estimates: run 131 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (117 runs, generated 2026-08-14T03:57:36Z)
24+## Current state (118 runs, generated 2026-08-14T06:17:10Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9323 | 0.0040 | 936 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5497 | 0.0090 | 936 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3099 | 0.0038 | 936 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9797 | 0.0203 | 936 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7258 | 0.0045 | 936 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1308 | 0.0064 | 936 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4773 | 0.0076 | 936 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4392 | 0.0062 | 936 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7617 | 0.0088 | 936 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6667 | 0.0067 | 936 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9924 | 0.0062 | 936 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2133 | 0.0071 | 936 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4785 | 0.0068 | 936 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1770 | 0.0083 | 936 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9748 | 0.0031 | 936 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0882 | 0.0077 | 936 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5572 | 0.0035 | 936 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3071 | 0.0052 | 936 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1060 | 0.0022 | 936 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0210 | 0.0156 | 936 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0666 | 0.0030 | 936 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0639 | 0.0353 | 936 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0365 | 0.0043 | 936 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0571 | 0.0098 | 936 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9317 | 0.0041 | 944 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5495 | 0.0089 | 944 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3099 | 0.0038 | 944 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9812 | 0.0202 | 944 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7255 | 0.0044 | 944 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1299 | 0.0064 | 944 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4774 | 0.0076 | 944 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4387 | 0.0062 | 944 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7619 | 0.0088 | 944 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6664 | 0.0067 | 944 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9911 | 0.0062 | 944 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2132 | 0.0071 | 944 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4796 | 0.0068 | 944 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1790 | 0.0083 | 944 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9750 | 0.0031 | 944 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0886 | 0.0077 | 944 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5570 | 0.0035 | 944 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3072 | 0.0052 | 944 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1060 | 0.0022 | 944 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0244 | 0.0165 | 944 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0662 | 0.0030 | 944 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0604 | 0.0351 | 944 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0365 | 0.0043 | 944 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0570 | 0.0098 | 944 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:14:58Z",
9- "mean": 0.932320445239981,
10- "n_pasts": 936,
11- "n_runs": 117,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T06:02:53Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9317320955165541,
10+ "n_pasts": 944,
11+ "n_runs": 118,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12336121960442896,
22- "se": 0.004032187602458898
21+ "sd": 0.12507174925156564,
22+ "se": 0.004070738707382001
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:36:29Z",
30- "mean": 2.549655311228038,
31- "n_pasts": 936,
32- "n_runs": 117,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T06:10:32Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5494931950044113,
31+ "n_pasts": 944,
32+ "n_runs": 118,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2747876784668224,
43- "se": 0.008981716247417868
42+ "sd": 0.2738964693222005,
43+ "se": 0.008914570765637479
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:17:31Z",
51- "mean": 1.3099349701367342,
52- "n_pasts": 936,
53- "n_runs": 117,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T06:03:44Z",
51+ "mean": 1.309911168508979,
52+ "n_pasts": 944,
53+ "n_runs": 118,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11537733351385353,
64- "se": 0.003771226121881038
63+ "sd": 0.11524886300627886,
64+ "se": 0.003751030991641401
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:57:36Z",
72- "mean": 2.9797133175958153,
73- "n_pasts": 936,
74- "n_runs": 117,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T06:17:10Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9812426333619264,
73+ "n_pasts": 944,
74+ "n_runs": 118,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6215489667224218,
85- "se": 0.02031596352545552
84+ "sd": 0.6213787824055398,
85+ "se": 0.02022415674699189
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:24:44Z",
93- "mean": 1.7258133081018783,
94- "n_pasts": 936,
95- "n_runs": 117,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T06:05:26Z",
93+ "mean": 1.725538460207273,
94+ "n_pasts": 944,
95+ "n_runs": 118,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13639737174097014,
106- "se": 0.004458287564807537
105+ "sd": 0.13618871262741994,
106+ "se": 0.004432565046211045
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:27:03Z",
114- "mean": 2.1308454747321943,
115- "n_pasts": 936,
116- "n_runs": 117,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T06:06:53Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1298873246864356,
115+ "n_pasts": 944,
116+ "n_runs": 118,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.1968486060703668,
127- "se": 0.006434197971643202
126+ "sd": 0.19656869488347906,
127+ "se": 0.006397766079950496
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:05:09Z",
135- "mean": 0.4772864898758683,
136- "n_pasts": 936,
