estimates: run 119 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (105 runs, generated 2026-08-12T23:44:19Z)
24+## Current state (106 runs, generated 2026-08-13T03:15:47Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9319 | 0.0043 | 840 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5433 | 0.0079 | 840 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3092 | 0.0040 | 840 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9696 | 0.0177 | 840 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7236 | 0.0046 | 840 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1331 | 0.0069 | 840 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4762 | 0.0080 | 840 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4450 | 0.0065 | 840 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7615 | 0.0093 | 840 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6650 | 0.0070 | 840 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9916 | 0.0066 | 840 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2110 | 0.0076 | 840 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4730 | 0.0070 | 840 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1798 | 0.0089 | 840 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9754 | 0.0033 | 840 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0841 | 0.0081 | 840 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5585 | 0.0037 | 840 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3058 | 0.0055 | 840 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1057 | 0.0024 | 840 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0155 | 0.0162 | 840 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0658 | 0.0032 | 840 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0665 | 0.0385 | 840 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0368 | 0.0046 | 840 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0617 | 0.0107 | 840 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9318 | 0.0043 | 848 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5423 | 0.0078 | 848 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3095 | 0.0040 | 848 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9694 | 0.0176 | 848 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7237 | 0.0046 | 848 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1326 | 0.0069 | 848 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4768 | 0.0080 | 848 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4448 | 0.0064 | 848 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7618 | 0.0093 | 848 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6663 | 0.0071 | 848 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9919 | 0.0065 | 848 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2109 | 0.0075 | 848 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4731 | 0.0070 | 848 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1799 | 0.0089 | 848 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9753 | 0.0033 | 848 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0865 | 0.0083 | 848 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5586 | 0.0037 | 848 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3064 | 0.0055 | 848 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1059 | 0.0024 | 848 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0149 | 0.0161 | 848 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0657 | 0.0031 | 848 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0616 | 0.0382 | 848 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0362 | 0.0046 | 848 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0605 | 0.0106 | 848 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:26:21Z",
9- "mean": 0.9319123674562473,
10- "n_pasts": 840,
11- "n_runs": 105,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:11:07Z",
9+ "mean": 0.931771129322067,
10+ "n_pasts": 848,
11+ "n_runs": 106,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12374089739156664,
22- "se": 0.004269466578601815
21+ "sd": 0.1242944750750565,
22+ "se": 0.004268289798004008
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:34:59Z",
30- "mean": 2.543296353227051,
31- "n_pasts": 840,
32- "n_runs": 105,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:13:56Z",
30+ "mean": 2.542310287065066,
31+ "n_pasts": 848,
32+ "n_runs": 106,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2286518320747826,
43- "se": 0.007889237719766944
42+ "sd": 0.22818792782936317,
43+ "se": 0.00783600561323102
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:27:08Z",
51- "mean": 1.3092438736180412,
52- "n_pasts": 840,
53- "n_runs": 105,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:11:29Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3095034946482964,
52+ "n_pasts": 848,
53+ "n_runs": 106,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11654414378997777,
64- "se": 0.004021154988625339
63+ "sd": 0.11644712751546242,
64+ "se": 0.003998810776432205
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:44:18Z",
72- "mean": 2.9696164383610797,
73- "n_pasts": 840,
74- "n_runs": 105,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:15:47Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9694390148761167,
73+ "n_pasts": 848,
74+ "n_runs": 106,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.5139470710549312,
85- "se": 0.017732858652994288
84+ "sd": 0.5117997039175306,
85+ "se": 0.01757527398972102
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:29:57Z",
93- "mean": 1.7235703560563016,
94- "n_pasts": 840,
95- "n_runs": 105,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:12:13Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7236621144536297,
94+ "n_pasts": 848,
95+ "n_runs": 106,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.13426755179981578,
106- "se": 0.00463267066171342
105+ "sd": 0.1342412252263537,
106+ "se": 0.004609862600563731
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:31:22Z",
114- "mean": 2.133060063634948,
115- "n_pasts": 840,
116- "n_runs": 105,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:13:08Z",
114+ "mean": 2.132643698711407,
115+ "n_pasts": 848,
116+ "n_runs": 106,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.20107441717706812,
127- "se": 0.0069377265079365695
126+ "sd": 0.20048593227931175,
127+ "se": 0.0068847151804162345
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:09:04Z",
135- "mean": 0.476184245614677,
