estimates: run 141 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (127 runs, generated 2026-08-14T23:07:55Z)
24+## Current state (128 runs, generated 2026-08-15T02:30:27Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9325 | 0.0039 | 1016 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5504 | 0.0086 | 1016 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3099 | 0.0036 | 1016 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9873 | 0.0195 | 1016 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7243 | 0.0043 | 1016 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1289 | 0.0061 | 1016 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4793 | 0.0074 | 1016 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4394 | 0.0060 | 1016 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7625 | 0.0084 | 1016 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6662 | 0.0065 | 1016 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9920 | 0.0059 | 1016 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2112 | 0.0068 | 1016 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4797 | 0.0066 | 1016 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1756 | 0.0079 | 1016 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9760 | 0.0030 | 1016 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0891 | 0.0078 | 1016 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5570 | 0.0033 | 1016 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3093 | 0.0053 | 1016 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1052 | 0.0021 | 1016 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0140 | 0.0156 | 1016 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0673 | 0.0038 | 1016 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0532 | 0.0336 | 1016 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0394 | 0.0043 | 1016 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0511 | 0.0092 | 1016 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9320 | 0.0039 | 1024 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5504 | 0.0086 | 1024 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3101 | 0.0036 | 1024 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9867 | 0.0194 | 1024 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7249 | 0.0043 | 1024 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1292 | 0.0060 | 1024 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4791 | 0.0073 | 1024 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4410 | 0.0062 | 1024 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7620 | 0.0084 | 1024 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6661 | 0.0064 | 1024 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9925 | 0.0059 | 1024 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2110 | 0.0068 | 1024 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4806 | 0.0066 | 1024 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1752 | 0.0078 | 1024 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9757 | 0.0030 | 1024 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0890 | 0.0077 | 1024 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5566 | 0.0033 | 1024 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3093 | 0.0052 | 1024 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1054 | 0.0021 | 1024 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0134 | 0.0155 | 1024 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0673 | 0.0037 | 1024 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0519 | 0.0334 | 1024 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0390 | 0.0043 | 1024 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0512 | 0.0091 | 1024 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:55:51Z",
9- "mean": 0.9325103807226623,
10- "n_pasts": 1016,
11- "n_runs": 127,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T02:12:34Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9319701757805039,
10+ "n_pasts": 1024,
11+ "n_runs": 128,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12449115551389803,
22- "se": 0.00390563491077763
21+ "sd": 0.12611624001932187,
22+ "se": 0.003941132500603808
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T23:04:29Z",
30- "mean": 2.5504026884652427,
31- "n_pasts": 1016,
32- "n_runs": 127,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T02:26:33Z",
30+ "mean": 2.550376855877842,
31+ "n_pasts": 1024,
32+ "n_runs": 128,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2753686638763624,
43- "se": 0.008639083335118097
42+ "sd": 0.2753772404358111,
43+ "se": 0.008605538763619096
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:58:03Z",
51- "mean": 1.3099398588931088,
52- "n_pasts": 1016,
53- "n_runs": 127,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T02:13:42Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3101260087817626,
52+ "n_pasts": 1024,
53+ "n_runs": 128,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11409350054788628,
64- "se": 0.003579431462365246
63+ "sd": 0.11380479981052469,
64+ "se": 0.0035563999940788965
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T23:07:55Z",
72- "mean": 2.987318406394322,
73- "n_pasts": 1016,
74- "n_runs": 127,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T02:30:26Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9867085463160405,
73+ "n_pasts": 1024,
74+ "n_runs": 128,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6224534689112928,
85- "se": 0.01952810212483875
84+ "sd": 0.6206663652700244,
85+ "se": 0.019395823914688262
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:59:42Z",
93- "mean": 1.7243314423218912,
94- "n_pasts": 1016,
95- "n_runs": 127,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T02:18:01Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7248773368320112,
94+ "n_pasts": 1024,
95+ "n_runs": 128,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13644204641314217,
106- "se": 0.004280567704342805
105+ "sd": 0.1370163301221608,
106+ "se": 0.004281760316317525
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T23:01:50Z",
114- "mean": 2.128931236001551,
115- "n_pasts": 1016,
116- "n_runs": 127,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T02:22:58Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1291789464084734,
115+ "n_pasts": 1024,
116+ "n_runs": 128,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19310603706366514,
127- "se": 0.006058275198141055
126+ "sd": 0.19268422377878258,
127+ "se": 0.006021381993086956
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:46:47Z",
135- "mean": 0.47928313613949386,
136- "n_pasts": 1016,
