estimates: run 61 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (52 runs, generated 2026-08-07T17:43:58Z)
24+## Current state (53 runs, generated 2026-08-07T19:47:00Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9371 | 0.0059 | 416 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5492 | 0.0115 | 416 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3161 | 0.0057 | 416 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9696 | 0.0225 | 416 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7187 | 0.0066 | 416 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1327 | 0.0111 | 416 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4753 | 0.0119 | 416 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4551 | 0.0095 | 416 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7554 | 0.0136 | 416 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6578 | 0.0097 | 416 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9957 | 0.0086 | 416 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2278 | 0.0109 | 416 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4873 | 0.0104 | 416 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1910 | 0.0142 | 416 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9719 | 0.0052 | 416 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0832 | 0.0118 | 416 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5612 | 0.0053 | 416 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2979 | 0.0074 | 416 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1069 | 0.0041 | 416 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0273 | 0.0227 | 416 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0646 | 0.0044 | 416 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0849 | 0.0528 | 416 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0332 | 0.0069 | 416 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0647 | 0.0155 | 416 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9374 | 0.0058 | 424 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5500 | 0.0114 | 424 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3143 | 0.0057 | 424 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9675 | 0.0221 | 424 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7189 | 0.0065 | 424 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1321 | 0.0109 | 424 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4743 | 0.0117 | 424 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4538 | 0.0094 | 424 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7518 | 0.0136 | 424 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6577 | 0.0095 | 424 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9917 | 0.0090 | 424 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2277 | 0.0107 | 424 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4882 | 0.0103 | 424 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1896 | 0.0140 | 424 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9722 | 0.0051 | 424 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0816 | 0.0116 | 424 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5606 | 0.0052 | 424 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2977 | 0.0073 | 424 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1067 | 0.0040 | 424 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0233 | 0.0224 | 424 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0651 | 0.0043 | 424 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0810 | 0.0520 | 424 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0330 | 0.0068 | 424 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0704 | 0.0161 | 424 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:28:58Z",
9- "mean": 0.9371104008212726,
10- "n_pasts": 416,
11- "n_runs": 52,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:34:01Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9374156822582699,
10+ "n_pasts": 424,
11+ "n_runs": 53,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.11939050898833889,
22- "se": 0.005853601298743412
21+ "sd": 0.11859314136374804,
22+ "se": 0.005759392078957247
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:38:57Z",
30- "mean": 2.5492234015471484,
31- "n_pasts": 416,
32- "n_runs": 52,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:43:37Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5499689284274316,
31+ "n_pasts": 424,
32+ "n_runs": 53,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.23537482418170727,
43- "se": 0.011540200206836503
42+ "sd": 0.23567048963318288,
43+ "se": 0.011445170737776235
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:29:59Z",
51- "mean": 1.3160926121456185,
52- "n_pasts": 416,
53- "n_runs": 52,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:34:46Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3142502500659206,
52+ "n_pasts": 424,
53+ "n_runs": 53,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11554803630869029,
64- "se": 0.005665208575916725
63+ "sd": 0.11701110442628321,
64+ "se": 0.005682561573402918
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:43:58Z",
72- "mean": 2.969605646244827,
73- "n_pasts": 416,
74- "n_runs": 52,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:47:00Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9674837584457023,
73+ "n_pasts": 424,
74+ "n_runs": 53,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.4583168434842477,
85- "se": 0.022470832003215667
84+ "sd": 0.45431089759092885,
85+ "se": 0.022063287597245403
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:32:10Z",
93- "mean": 1.718720953343841,
94- "n_pasts": 416,
95- "n_runs": 52,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:36:31Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7189451814619587,
94+ "n_pasts": 424,
95+ "n_runs": 53,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.1341066809332777,
106- "se": 0.006575120990211005
105+ "sd": 0.13337874662208918,
106+ "se": 0.006477444546648346
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:33:51Z",
114- "mean": 2.1327154245519244,
115- "n_pasts": 416,
116- "n_runs": 52,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:38:56Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1321340380211296,
115+ "n_pasts": 424,
