estimates: run 156 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (142 runs, generated 2026-08-16T05:16:24Z)
24+## Current state (143 runs, generated 2026-08-16T07:35:15Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9333 | 0.0037 | 1136 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5493 | 0.0080 | 1136 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3125 | 0.0033 | 1136 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9810 | 0.0179 | 1136 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7270 | 0.0043 | 1136 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1298 | 0.0056 | 1136 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4775 | 0.0069 | 1136 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4411 | 0.0058 | 1136 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7605 | 0.0079 | 1136 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6655 | 0.0063 | 1136 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9927 | 0.0056 | 1136 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2097 | 0.0063 | 1136 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4812 | 0.0063 | 1136 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1761 | 0.0073 | 1136 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9755 | 0.0028 | 1136 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0893 | 0.0073 | 1136 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5568 | 0.0031 | 1136 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3098 | 0.0050 | 1136 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1054 | 0.0019 | 1136 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0065 | 0.0144 | 1136 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0667 | 0.0035 | 1136 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0464 | 0.0308 | 1136 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0386 | 0.0041 | 1136 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0498 | 0.0085 | 1136 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9334 | 0.0037 | 1144 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5493 | 0.0079 | 1144 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3121 | 0.0033 | 1144 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9803 | 0.0178 | 1144 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7268 | 0.0043 | 1144 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1295 | 0.0056 | 1144 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4773 | 0.0069 | 1144 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4418 | 0.0058 | 1144 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7607 | 0.0079 | 1144 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6654 | 0.0063 | 1144 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9927 | 0.0056 | 1144 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2093 | 0.0063 | 1144 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4808 | 0.0062 | 1144 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1759 | 0.0073 | 1144 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9749 | 0.0028 | 1144 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0893 | 0.0073 | 1144 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5571 | 0.0031 | 1144 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3097 | 0.0050 | 1144 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1055 | 0.0019 | 1144 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0072 | 0.0143 | 1144 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0667 | 0.0034 | 1144 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0521 | 0.0309 | 1144 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0382 | 0.0040 | 1144 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0499 | 0.0085 | 1144 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T05:06:06Z",
9- "mean": 0.933330119735677,
10- "n_pasts": 1136,
11- "n_runs": 142,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:24:23Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9334367965277567,
10+ "n_pasts": 1144,
11+ "n_runs": 143,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12420512669797112,
22- "se": 0.0036851091554698954
21+ "sd": 0.12413905682986523,
22+ "se": 0.003670248156494625
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T05:13:15Z",
30- "mean": 2.5493281178316467,
31- "n_pasts": 1136,
32- "n_runs": 142,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:31:30Z",
30+ "mean": 2.5492963815527085,
31+ "n_pasts": 1144,
32+ "n_runs": 143,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2695427467422746,
43- "se": 0.007997209698323062
42+ "sd": 0.26867291257502185,
43+ "se": 0.007943481183605074
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T05:07:43Z",
51- "mean": 1.3124737136405622,
52- "n_pasts": 1136,
53- "n_runs": 142,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:25:30Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3121206630649118,
52+ "n_pasts": 1144,
53+ "n_runs": 143,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11219371817346759,
64- "se": 0.003328736172321043
63+ "sd": 0.11223179284490736,
64+ "se": 0.0033182025166636274
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T05:16:24Z",
72- "mean": 2.9809673039275997,
73- "n_pasts": 1136,
74- "n_runs": 142,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:35:15Z",
72+ "mean": 2.980285455301827,
73+ "n_pasts": 1144,
74+ "n_runs": 143,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6032648079112072,
85- "se": 0.017898590226571472
84+ "sd": 0.6015608518284182,
85+ "se": 0.017785519431394774
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T05:09:50Z",
93- "mean": 1.7269600083934002,
94- "n_pasts": 1136,
95- "n_runs": 142,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:26:28Z",
93+ "mean": 1.726774265694212,
94+ "n_pasts": 1144,
95+ "n_runs": 143,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.14529569316745158,
106- "se": 0.0043108565916423385
105+ "sd": 0.14498782305689342,
106+ "se": 0.00428665485205064
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T05:11:29Z",
114- "mean": 2.1297578427449912,
115- "n_pasts": 1136,
116- "n_runs": 142,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:28:41Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1295282307119012,
115+ "n_pasts": 1144,
116+ "n_runs": 143,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.18933759992935947,
127- "se": 0.005617559770065241
126+ "sd": 0.18888843710383005,
127+ "se": 0.005584603715924944
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T04:57:00Z",
