estimates: run 139 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (125 runs, generated 2026-08-14T20:01:06Z)
24+## Current state (126 runs, generated 2026-08-14T21:24:15Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9323 | 0.0039 | 1000 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5502 | 0.0087 | 1000 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3104 | 0.0036 | 1000 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9864 | 0.0198 | 1000 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7244 | 0.0043 | 1000 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1293 | 0.0061 | 1000 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4786 | 0.0074 | 1000 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4382 | 0.0061 | 1000 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7632 | 0.0085 | 1000 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6671 | 0.0065 | 1000 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9914 | 0.0060 | 1000 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2116 | 0.0069 | 1000 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4796 | 0.0067 | 1000 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1765 | 0.0080 | 1000 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9758 | 0.0030 | 1000 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0886 | 0.0077 | 1000 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5572 | 0.0034 | 1000 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3101 | 0.0053 | 1000 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1056 | 0.0021 | 1000 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0177 | 0.0158 | 1000 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0679 | 0.0038 | 1000 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0520 | 0.0338 | 1000 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0381 | 0.0042 | 1000 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0520 | 0.0093 | 1000 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9324 | 0.0039 | 1008 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5502 | 0.0086 | 1008 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3103 | 0.0036 | 1008 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9877 | 0.0197 | 1008 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7242 | 0.0043 | 1008 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1291 | 0.0061 | 1008 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4795 | 0.0074 | 1008 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4386 | 0.0060 | 1008 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7628 | 0.0084 | 1008 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6664 | 0.0065 | 1008 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9914 | 0.0060 | 1008 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2118 | 0.0068 | 1008 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4788 | 0.0066 | 1008 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1760 | 0.0079 | 1008 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9756 | 0.0030 | 1008 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0877 | 0.0077 | 1008 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5571 | 0.0034 | 1008 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3095 | 0.0053 | 1008 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1054 | 0.0021 | 1008 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0159 | 0.0157 | 1008 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0676 | 0.0038 | 1008 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0527 | 0.0337 | 1008 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0392 | 0.0043 | 1008 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0516 | 0.0092 | 1008 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:33:45Z",
9- "mean": 0.9322869091412429,
10- "n_pasts": 1000,
11- "n_runs": 125,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T21:06:00Z",
9+ "mean": 0.932388928249189,
10+ "n_pasts": 1008,
11+ "n_runs": 126,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12462390229996174,
22- "se": 0.003940953821661757
21+ "sd": 0.12460730181178274,
22+ "se": 0.003924761096866016
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:57:23Z",
30- "mean": 2.5501539168148644,
31- "n_pasts": 1000,
32- "n_runs": 125,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T21:16:52Z",
30+ "mean": 2.550156434804734,
31+ "n_pasts": 1008,
32+ "n_runs": 126,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.27384617051658366,
43- "se": 0.008659776273472532
42+ "sd": 0.2732389830373377,
43+ "se": 0.008606219019107044
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:34:53Z",
51- "mean": 1.3103667673014652,
52- "n_pasts": 1000,
53- "n_runs": 125,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T21:06:57Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3103426815411636,
52+ "n_pasts": 1008,
53+ "n_runs": 126,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11418803342431941,
64- "se": 0.0036109426715628546
63+ "sd": 0.11417166859708197,
64+ "se": 0.0035960695461566853
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:01:05Z",
72- "mean": 2.9863817872880687,
73- "n_pasts": 1000,
74- "n_runs": 125,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T21:24:14Z",
72+ "mean": 2.987659676781246,
73+ "n_pasts": 1008,
74+ "n_runs": 126,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6257427812540797,
85- "se": 0.01978772418171405
84+ "sd": 0.6248171619489054,
85+ "se": 0.019679890778594916
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:35:54Z",
93- "mean": 1.724356015135772,
94- "n_pasts": 1000,
95- "n_runs": 125,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T21:08:32Z",
93+ "mean": 1.724219093803542,
94+ "n_pasts": 1008,
95+ "n_runs": 126,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13711329949772838,
106- "se": 0.004335903239136427
105+ "sd": 0.13680769594674813,
106+ "se": 0.0043090373918432704
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:37:43Z",
114- "mean": 2.129307653623999,
115- "n_pasts": 1000,
116- "n_runs": 125,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T21:12:58Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1291250012278717,
115+ "n_pasts": 1008,
116+ "n_runs": 126,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.19420394197835567,
127- "se": 0.006141267872347903
126+ "sd": 0.19364088264368076,
127+ "se": 0.006099114513455035
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:26:08Z",
135- "mean": 0.47859056297704333,