137- "n_runs": 117,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:52:48Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47743823294842797,
136+ "n_pasts": 944,
137+ "n_runs": 118,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23287061527285277,
147- "se": 0.007611614175760476
146+ "sd": 0.23308715654332657,
147+ "se": 0.007586340768498125
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:10:51Z",
155- "mean": 1.4392370824744831,
156- "n_pasts": 936,
157- "n_runs": 117,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:58:52Z",
155+ "mean": 1.438677782317396,
156+ "n_pasts": 944,
157+ "n_runs": 118,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19094156885530617,
167- "se": 0.0062411204201873495
166+ "sd": 0.19071303801436068,
167+ "se": 0.00620718068223352
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:06:09Z",
175- "mean": 0.7617432328474576,
176- "n_pasts": 936,
177- "n_runs": 117,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:54:25Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7619452829325938,
176+ "n_pasts": 944,
177+ "n_runs": 118,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2692209980866416,
187- "se": 0.008799763607132765
186+ "sd": 0.2689422202517497,
187+ "se": 0.008753323692835041
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:13:50Z",
195- "mean": 1.6666519798877482,
196- "n_pasts": 936,
197- "n_runs": 117,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T06:01:30Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6664358544541717,
196+ "n_pasts": 944,
197+ "n_runs": 118,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20479183420045116,
207- "se": 0.0066938305052087095
206+ "sd": 0.20498028355964357,
207+ "se": 0.006671539972292618
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:07:36Z",
215- "mean": 0.992408993009999,
216- "n_pasts": 936,
217- "n_runs": 117,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:55:57Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9911243013575612,
216+ "n_pasts": 944,
217+ "n_runs": 118,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18963224008590596,
227- "se": 0.006198323670540682
226+ "sd": 0.19059649415492266,
227+ "se": 0.006203387502698086
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:08:47Z",
235- "mean": 1.2133024108208263,
236- "n_pasts": 936,
237- "n_runs": 117,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:57:39Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2131954440992407,
236+ "n_pasts": 944,
237+ "n_runs": 118,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21627591292213239,
247- "se": 0.007069199360961839
246+ "sd": 0.21669094101893668,
247+ "se": 0.007052689407666326
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:03:22Z",
255- "mean": 0.4784882996293135,
256- "n_pasts": 936,
257- "n_runs": 117,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:50:41Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47959057478341166,
256+ "n_pasts": 944,
257+ "n_runs": 118,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.209230567863614,
265- "se": 0.006838915053696585
264+ "sd": 0.20980836395855046,
265+ "se": 0.006828680604608005
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:03:49Z",
273- "mean": 3.1770280832601085,
274- "n_pasts": 936,
275- "n_runs": 117,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:51:41Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1789975016221557,
274+ "n_pasts": 944,
275+ "n_runs": 118,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2529037412294499,
283- "se": 0.00826641738198452
282+ "sd": 0.2549867395161823,
283+ "se": 0.008299111483040694
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:03:27Z",
291- "mean": 0.974791289692191,
292- "n_pasts": 936,
293- "n_runs": 117,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:50:49Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9749562719956971,
292+ "n_pasts": 944,
293+ "n_runs": 118,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09449028949902749,
301- "se": 0.003088511730772901
300+ "sd": 0.09502891508879188,
301+ "se": 0.003092927741774749
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:03:54Z",
309- "mean": 4.088169277978066,
310- "n_pasts": 936,
311- "n_runs": 117,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:51:49Z",
309+ "mean": 4.088556037020642,
310+ "n_pasts": 944,
311+ "n_runs": 118,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23581653082596973,
319- "se": 0.007707904437880603
318+ "sd": 0.23657940597241994,
319+ "se": 0.007700003806009892
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:03:35Z",
327- "mean": 1.5571651665754067,
328- "n_pasts": 936,
329- "n_runs": 117,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:50:55Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5569927697233072,
328+ "n_pasts": 944,
329+ "n_runs": 118,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10706984282337624,
337- "se": 0.0034996872940622295
336+ "sd": 0.10683428375484325,
337+ "se": 0.0034771597643648415
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:03:41Z",
345- "mean": 2.3071257227155355,
346- "n_pasts": 936,
347- "n_runs": 117,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:51:01Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3072076642666564,
346+ "n_pasts": 944,
347+ "n_runs": 118,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.1597985551505524,
355- "se": 0.005223179172798715
354+ "sd": 0.15950306230946043,
355+ "se": 0.005191382495043787
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T03:03:11Z",
363- "mean": 2.105958301695453,
364- "n_pasts": 936,
365- "n_runs": 117,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T05:50:28Z",
363+ "mean": 2.105953987597234,
364+ "n_pasts": 944,
365+ "n_runs": 118,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06821980753401559,
372- "se": 0.0022298341655736507
371+ "sd": 0.06802517952810629,
372+ "se": 0.0022140310105097974
373373 },
374374 {
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450- "n_runs": 117,
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.30039378115873455,
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456+ "sd": 0.29963085999234296,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-14T03:57:36Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-14T06:17:10Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 117
469+ "total_runs": 118
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2806,3 +2806,27 @@
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