estimates: run 167 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (153 runs, generated 2026-08-17T04:00:19Z)
24+## Current state (154 runs, generated 2026-08-17T05:27:47Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9339 | 0.0035 | 1224 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5522 | 0.0076 | 1224 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3126 | 0.0032 | 1224 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9852 | 0.0184 | 1224 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7265 | 0.0043 | 1224 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1296 | 0.0054 | 1224 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4803 | 0.0067 | 1224 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4421 | 0.0056 | 1224 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7581 | 0.0077 | 1224 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6672 | 0.0060 | 1224 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9930 | 0.0054 | 1224 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2100 | 0.0060 | 1224 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4810 | 0.0060 | 1224 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1747 | 0.0069 | 1224 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9747 | 0.0027 | 1224 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0884 | 0.0070 | 1224 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5559 | 0.0030 | 1224 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3087 | 0.0048 | 1224 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1055 | 0.0019 | 1224 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0194 | 0.0166 | 1224 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0653 | 0.0033 | 1224 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0405 | 0.0294 | 1224 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0402 | 0.0040 | 1224 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0461 | 0.0080 | 1224 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9342 | 0.0035 | 1232 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5524 | 0.0076 | 1232 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3126 | 0.0032 | 1232 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9842 | 0.0183 | 1232 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7264 | 0.0042 | 1232 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1290 | 0.0053 | 1232 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4810 | 0.0067 | 1232 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4421 | 0.0056 | 1232 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7577 | 0.0076 | 1232 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6670 | 0.0060 | 1232 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9927 | 0.0054 | 1232 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2105 | 0.0060 | 1232 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4814 | 0.0060 | 1232 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1743 | 0.0068 | 1232 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9746 | 0.0027 | 1232 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0890 | 0.0069 | 1232 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5558 | 0.0030 | 1232 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3084 | 0.0048 | 1232 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1053 | 0.0019 | 1232 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0197 | 0.0165 | 1232 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0654 | 0.0033 | 1232 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0430 | 0.0293 | 1232 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0407 | 0.0041 | 1232 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0459 | 0.0080 | 1232 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:37:23Z",
9- "mean": 0.9338707016005999,
10- "n_pasts": 1224,
11- "n_runs": 153,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:16:08Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9341612537289278,
10+ "n_pasts": 1232,
11+ "n_runs": 154,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12281276796073642,
22- "se": 0.0035103693237835895
21+ "sd": 0.12279583457466699,
22+ "se": 0.0034984710237428475
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:55:06Z",
30- "mean": 2.5522268166188047,
31- "n_pasts": 1224,
32- "n_runs": 153,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:23:32Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5524078794631113,
31+ "n_pasts": 1232,
32+ "n_runs": 154,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.26599096221311175,
43- "se": 0.007602845613373866
42+ "sd": 0.2653023908090942,
43+ "se": 0.007558503348181132
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:39:10Z",
51- "mean": 1.312604442837062,
52- "n_pasts": 1224,
53- "n_runs": 153,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:17:37Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3126052937506059,
52+ "n_pasts": 1232,
53+ "n_runs": 154,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11163463730692011,
64- "se": 0.003190863725172322
63+ "sd": 0.11140600136796104,
64+ "se": 0.0031739730342390136
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T04:00:19Z",
72- "mean": 2.985210581220369,
73- "n_pasts": 1224,
74- "n_runs": 153,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:27:47Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9841952934468243,
73+ "n_pasts": 1232,
74+ "n_runs": 154,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6432710227996241,
85- "se": 0.018386678378885014
84+ "sd": 0.6413745338069772,
85+ "se": 0.01827285289979367
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:48:58Z",
93- "mean": 1.726450700720095,
94- "n_pasts": 1224,
95- "n_runs": 153,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:18:54Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7263740199566338,
94+ "n_pasts": 1232,
95+ "n_runs": 154,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.14923887266535568,
106- "se": 0.00426570925172859
105+ "sd": 0.14906952886674796,
106+ "se": 0.004247012360555309
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:50:29Z",
114- "mean": 2.1296152014519114,
115- "n_pasts": 1224,
116- "n_runs": 153,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:20:03Z",
114+ "mean": 2.128952652451205,
115+ "n_pasts": 1232,
116+ "n_runs": 154,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.18766924553012457,
127- "se": 0.00536416834719641
126+ "sd": 0.18760545084909142,
127+ "se": 0.005344906331433183
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:26:11Z",
135- "mean": 0.48025970887758107,
136- "n_pasts": 1224,
137- "n_runs": 153,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:05:27Z",
135+ "mean": 0.48099542547410784,
136+ "n_pasts": 1232,
137+ "n_runs": 154,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23432681303643638,
