasts": 32,
329+ "n_runs": 4,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.15986187391657541,
337- "se": 0.03263166836839576
336+ "sd": 0.14685338176293297,
337+ "se": 0.025960255521186693
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:13:50Z",
345- "mean": 2.2780602811783504,
346- "n_pasts": 24,
347- "n_runs": 3,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-01T22:17:48Z",
345+ "mean": 2.2727823187280056,
346+ "n_pasts": 32,
347+ "n_runs": 4,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.09964160212253027,
355- "se": 0.0203392568628017
354+ "sd": 0.10112924207182812,
355+ "se": 0.01787729321131139
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:13:27Z",
363- "mean": 2.087354371228159,
364- "n_pasts": 24,
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442442 {
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447- "last_utc": "2026-08-01T21:13:30Z",
448- "mean": 5.091847788823023,
449- "n_pasts": 24,
450- "n_runs": 3,
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448+ "mean": 5.06885854900743,
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450+ "n_runs": 4,
451451 "params": {
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453453 "sigma": 8.0
454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.2997754449701132,
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456+ "sd": 0.27430881047959255,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-01T21:48:05Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-01T22:54:10Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 3
469+ "total_runs": 4
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -70,3 +70,27 @@
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