135- "mean": 0.47753892784776775,
136- "n_pasts": 1136,
137- "n_runs": 142,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:08:03Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47733595385388716,
136+ "n_pasts": 1144,
137+ "n_runs": 143,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2323449872146735,
147- "se": 0.006893569229991497
146+ "sd": 0.2323372927540742,
147+ "se": 0.0068691960628014265
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T05:02:32Z",
155- "mean": 1.441099630073147,
156- "n_pasts": 1136,
157- "n_runs": 142,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:20:14Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4417508236624474,
156+ "n_pasts": 1144,
157+ "n_runs": 143,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.1964822839790283,
167- "se": 0.00582953926965867
166+ "sd": 0.196665280677428,
167+ "se": 0.00581453091626177
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T04:58:21Z",
175- "mean": 0.7605132976792306,
176- "n_pasts": 1136,
177- "n_runs": 142,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:09:17Z",
175+ "mean": 0.760721122040474,
176+ "n_pasts": 1144,
177+ "n_runs": 143,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.2667357031812601,
187- "se": 0.007913926003023984
186+ "sd": 0.2664912468941279,
187+ "se": 0.007878978885554246
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T05:05:00Z",
195- "mean": 1.665499020418932,
196- "n_pasts": 1136,
197- "n_runs": 142,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:23:10Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6653797972788775,
196+ "n_pasts": 1144,
197+ "n_runs": 143,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.21208554805240587,
207- "se": 0.00629248095991466
206+ "sd": 0.21191441222510166,
207+ "se": 0.00626538094187215
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T04:59:32Z",
215- "mean": 0.992745102334871,
216- "n_pasts": 1136,
217- "n_runs": 142,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:10:11Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9926857931711537,
216+ "n_pasts": 1144,
217+ "n_runs": 143,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.1893439568904272,
227- "se": 0.005617748378185168
226+ "sd": 0.18984596275353566,
227+ "se": 0.005612913555232365
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T05:00:51Z",
235- "mean": 1.2097237069439513,
236- "n_pasts": 1136,
237- "n_runs": 142,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:11:34Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2093072591837313,
236+ "n_pasts": 1144,
237+ "n_runs": 143,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.2131774706111726,
247- "se": 0.0063248778015374705
246+ "sd": 0.21327887457258185,
247+ "se": 0.00630572211686842
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T04:55:30Z",
255- "mean": 0.4812037790552868,
256- "n_pasts": 1136,
257- "n_runs": 142,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:06:12Z",
255+ "mean": 0.48076195062960014,
256+ "n_pasts": 1144,
257+ "n_runs": 143,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.21097063969073154,
265- "se": 0.006259402140059609
264+ "sd": 0.21106765893650672,
265+ "se": 0.006240346156077614
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T04:55:56Z",
273- "mean": 3.176147548847666,
274- "n_pasts": 1136,
275- "n_runs": 142,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:06:39Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1758922906383344,
274+ "n_pasts": 1144,
275+ "n_runs": 143,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.245992915056532,
283- "se": 0.007298496990868269
282+ "sd": 0.2456113382047616,
283+ "se": 0.007261651443797125
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T04:55:36Z",
291- "mean": 0.9754817921931856,
292- "n_pasts": 1136,
293- "n_runs": 142,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:06:16Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9749344654620431,
292+ "n_pasts": 1144,
293+ "n_runs": 143,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09471012200222652,
301- "se": 0.0028100058909386137
300+ "sd": 0.09486036230366937,
301+ "se": 0.0028046054059087592
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T04:56:01Z",
309- "mean": 4.089286583871024,
310- "n_pasts": 1136,
311- "n_runs": 142,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:06:45Z",
309+ "mean": 4.0892813470286775,
310+ "n_pasts": 1144,
311+ "n_runs": 143,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24551180114729323,
319- "se": 0.007284222561793606
318+ "sd": 0.24591537780016295,
319+ "se": 0.007270640562878741
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T04:55:41Z",
327- "mean": 1.5568445471027914,
328- "n_pasts": 1136,
329- "n_runs": 142,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:06:24Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5570955584393862,
328+ "n_pasts": 1144,
329+ "n_runs": 143,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.1057151284098904,
337- "se": 0.003136519384761647
336+ "sd": 0.1056126412484066,
337+ "se": 0.003122503197166536
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T04:55:51Z",
345- "mean": 2.309802715661527,
346- "n_pasts": 1136,
347- "n_runs": 142,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:06:31Z",
345+ "mean": 2.309705230360879,
346+ "n_pasts": 1144,
347+ "n_runs": 143,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.16802890247197363,
355- "se": 0.004985340487504553
354+ "sd": 0.167576645627034,
355+ "se": 0.004954507391876746
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T04:55:20Z",
363- "mean": 2.105437035941359,
364- "n_pasts": 1136,
365- "n_runs": 142,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T07:05:59Z",
363+ "mean": 2.1055284396559504,
364+ "n_pasts": 1144,
365+ "n_runs": 143,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06499191677939944,
372- "se": 0.0019282803691163147
371+ "sd": 0.06484672265784504,
372+ "se": 0.0019172335473424938
373373 },
374374 {
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450- "n_runs": 142,
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451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.28690842352960605,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-16T05:16:24Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-16T07:35:15Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 142
469+ "total_runs": 143
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -3406,3 +3406,27 @@
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