147- "se": 0.006697786149450338
146+ "sd": 0.23474331235152898,
147+ "se": 0.006687870798906272
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:33:38Z",
155- "mean": 1.4421051102638898,
156- "n_pasts": 1224,
157- "n_runs": 153,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:12:44Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4420558694585077,
156+ "n_pasts": 1232,
157+ "n_runs": 154,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19587573648975004,
167- "se": 0.00559873527862317
166+ "sd": 0.1956013088905254,
167+ "se": 0.005572709479355995
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:27:27Z",
175- "mean": 0.7581451957326274,
176- "n_pasts": 1224,
177- "n_runs": 153,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:06:28Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7577200411245464,
176+ "n_pasts": 1232,
177+ "n_runs": 154,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26843252147516006,
187- "se": 0.007672632939871012
186+ "sd": 0.2683316959570151,
187+ "se": 0.007644808688413435
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:35:54Z",
195- "mean": 1.6672261773040842,
196- "n_pasts": 1224,
197- "n_runs": 153,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:14:48Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6669735023805927,
196+ "n_pasts": 1232,
197+ "n_runs": 154,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2100746098688414,
207- "se": 0.0060045830611451375
206+ "sd": 0.2097549732007141,
207+ "se": 0.005975949415307322
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:30:13Z",
215- "mean": 0.9929556826834082,
216- "n_pasts": 1224,
217- "n_runs": 153,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:07:43Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9927399142494615,
216+ "n_pasts": 1232,
217+ "n_runs": 154,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18895550046075077,
227- "se": 0.005400933497318905
226+ "sd": 0.18915344033480755,
227+ "se": 0.0053890087749696
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:32:02Z",
235- "mean": 1.2100247473213506,
236- "n_pasts": 1224,
237- "n_runs": 153,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:11:11Z",
235+ "mean": 1.210473566380285,
236+ "n_pasts": 1232,
237+ "n_runs": 154,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.2102195596538372,
247- "se": 0.006008726174985719
246+ "sd": 0.20970838990026947,
247+ "se": 0.005974622250364306
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:24:16Z",
255- "mean": 0.48095038827170933,
256- "n_pasts": 1224,
257- "n_runs": 153,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:03:29Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4814431618864723,
256+ "n_pasts": 1232,
257+ "n_runs": 154,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2097694566829406,
265- "se": 0.005995860837872851
264+ "sd": 0.2098639397684747,
265+ "se": 0.005979053888526529
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:24:47Z",
273- "mean": 3.1746716616886594,
274- "n_pasts": 1224,
275- "n_runs": 153,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:03:53Z",
273+ "mean": 3.174327331236234,
274+ "n_pasts": 1232,
275+ "n_runs": 154,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.24058357685532109,
283- "se": 0.0068766238398686
282+ "sd": 0.23995457655293823,
283+ "se": 0.0068363404670252915
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:24:25Z",
291- "mean": 0.9747393566387481,
292- "n_pasts": 1224,
293- "n_runs": 153,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:03:34Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9746171422295704,
292+ "n_pasts": 1232,
293+ "n_runs": 154,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09448990172560691,
301- "se": 0.002700814076032715
300+ "sd": 0.09472296306617434,
301+ "se": 0.0026986708687465554
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:24:56Z",
309- "mean": 4.088425067006856,
310- "n_pasts": 1224,
311- "n_runs": 153,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:04:00Z",
309+ "mean": 4.089023873515785,
310+ "n_pasts": 1232,
311+ "n_runs": 154,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24334536071510893,
319- "se": 0.006955564177272439
318+ "sd": 0.24316057105317332,
319+ "se": 0.0069276797123685955
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:24:33Z",
327- "mean": 1.555890111664633,
328- "n_pasts": 1224,
329- "n_runs": 153,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:03:40Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5557657759986787,
328+ "n_pasts": 1232,
329+ "n_runs": 154,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10560679827793762,
337- "se": 0.00301856941434944
336+ "sd": 0.10549331376400682,
337+ "se": 0.0030055197122959188
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:24:38Z",
345- "mean": 2.308683948177662,
346- "n_pasts": 1224,
347- "n_runs": 153,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:03:48Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3084087357256724,
346+ "n_pasts": 1232,
347+ "n_runs": 154,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.1672833506340598,
355- "se": 0.004781476325273244
354+ "sd": 0.16704068691943338,
355+ "se": 0.004759013243388133
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-17T03:24:04Z",
363- "mean": 2.105470740070414,
364- "n_pasts": 1224,
365- "n_runs": 153,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-17T05:03:19Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1052793795969986,
364+ "n_pasts": 1232,
365+ "n_runs": 154,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06570408647723223,
372- "se": 0.0018780263114877294
371+ "sd": 0.06560933705956631,
372+ "se": 0.0018692194681107163
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
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440+ "se": 0.00406507409859508
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442442 {
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448- "mean": 5.046068354849651,
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450- "n_runs": 153,
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448+ "mean": 5.045947148024313,
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450+ "n_runs": 154,
451451 "params": {
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454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.2798240200284144,
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456+ "sd": 0.279226467065952,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-17T04:00:19Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-17T05:27:47Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 153
469+ "total_runs": 154
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -3670,3 +3670,27 @@
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