estimates: run 66 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (57 runs, generated 2026-08-08T05:40:42Z)
24+## Current state (58 runs, generated 2026-08-08T07:51:36Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9367 | 0.0056 | 456 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5506 | 0.0109 | 456 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3130 | 0.0054 | 456 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9650 | 0.0210 | 456 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7198 | 0.0062 | 456 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1336 | 0.0104 | 456 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4740 | 0.0111 | 456 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4546 | 0.0089 | 456 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7569 | 0.0129 | 456 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6513 | 0.0096 | 456 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9938 | 0.0086 | 456 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2247 | 0.0102 | 456 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4819 | 0.0098 | 456 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1871 | 0.0132 | 456 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9731 | 0.0049 | 456 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0853 | 0.0115 | 456 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5599 | 0.0051 | 456 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3003 | 0.0072 | 456 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1064 | 0.0037 | 456 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0201 | 0.0214 | 456 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0651 | 0.0041 | 456 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0676 | 0.0495 | 456 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0341 | 0.0066 | 456 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0732 | 0.0155 | 456 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9368 | 0.0055 | 464 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5508 | 0.0108 | 464 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3118 | 0.0055 | 464 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9642 | 0.0208 | 464 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7219 | 0.0062 | 464 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1339 | 0.0102 | 464 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4736 | 0.0109 | 464 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4544 | 0.0088 | 464 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7539 | 0.0129 | 464 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6527 | 0.0094 | 464 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9919 | 0.0086 | 464 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2239 | 0.0100 | 464 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4806 | 0.0097 | 464 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1860 | 0.0130 | 464 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9733 | 0.0048 | 464 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0847 | 0.0114 | 464 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5588 | 0.0050 | 464 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3004 | 0.0071 | 464 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1060 | 0.0037 | 464 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0253 | 0.0230 | 464 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0652 | 0.0041 | 464 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0662 | 0.0489 | 464 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0344 | 0.0065 | 464 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0728 | 0.0152 | 464 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:23:13Z",
9- "mean": 0.9366685610976776,
10- "n_pasts": 456,
11- "n_runs": 57,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:36:30Z",
9+ "mean": 0.936815792482265,
10+ "n_pasts": 464,
11+ "n_runs": 58,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.11892576829606827,
22- "se": 0.005569209360877479
21+ "sd": 0.11820868882085889,
22+ "se": 0.00548770061151382
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:37:03Z",
30- "mean": 2.550573987393628,
31- "n_pasts": 456,
32- "n_runs": 57,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:48:34Z",
30+ "mean": 2.550840583310632,
31+ "n_pasts": 464,
32+ "n_runs": 58,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.23339979450130366,
43- "se": 0.010929946797800204
42+ "sd": 0.23255083961310474,
43+ "se": 0.01079590170132821
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:24:17Z",
51- "mean": 1.312956093131749,
52- "n_pasts": 456,
53- "n_runs": 57,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:37:33Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3117861372178838,
52+ "n_pasts": 464,
53+ "n_runs": 58,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11584227570107934,
64- "se": 0.005424811590148288
63+ "sd": 0.11853234724216603,
64+ "se": 0.00550272607651344
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:40:42Z",
72- "mean": 2.9649725966764215,
73- "n_pasts": 456,
74- "n_runs": 57,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:51:35Z",
72+ "mean": 2.964226818242022,
73+ "n_pasts": 464,
74+ "n_runs": 58,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.4494720219373933,
85- "se": 0.02104845592247492
84+ "sd": 0.4471438582268508,
85+ "se": 0.0207581324918067
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:25:18Z",
93- "mean": 1.719804827434725,
94- "n_pasts": 456,
95- "n_runs": 57,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:40:53Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7218547899656371,
94+ "n_pasts": 464,
95+ "n_runs": 58,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.1322193865747776,
106- "se": 0.00619174007409859
105+ "sd": 0.1329082039962307,
106+ "se": 0.006170108471896164
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:32:58Z",
114- "mean": 2.133625720984264,
115- "n_pasts": 456,
116- "n_runs": 57,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:43:24Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1338739587851348,
115+ "n_pasts": 464,
116+ "n_runs": 58,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.22174105760341112,
127- "se": 0.010383976419823698
126+ "sd": 0.2199870906006242,
127+ "se": 0.010212644295917166
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:14:50Z",