136- "n_pasts": 840,
137- "n_runs": 105,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:05:01Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4767926961319602,
136+ "n_pasts": 848,
137+ "n_runs": 106,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23298412029210347,
147- "se": 0.008038715864362837
146+ "sd": 0.23266517884447196,
147+ "se": 0.007989755044324816
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:16:15Z",
155- "mean": 1.4450324961962246,
156- "n_pasts": 840,
157- "n_runs": 105,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:08:43Z",
155+ "mean": 1.444784470411196,
156+ "n_pasts": 848,
157+ "n_runs": 106,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.18748899753998494,
167- "se": 0.006468984997898349
166+ "sd": 0.18732359250867087,
167+ "se": 0.006432718576971362
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:09:52Z",
175- "mean": 0.7614767243983617,
176- "n_pasts": 840,
177- "n_runs": 105,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:05:28Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7618369980468481,
176+ "n_pasts": 848,
177+ "n_runs": 106,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2708176138843642,
187- "se": 0.009344095410243775
186+ "sd": 0.27019994430660926,
187+ "se": 0.009278704182215054
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:25:33Z",
195- "mean": 1.665017570743394,
196- "n_pasts": 840,
197- "n_runs": 105,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:09:56Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6663433518815833,
196+ "n_pasts": 848,
197+ "n_runs": 106,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2032990550657349,
207- "se": 0.007014483807385421
206+ "sd": 0.20739880794409637,
207+ "se": 0.007122104305371731
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:11:07Z",
215- "mean": 0.9916049618954969,
216- "n_pasts": 840,
217- "n_runs": 105,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:06:14Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9918516868048951,
216+ "n_pasts": 848,
217+ "n_runs": 106,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.19060043194441867,
227- "se": 0.00657633968403098
226+ "sd": 0.19021652687800258,
227+ "se": 0.006532062351080849
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:12:46Z",
235- "mean": 1.2110005464176017,
236- "n_pasts": 840,
237- "n_runs": 105,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:07:44Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2108583430212276,
236+ "n_pasts": 848,
237+ "n_runs": 106,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21985397505471846,
247- "se": 0.007585682813488715
246+ "sd": 0.21948923984183538,
247+ "se": 0.007537291441335893
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:07:21Z",
255- "mean": 0.47297474017524,
256- "n_pasts": 840,
257- "n_runs": 105,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:04:02Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47305321610324347,
256+ "n_pasts": 848,
257+ "n_runs": 106,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.20368137299651565,
265- "se": 0.007027675029222963
264+ "sd": 0.20473104595353347,
265+ "se": 0.007030492982495582
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:08:04Z",
273- "mean": 3.1797749930599357,
274- "n_pasts": 840,
275- "n_runs": 105,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:04:25Z",
273+ "mean": 3.17993587240851,
274+ "n_pasts": 848,
275+ "n_runs": 106,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2592095042810044,
283- "se": 0.008943577577926283
282+ "sd": 0.25883956405862185,
283+ "se": 0.00888858712283128
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:07:29Z",
291- "mean": 0.9754275764527546,
292- "n_pasts": 840,
293- "n_runs": 105,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:04:06Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9753487834083754,
292+ "n_pasts": 848,
293+ "n_runs": 106,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09493404711677625,
301- "se": 0.0032755358162135807
300+ "sd": 0.09509933621805435,
301+ "se": 0.003265724613514483
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:08:09Z",
309- "mean": 4.084094069322833,
310- "n_pasts": 840,
311- "n_runs": 105,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:04:32Z",
309+ "mean": 4.086461448161431,
310+ "n_pasts": 848,
311+ "n_runs": 106,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.23459556678865656,
319- "se": 0.008094316050762544
318+ "sd": 0.24030808813841445,
319+ "se": 0.00825221362703097
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:07:54Z",
327- "mean": 1.558475950845062,
328- "n_pasts": 840,
329- "n_runs": 105,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:04:10Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5585674469217774,
328+ "n_pasts": 848,
329+ "n_runs": 106,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10693700905017593,
337- "se": 0.0036896773482304026
336+ "sd": 0.10717292730030725,
337+ "se": 0.0036803334335005133
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:08:00Z",
345- "mean": 2.3057967770579024,
346- "n_pasts": 840,
347- "n_runs": 105,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:04:22Z",
345+ "mean": 2.306402975592712,
346+ "n_pasts": 848,
347+ "n_runs": 106,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.15880055070223714,
355- "se": 0.0054791395422106575
354+ "sd": 0.16074074098199354,
355+ "se": 0.005519859707704195
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-12T23:07:12Z",
363- "mean": 2.105735539666191,
364- "n_pasts": 840,
365- "n_runs": 105,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-13T03:03:58Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1058542664963236,
364+ "n_pasts": 848,
365+ "n_runs": 106,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06978132558798886,
372- "se": 0.002407684473676323
371+ "sd": 0.06966205057036393,
372+ "se": 0.0023922046380418205
373373 },
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456- "sd": 0.31006896315406435,
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456+ "sd": 0.30928205378445767,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-12T23:44:19Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-13T03:15:47Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 105
469+ "total_runs": 106
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -2518,3 +2518,27 @@
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