estimates: run 68 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (59 runs, generated 2026-08-08T09:49:03Z)
24+## Current state (60 runs, generated 2026-08-08T11:28:48Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9357 | 0.0054 | 472 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5489 | 0.0107 | 472 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3120 | 0.0055 | 472 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9650 | 0.0206 | 472 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7231 | 0.0061 | 472 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1376 | 0.0107 | 472 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4741 | 0.0107 | 472 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4547 | 0.0087 | 472 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7573 | 0.0127 | 472 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6546 | 0.0094 | 472 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9907 | 0.0085 | 472 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2221 | 0.0100 | 472 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4800 | 0.0097 | 472 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1860 | 0.0128 | 472 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9740 | 0.0048 | 472 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0847 | 0.0112 | 472 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5586 | 0.0050 | 472 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2995 | 0.0070 | 472 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1062 | 0.0036 | 472 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0244 | 0.0228 | 472 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0653 | 0.0040 | 472 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0608 | 0.0482 | 472 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0365 | 0.0065 | 472 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0716 | 0.0150 | 472 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9358 | 0.0054 | 480 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5472 | 0.0106 | 480 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3126 | 0.0054 | 480 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9655 | 0.0202 | 480 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7234 | 0.0060 | 480 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1381 | 0.0106 | 480 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4756 | 0.0107 | 480 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4545 | 0.0086 | 480 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7565 | 0.0126 | 480 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6553 | 0.0092 | 480 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9909 | 0.0084 | 480 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2228 | 0.0098 | 480 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4795 | 0.0096 | 480 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1858 | 0.0127 | 480 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9738 | 0.0047 | 480 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0841 | 0.0110 | 480 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5604 | 0.0050 | 480 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3012 | 0.0070 | 480 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1064 | 0.0036 | 480 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0227 | 0.0224 | 480 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0662 | 0.0040 | 480 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0784 | 0.0496 | 480 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0365 | 0.0064 | 480 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0721 | 0.0148 | 480 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:29:16Z",
9- "mean": 0.9357355022575401,
10- "n_pasts": 472,
11- "n_runs": 59,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:16:06Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9357843470720755,
10+ "n_pasts": 480,
11+ "n_runs": 60,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.11808172317962658,
22- "se": 0.005435151859843016
21+ "sd": 0.1177840153899672,
22+ "se": 0.005376080178551723
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:42:40Z",
30- "mean": 2.5489155404195745,
31- "n_pasts": 472,
32- "n_runs": 59,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:24:08Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5472168557020938,
31+ "n_pasts": 480,
32+ "n_runs": 60,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2322784910930999,
43- "se": 0.010691484159201476
42+ "sd": 0.2317393335297177,
43+ "se": 0.01057740503628664
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:30:43Z",
51- "mean": 1.3120128908525432,
52- "n_pasts": 472,
53- "n_runs": 59,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:17:08Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3126407504374091,
52+ "n_pasts": 480,
53+ "n_runs": 60,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11844357108782812,
64- "se": 0.005451807259834514
63+ "sd": 0.1180591016567459,
64+ "se": 0.0053886360913496046
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:49:03Z",
72- "mean": 2.9650274359358675,
73- "n_pasts": 472,
74- "n_runs": 59,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:28:48Z",
72+ "mean": 2.965484358987757,
73+ "n_pasts": 480,
74+ "n_runs": 60,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.44667628757305033,
85- "se": 0.020559942637840122
84+ "sd": 0.4432703938361825,
85+ "se": 0.02023243281485634
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:32:11Z",
93- "mean": 1.7230603368231396,
94- "n_pasts": 472,
95- "n_runs": 59,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:18:13Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7234066405467219,
94+ "n_pasts": 480,
95+ "n_runs": 60,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13252268586300825,
106- "se": 0.006099851045059918
105+ "sd": 0.13243593964778663,
106+ "se": 0.006044845964123794
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:38:57Z",
114- "mean": 2.1376293422018695,
115- "n_pasts": 472,
116- "n_runs": 59,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:22:04Z",
114+ "mean": 2.138119416383533,
115+ "n_pasts": 480,
116+ "n_runs": 60,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.2331355809792903,
127- "se": 0.010730934918925688
126+ "sd": 0.23231985648881318,
127+ "se": 0.010603902162940493
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:07:43Z",
135- "mean": 0.47413900989660074,
136- "n_pasts": 472,
137- "n_runs": 59,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T10:58:56Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4756413046706908,
136+ "n_pasts": 480,
137+ "n_runs": 60,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2332214476601585,
147- "se": 0.010734887253272212
146+ "sd": 0.23362782067703497,
147+ "se": 0.010663602287131993