136- "n_pasts": 1000,
137- "n_runs": 125,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:54:09Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4795062587576651,
136+ "n_pasts": 1008,
137+ "n_runs": 126,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2337433967998656,
147- "se": 0.007391615219120881
146+ "sd": 0.23360272304155952,
147+ "se": 0.007357794175660292
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:31:05Z",
155- "mean": 1.4382063062093284,
156- "n_pasts": 1000,
157- "n_runs": 125,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T21:00:45Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4386185684597312,
156+ "n_pasts": 1008,
157+ "n_runs": 126,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19177916226676975,
167- "se": 0.006064589605220126
166+ "sd": 0.1911945074350533,
167+ "se": 0.0060220609370790585
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:27:18Z",
175- "mean": 0.7632026818076688,
176- "n_pasts": 1000,
177- "n_runs": 125,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:55:24Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7628359594301527,
176+ "n_pasts": 1008,
177+ "n_runs": 126,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26845928769644306,
187- "se": 0.008489428081471777
186+ "sd": 0.2681267370451398,
187+ "se": 0.00844519840557916
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:32:57Z",
195- "mean": 1.667065414769679,
196- "n_pasts": 1000,
197- "n_runs": 125,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T21:03:18Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6664090176384017,
196+ "n_pasts": 1008,
197+ "n_runs": 126,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.20677517207217788,
207- "se": 0.006538805073213207
206+ "sd": 0.20698574863866978,
207+ "se": 0.0065194382837196
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:28:13Z",
215- "mean": 0.9913503965401502,
216- "n_pasts": 1000,
217- "n_runs": 125,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:57:51Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9914326665462407,
216+ "n_pasts": 1008,
217+ "n_runs": 126,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.18994048426300555,
227- "se": 0.006006445501464661
226+ "sd": 0.18955277944080634,
227+ "se": 0.005970351365731554
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:29:30Z",
235- "mean": 1.2115920054388287,
236- "n_pasts": 1000,
237- "n_runs": 125,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:59:02Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2118100357861765,
236+ "n_pasts": 1008,
237+ "n_runs": 126,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21715869408859956,
247- "se": 0.006867160870277175
246+ "sd": 0.21644604725981836,
247+ "se": 0.0068174096822906285
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:24:30Z",
255- "mean": 0.4795928987046474,
256- "n_pasts": 1000,
257- "n_runs": 125,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:51:43Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4788480241741642,
256+ "n_pasts": 1008,
257+ "n_runs": 126,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2104113808201278,
265- "se": 0.0066537920901267155
264+ "sd": 0.20991241130223415,
265+ "se": 0.006611619492995424
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:24:53Z",
273- "mean": 3.1764509568619204,
274- "n_pasts": 1000,
275- "n_runs": 125,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:52:06Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1760064318256758,
274+ "n_pasts": 1008,
275+ "n_runs": 126,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2523623508435479,
283- "se": 0.007980398243401262
282+ "sd": 0.25152532376809444,
283+ "se": 0.007922303037206922
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:24:35Z",
291- "mean": 0.975800651112049,
292- "n_pasts": 1000,
293- "n_runs": 125,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:51:50Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9755530200332301,
292+ "n_pasts": 1008,
293+ "n_runs": 126,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.0963231415278627,
301- "se": 0.003046005186107973
300+ "sd": 0.09614242864618218,
301+ "se": 0.0030282018647567895
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:24:57Z",
309- "mean": 4.088553719000078,
310- "n_pasts": 1000,
311- "n_runs": 125,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:52:11Z",
309+ "mean": 4.087725999241076,
310+ "n_pasts": 1008,
311+ "n_runs": 126,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24470705887891422,
319- "se": 0.007738316655782986
318+ "sd": 0.24400679616030344,
319+ "se": 0.007685491676783252
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:24:40Z",
327- "mean": 1.5572388482500423,
328- "n_pasts": 1000,
329- "n_runs": 125,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:51:55Z",
327+ "mean": 1.557094786421572,
328+ "n_pasts": 1008,
329+ "n_runs": 126,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.1068055408258484,
337- "se": 0.0033774877573578216
336+ "sd": 0.10654802716334456,
337+ "se": 0.003355947411413863
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:24:48Z",
345- "mean": 2.3101158070692396,
346- "n_pasts": 1000,
347- "n_runs": 125,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:52:01Z",
345+ "mean": 2.309456569014123,
346+ "n_pasts": 1008,
347+ "n_runs": 126,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.16830131465261358,
355- "se": 0.00532215487502929
354+ "sd": 0.1679745716524644,
355+ "se": 0.005290701704464532
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-14T19:24:18Z",
363- "mean": 2.105550224734875,
364- "n_pasts": 1000,
365- "n_runs": 125,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-14T20:51:25Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1054224652182314,
364+ "n_pasts": 1008,
365+ "n_runs": 126,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06688549015075987,
372- "se": 0.002115104912931601
371+ "sd": 0.06673476145231112,
372+ "se": 0.0021019474119766055
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
376376 "M": 512,
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378378 "id": "none_s16",
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-14T20:01:06Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-14T21:24:15Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 125
469+ "total_runs": 126
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2998,3 +2998,27 @@
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