116+ "n_runs": 53,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.22600402453894933,
127- "se": 0.011080758954563511
126+ "sd": 0.2250528849716874,
127+ "se": 0.010929534272785778
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:15:17Z",
135- "mean": 0.47531787838920597,
136- "n_pasts": 416,
137- "n_runs": 52,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:27:17Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47425558498713233,
136+ "n_pasts": 424,
137+ "n_runs": 53,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2423794050961181,
147- "se": 0.011883628041135737
146+ "sd": 0.2403108491653095,
147+ "se": 0.011670526518266704
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:24:50Z",
155- "mean": 1.4550898799586884,
156- "n_pasts": 416,
157- "n_runs": 52,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:31:30Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4538213224453254,
156+ "n_pasts": 424,
157+ "n_runs": 53,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.193176793835901,
167- "se": 0.00947127155137067
166+ "sd": 0.1926200957115398,
167+ "se": 0.009354458788526084
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:16:08Z",
175- "mean": 0.7553688708297763,
176- "n_pasts": 416,
177- "n_runs": 52,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:28:30Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7517786286812909,
176+ "n_pasts": 424,
177+ "n_runs": 53,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.27821444406957135,
187- "se": 0.0136405853776357
186+ "sd": 0.2796163977725859,
187+ "se": 0.013579372701988895
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:28:06Z",
195- "mean": 1.6578163996804764,
196- "n_pasts": 416,
197- "n_runs": 52,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:33:03Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6576757139381415,
196+ "n_pasts": 424,
197+ "n_runs": 53,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.1977028825957461,
207- "se": 0.009693181310088969
206+ "sd": 0.1960880082707467,
207+ "se": 0.009522875510558528
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:17:01Z",
215- "mean": 0.9956774224572272,
216- "n_pasts": 416,
217- "n_runs": 52,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:29:20Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9916552637423717,
216+ "n_pasts": 424,
217+ "n_runs": 53,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.17558001783143146,
227- "se": 0.008608518626148443
226+ "sd": 0.18565189589095632,
227+ "se": 0.009016053089935427
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:18:12Z",
235- "mean": 1.2278404237677127,
236- "n_pasts": 416,
237- "n_runs": 52,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:30:11Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2277081947118471,
236+ "n_pasts": 424,
237+ "n_runs": 53,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.2214894402002515,
247- "se": 0.010859413246498313
246+ "sd": 0.2199556209033627,
247+ "se": 0.010681989246472507
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:13:18Z",
255- "mean": 0.48733912840707105,
256- "n_pasts": 416,
257- "n_runs": 52,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:25:56Z",
255+ "mean": 0.488239939395467,
256+ "n_pasts": 424,
257+ "n_runs": 53,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.21247754790436021,
265- "se": 0.01041756887466037
264+ "sd": 0.21290936884463066,
265+ "se": 0.010339792996109896
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:14:20Z",
273- "mean": 3.1909943473632536,
274- "n_pasts": 416,
275- "n_runs": 52,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:26:22Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1895641347053303,
274+ "n_pasts": 424,
275+ "n_runs": 53,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2899766970645933,
283- "se": 0.014217277277111008
282+ "sd": 0.28810214054937433,
283+ "se": 0.01399147680152364
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:13:28Z",
291- "mean": 0.9719219849921429,
292- "n_pasts": 416,
293- "n_runs": 52,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:26:01Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9722373695453336,
292+ "n_pasts": 424,
293+ "n_runs": 53,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.10555715573033639,
301- "se": 0.005175365354503247
300+ "sd": 0.10544398966676571,
301+ "se": 0.005120812821693749
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:14:25Z",
309- "mean": 4.083194753672213,
310- "n_pasts": 416,
311- "n_runs": 52,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:26:26Z",
309+ "mean": 4.081582733559776,
310+ "n_pasts": 424,
311+ "n_runs": 53,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
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318+ "sd": 0.23876938306343787,
319+ "se": 0.01159566630666416
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:13:57Z",
327- "mean": 1.5611931259535898,
328- "n_pasts": 416,
329- "n_runs": 52,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:26:06Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5606291922281845,
328+ "n_pasts": 424,
329+ "n_runs": 53,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.1073792569496313,
337- "se": 0.00526470121674292
336+ "sd": 0.10723157340321154,
337+ "se": 0.00520762556224323
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:14:10Z",
345- "mean": 2.297905878272965,
346- "n_pasts": 416,
347- "n_runs": 52,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-07T19:26:16Z",
345+ "mean": 2.297707370100614,
346+ "n_pasts": 424,
347+ "n_runs": 53,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.15004504825120923,
355- "se": 0.0073565637399123735
354+ "sd": 0.14941647927020194,
355+ "se": 0.007256305695917218
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-07T17:13:09Z",
363- "mean": 2.1069306759063937,
364- "n_pasts": 416,
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456- "sd": 0.31623870553255545,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-07T17:43:58Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-07T19:47:00Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 52
469+ "total_runs": 53
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -1246,3 +1246,27 @@
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