137- "n_runs": 127,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:55:18Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47913384688103894,
136+ "n_pasts": 1024,
137+ "n_runs": 128,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23449659626261224,
147- "se": 0.007356812530505753
146+ "sd": 0.2347981220789786,
147+ "se": 0.007337441314968081
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:52:31Z",
155- "mean": 1.4393664069143748,
156- "n_pasts": 1016,
157- "n_runs": 127,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T02:09:58Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4410250690083082,
156+ "n_pasts": 1024,
157+ "n_runs": 128,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19082154149663988,
167- "se": 0.0059866041978739355
166+ "sd": 0.19719743370258935,
167+ "se": 0.006162419803205917
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:47:43Z",
175- "mean": 0.7625343794628466,
176- "n_pasts": 1016,
177- "n_runs": 127,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:56:37Z",
175+ "mean": 0.761990307902662,
176+ "n_pasts": 1024,
177+ "n_runs": 128,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2677108030677448,
187- "se": 0.008398834874152742
186+ "sd": 0.26787095024532886,
187+ "se": 0.008370967195166527
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:54:27Z",
195- "mean": 1.666225155097994,
196- "n_pasts": 1016,
197- "n_runs": 127,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T02:11:31Z",
195+ "mean": 1.66612544476295,
196+ "n_pasts": 1024,
197+ "n_runs": 128,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20642552727872104,
207- "se": 0.0064761447709869415
206+ "sd": 0.2058845524580679,
207+ "se": 0.0064338922643146215
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:48:46Z",
215- "mean": 0.9920212312272009,
216- "n_pasts": 1016,
217- "n_runs": 127,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:58:02Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9925294211127965,
216+ "n_pasts": 1024,
217+ "n_runs": 128,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18896089169020286,
227- "se": 0.005928230421755031
226+ "sd": 0.18850458547984095,
227+ "se": 0.00589076829624503
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:50:24Z",
235- "mean": 1.2111845493869302,
236- "n_pasts": 1016,
237- "n_runs": 127,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:59:07Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2109737980871962,
236+ "n_pasts": 1024,
237+ "n_runs": 128,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21733820759672398,
247- "se": 0.006818506001744335
246+ "sd": 0.21780630009674803,
247+ "se": 0.006806446878023376
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:45:01Z",
255- "mean": 0.47974510625662276,
256- "n_pasts": 1016,
257- "n_runs": 127,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:53:59Z",
255+ "mean": 0.48062508709211926,
256+ "n_pasts": 1024,
257+ "n_runs": 128,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.21073986123670596,
265- "se": 0.006611497465349057
264+ "sd": 0.21150897903899346,
265+ "se": 0.006609655594968546
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:45:36Z",
273- "mean": 3.175584006078933,
274- "n_pasts": 1016,
275- "n_runs": 127,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:54:24Z",
273+ "mean": 3.175207797402173,
274+ "n_pasts": 1024,
275+ "n_runs": 128,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2507987416992504,
283- "se": 0.007868256320027012
282+ "sd": 0.24995814863739887,
283+ "se": 0.007811192144918715
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:45:12Z",
291- "mean": 0.9760012117989187,
292- "n_pasts": 1016,
293- "n_runs": 127,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:54:04Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9756843890483086,
292+ "n_pasts": 1024,
293+ "n_runs": 128,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09609842879578785,
301- "se": 0.003014875850628653
300+ "sd": 0.09597886760510213,
301+ "se": 0.0029993396126594416
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:45:44Z",
309- "mean": 4.0891350822287285,
310- "n_pasts": 1016,
311- "n_runs": 127,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:54:29Z",
309+ "mean": 4.089045247500303,
310+ "n_pasts": 1024,
311+ "n_runs": 128,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.2470380723362199,
319- "se": 0.007750273628875076
318+ "sd": 0.24618064005540194,
319+ "se": 0.007693145001731311
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:45:23Z",
327- "mean": 1.5570408916575107,
328- "n_pasts": 1016,
329- "n_runs": 127,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:54:10Z",
327+ "mean": 1.556634292204974,
328+ "n_pasts": 1024,
329+ "n_runs": 128,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10618164326450434,
337- "se": 0.003331214423271115
336+ "sd": 0.10629780260380861,
337+ "se": 0.003321806331369019
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:45:31Z",
345- "mean": 2.3092978973704286,
346- "n_pasts": 1016,
347- "n_runs": 127,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:54:18Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3093352368669584,
346+ "n_pasts": 1024,
347+ "n_runs": 128,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.16759954335481808,
355- "se": 0.0052580653208242545
354+ "sd": 0.16718550107772745,
355+ "se": 0.005224546908678983
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T22:44:48Z",
363- "mean": 2.105234018773384,
364- "n_pasts": 1016,
365- "n_runs": 127,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-15T01:53:45Z",
363+ "mean": 2.105363357366453,
364+ "n_pasts": 1024,
365+ "n_runs": 128,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06657022174802127,
372- "se": 0.002088493604256522
371+ "sd": 0.0663772623201472,
372+ "se": 0.0020742894475046
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
377377 "highres_szego": 6.047095585180641,
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446446 "id": "none_s8",
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448- "mean": 5.051102512685533,
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450- "n_runs": 127,
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450+ "n_runs": 128,
451451 "params": {
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454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.29216571913926437,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-14T23:07:55Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-15T02:30:27Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 127
469+ "total_runs": 128
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -3046,3 +3046,27 @@
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