135- "mean": 0.47404607649404595,
136- "n_pasts": 456,
137- "n_runs": 57,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:27:28Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4736224073822368,
136+ "n_pasts": 464,
137+ "n_runs": 58,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2360424180578121,
147- "se": 0.011053698984219072
146+ "sd": 0.23420533879024538,
147+ "se": 0.010872709897381405
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:19:49Z",
155- "mean": 1.4546361584199687,
156- "n_pasts": 456,
157- "n_runs": 57,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:33:19Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4544040602785375,
156+ "n_pasts": 464,
157+ "n_runs": 58,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19014271901453458,
167- "se": 0.008904248640228894
166+ "sd": 0.18875181549686726,
167+ "se": 0.008762583052555816
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:16:25Z",
175- "mean": 0.7569394960135347,
176- "n_pasts": 456,
177- "n_runs": 57,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:28:47Z",
175+ "mean": 0.753942502509828,
176+ "n_pasts": 464,
177+ "n_runs": 58,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2765102877006158,
187- "se": 0.012948780610838448
186+ "sd": 0.2775924584742296,
187+ "se": 0.012886906362942823
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:21:59Z",
195- "mean": 1.6513173417134555,
196- "n_pasts": 456,
197- "n_runs": 57,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:35:41Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6526967434292141,
196+ "n_pasts": 464,
197+ "n_runs": 58,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20417202349413668,
207- "se": 0.009561231016326634
206+ "sd": 0.2033423021927409,
207+ "se": 0.009439929392845325
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:17:34Z",
215- "mean": 0.9938294371808465,
216- "n_pasts": 456,
217- "n_runs": 57,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:30:37Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9918793187840136,
216+ "n_pasts": 464,
217+ "n_runs": 58,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.182738625452418,
227- "se": 0.008557520191333805
226+ "sd": 0.1852460754556522,
227+ "se": 0.008599833156927248
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:18:41Z",
235- "mean": 1.2247480444220369,
236- "n_pasts": 456,
237- "n_runs": 57,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:31:46Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2239186133818385,
236+ "n_pasts": 464,
237+ "n_runs": 58,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21767527007407927,
247- "se": 0.010193578474179798
246+ "sd": 0.21639511520211413,
247+ "se": 0.01004589102432967
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:12:45Z",
255- "mean": 0.4819476199638687,
256- "n_pasts": 456,
257- "n_runs": 57,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:25:46Z",
255+ "mean": 0.48063406134488984,
256+ "n_pasts": 464,
257+ "n_runs": 58,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20976277012543593,
265- "se": 0.009823041714877787
264+ "sd": 0.20944741513488363,
265+ "se": 0.009723352145945396
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:13:31Z",
273- "mean": 3.18708691517212,
274- "n_pasts": 456,
275- "n_runs": 57,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:26:14Z",
273+ "mean": 3.185975231995409,
274+ "n_pasts": 464,
275+ "n_runs": 58,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2823197173857919,
283- "se": 0.01322083208166432
282+ "sd": 0.28006814803464036,
283+ "se": 0.013001837365478292
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:12:55Z",
291- "mean": 0.9730774089792519,
292- "n_pasts": 456,
293- "n_runs": 57,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:25:54Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9732785626288639,
292+ "n_pasts": 464,
293+ "n_runs": 58,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.1046282488371385,
301- "se": 0.00489966666757514
300+ "sd": 0.10414911664158252,
301+ "se": 0.004835001358899972
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:13:46Z",
309- "mean": 4.085348469513904,
310- "n_pasts": 456,
311- "n_runs": 57,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:26:19Z",
309+ "mean": 4.084668827387042,
310+ "n_pasts": 464,
311+ "n_runs": 58,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24661894690506675,
319- "se": 0.011548990326925232
318+ "sd": 0.24472189393453447,
319+ "se": 0.011360928713375499
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:13:11Z",
327- "mean": 1.5599266534190563,
328- "n_pasts": 456,
329- "n_runs": 57,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:25:58Z",
327+ "mean": 1.558754708932315,
328+ "n_pasts": 464,
329+ "n_runs": 58,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10836413743109953,
337- "se": 0.005074615680112828
336+ "sd": 0.10793409952899646,
337+ "se": 0.005010714778218143
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:13:26Z",
345- "mean": 2.3002621002106904,
346- "n_pasts": 456,
347- "n_runs": 57,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:26:08Z",
345+ "mean": 2.300366802451391,
346+ "n_pasts": 464,
347+ "n_runs": 58,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.15314882780377856,
355- "se": 0.007171850959069351
354+ "sd": 0.15343714759897112,
355+ "se": 0.007123140753078291
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T05:12:35Z",
363- "mean": 2.1064447800697317,
364- "n_pasts": 456,
365- "n_runs": 57,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T07:25:31Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1059968394874775,
364+ "n_pasts": 464,
365+ "n_runs": 58,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.08001876589960152,
372- "se": 0.0037472220400921936
371+ "sd": 0.07953756232797321,
372+ "se": 0.003692438633567831
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
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378378 "id": "none_s16",
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451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-08T05:40:42Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-08T07:51:36Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 57
469+ "total_runs": 58
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -1366,3 +1366,27 @@
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