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:16:15Z",
155- "mean": 1.4546533088373348,
156- "n_pasts": 472,
157- "n_runs": 59,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:11:13Z",
155+ "mean": 1.454503677400054,
156+ "n_pasts": 480,
157+ "n_runs": 60,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18805921200983597,
167- "se": 0.008656126861910727
166+ "sd": 0.1884433517244659,
167+ "se": 0.008601222879280836
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:08:42Z",
175- "mean": 0.7573036864216116,
176- "n_pasts": 472,
177- "n_runs": 59,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:00:05Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7565310649107694,
176+ "n_pasts": 480,
177+ "n_runs": 60,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.276623187633992,
187- "se": 0.012732614262898921
186+ "sd": 0.2764908096836333,
187+ "se": 0.01262002111721615
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:28:12Z",
195- "mean": 1.6546446450031937,
196- "n_pasts": 472,
197- "n_runs": 59,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:14:52Z",
195+ "mean": 1.655330270878377,
196+ "n_pasts": 480,
197+ "n_runs": 60,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
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207- "se": 0.009353648167265438
206+ "sd": 0.20193722121296648,
207+ "se": 0.009217130938187707
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:09:53Z",
215- "mean": 0.9906933264279112,
216- "n_pasts": 472,
217- "n_runs": 59,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:00:59Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9908518542673159,
216+ "n_pasts": 480,
217+ "n_runs": 60,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18505915342114734,
227- "se": 0.008518037972462995
226+ "sd": 0.1842295924331117,
227+ "se": 0.008408891961299863
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:14:13Z",
235- "mean": 1.2221102260555916,
236- "n_pasts": 472,
237- "n_runs": 59,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T11:03:01Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2228454311062014,
236+ "n_pasts": 480,
237+ "n_runs": 60,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21646769446929653,
247- "se": 0.009963733256170183
246+ "sd": 0.21577177157305197,
247+ "se": 0.009848588880284377
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:06:08Z",
255- "mean": 0.48004683359423583,
256- "n_pasts": 472,
257- "n_runs": 59,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T10:56:40Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4795150442002615,
256+ "n_pasts": 480,
257+ "n_runs": 60,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20977987518600708,
265- "se": 0.009655901422105822
264+ "sd": 0.20988508291935906,
265+ "se": 0.009579899533231266
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:06:34Z",
273- "mean": 3.186046667757834,
274- "n_pasts": 472,
275- "n_runs": 59,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T10:57:46Z",
273+ "mean": 3.185842433973428,
274+ "n_pasts": 480,
275+ "n_runs": 60,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2785510279539977,
283- "se": 0.012821350306196832
282+ "sd": 0.2778497097249009,
283+ "se": 0.012682046134382565
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:06:17Z",
291- "mean": 0.9740005107652924,
292- "n_pasts": 472,
293- "n_runs": 59,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T10:56:48Z",
291+ "mean": 0.973786797523794,
292+ "n_pasts": 480,
293+ "n_runs": 60,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.10423854075389474,
301- "se": 0.004797967741239773
300+ "sd": 0.10357305982227981,
301+ "se": 0.0047274417678745545
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:06:40Z",
309- "mean": 4.084704141758805,
310- "n_pasts": 472,
311- "n_runs": 59,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T10:57:53Z",
309+ "mean": 4.084096107018779,
310+ "n_pasts": 480,
311+ "n_runs": 60,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24345881858724586,
319- "se": 0.011206100444746556
318+ "sd": 0.2420323437739932,
319+ "se": 0.01104721452757176
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:06:22Z",
327- "mean": 1.5585592231869856,
328- "n_pasts": 472,
329- "n_runs": 59,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T10:57:13Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5604396215476721,
328+ "n_pasts": 480,
329+ "n_runs": 60,
330330 "params": {
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333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
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336+ "sd": 0.10993988247222851,
337+ "se": 0.005018046133292198
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:06:28Z",
345- "mean": 2.2994656079338536,
346- "n_pasts": 472,
347- "n_runs": 59,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T10:57:40Z",
345+ "mean": 2.301222306847792,
346+ "n_pasts": 480,
347+ "n_runs": 60,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.15238677121703534,
355- "se": 0.007014169684294076
354+ "sd": 0.15316031961073182,
355+ "se": 0.006990780163791557
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:05:54Z",
363- "mean": 2.1062180775102552,
364- "n_pasts": 472,
365- "n_runs": 59,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-08T10:56:26Z",
363+ "mean": 2.106365530009438,
364+ "n_pasts": 480,
365+ "n_runs": 60,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.07917686491317547,
372- "se": 0.003644410608191683
371+ "sd": 0.07862264578466854,
372+ "se": 0.003588616385583452
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
377377 "highres_szego": 6.047095585180641,
378378 "id": "none_s16",
379- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:05:59Z",
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440+ "se": 0.0064363859479719225
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442442 {
443443 "L": 1,
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445445 "highres_szego": 5.047095585180641,
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447- "last_utc": "2026-08-08T09:05:58Z",
448- "mean": 5.071560862733912,
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450- "n_runs": 59,
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450+ "n_runs": 60,
451451 "params": {
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453453 "sigma": 8.0
454454 },
455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.3269061965326572,
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456+ "sd": 0.3251458514360786,
457+ "se": 0.01484080977589698
458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-08T09:49:03Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-08T11:28:48Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 59
469+ "total_runs": 60
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -1414,3 +1414,27 @@
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