estimates: run 163 from efed18a
3 changed files+195−171
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (149 runs, generated 2026-08-16T19:21:00Z)
24+## Current state (150 runs, generated 2026-08-16T21:03:44Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9336 | 0.0036 | 1192 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5519 | 0.0078 | 1192 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3122 | 0.0032 | 1192 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9882 | 0.0188 | 1192 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7260 | 0.0042 | 1192 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1295 | 0.0055 | 1192 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4786 | 0.0067 | 1192 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4417 | 0.0057 | 1192 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7579 | 0.0078 | 1192 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6668 | 0.0061 | 1192 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9925 | 0.0055 | 1192 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2090 | 0.0061 | 1192 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4797 | 0.0061 | 1192 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1743 | 0.0070 | 1192 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9743 | 0.0027 | 1192 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0879 | 0.0071 | 1192 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5559 | 0.0031 | 1192 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3095 | 0.0049 | 1192 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1058 | 0.0019 | 1192 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0196 | 0.0169 | 1192 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0660 | 0.0033 | 1192 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0452 | 0.0300 | 1192 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0396 | 0.0041 | 1192 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0481 | 0.0082 | 1192 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9338 | 0.0036 | 1200 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5521 | 0.0077 | 1200 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3127 | 0.0032 | 1200 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9867 | 0.0187 | 1200 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7257 | 0.0042 | 1200 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1299 | 0.0054 | 1200 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4797 | 0.0067 | 1200 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4418 | 0.0057 | 1200 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7577 | 0.0078 | 1200 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6665 | 0.0061 | 1200 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 0.9924 | 0.0055 | 1200 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2094 | 0.0061 | 1200 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4795 | 0.0060 | 1200 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.1746 | 0.0070 | 1200 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9746 | 0.0027 | 1200 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0878 | 0.0070 | 1200 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5558 | 0.0030 | 1200 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.3096 | 0.0049 | 1200 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.1055 | 0.0019 | 1200 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 6.0207 | 0.0168 | 1200 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0656 | 0.0033 | 1200 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 7.0436 | 0.0298 | 1200 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0404 | 0.0041 | 1200 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0477 | 0.0081 | 1200 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+146−146View file
@@ -5,10 +5,10 @@
55 "M": 512,
66 "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T19:01:06Z",
9- "mean": 0.9336413688011506,
10- "n_pasts": 1192,
11- "n_runs": 149,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:52:56Z",
9+ "mean": 0.9337939096427175,
10+ "n_pasts": 1200,
11+ "n_runs": 150,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.12372120837049018,
22- "se": 0.0035834885847160834
21+ "sd": 0.12345931952905095,
22+ "se": 0.0035639635682032794
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
2727 "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T19:16:38Z",
30- "mean": 2.551854248173263,
31- "n_pasts": 1192,
32- "n_runs": 149,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T21:00:58Z",
30+ "mean": 2.552127461306047,
31+ "n_pasts": 1200,
32+ "n_runs": 150,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2688577389627052,
43- "se": 0.0077872553232775504
42+ "sd": 0.268047521223436,
43+ "se": 0.007737865426698135
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
4848 "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T19:02:14Z",
51- "mean": 1.3122197439651357,
52- "n_pasts": 1192,
53- "n_runs": 149,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:53:57Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3127318360186642,
52+ "n_pasts": 1200,
53+ "n_runs": 150,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.11199559171799324,
64- "se": 0.0032438652171754715
63+ "sd": 0.1118497965016543,
64+ "se": 0.0032288255059517487
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
6969 "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T19:20:59Z",
72- "mean": 2.9882092283617148,
73- "n_pasts": 1192,
74- "n_runs": 149,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T21:03:44Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9867028179332715,
73+ "n_pasts": 1200,
74+ "n_runs": 150,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.6503049506715053,
85- "se": 0.018835577165859055
84+ "sd": 0.6488679788597603,
85+ "se": 0.018731205113160555
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
9090 "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T19:03:06Z",
93- "mean": 1.7260373812353669,
94- "n_pasts": 1192,
95- "n_runs": 149,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:55:45Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7256986722570196,
94+ "n_pasts": 1200,
95+ "n_runs": 150,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.14640238525845625,
106- "se": 0.004240431234536977
105+ "sd": 0.14638199676047564,
106+ "se": 0.0042256842617087766
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111111 "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T19:07:23Z",
114- "mean": 2.1295330880373724,
115- "n_pasts": 1192,
116- "n_runs": 149,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:57:38Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1298729731657327,
115+ "n_pasts": 1200,
116+ "n_runs": 150,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.18886356693901382,
127- "se": 0.0054702863406250486
126+ "sd": 0.1885777319516201,
127+ "se": 0.005443770215271848
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132132 "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:52:51Z",
135- "mean": 0.47863373878780957,
136- "n_pasts": 1192,
137- "n_runs": 149,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:45:07Z",
135+ "mean": 0.47971745962647844,
136+ "n_pasts": 1200,
137+ "n_runs": 150,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.23169430223301835,
147- "se": 0.006710845279731484
146+ "sd": 0.23254811306419587,
147+ "se": 0.00671308578385765
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152152 "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:57:13Z",
155- "mean": 1.441692106120236,
156- "n_pasts": 1192,
157- "n_runs": 149,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:49:58Z",
155+ "mean": 1.4417685515763319,
156+ "n_pasts": 1200,
157+ "n_runs": 150,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.19731558709200273,
167- "se": 0.0057150925313739125
166+ "sd": 0.19701722241757533,
167+ "se": 0.005687397319888974
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172172 "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:53:38Z",
175- "mean": 0.7579343913409676,
176- "n_pasts": 1192,
177- "n_runs": 149,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:46:12Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7576989374781699,
176+ "n_pasts": 1200,
177+ "n_runs": 150,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.26824264827726785,
187- "se": 0.007769439699918704
186+ "sd": 0.2685649481009169,
187+ "se": 0.007752802254048112
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192192 "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:59:53Z",
195- "mean": 1.6667948029499535,
196- "n_pasts": 1192,
197- "n_runs": 149,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:52:05Z",
195+ "mean": 1.6665310813318461,
196+ "n_pasts": 1200,
197+ "n_runs": 150,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.21051536313130884,
207- "se": 0.006097413779126488
206+ "sd": 0.21009433926394988,
207+ "se": 0.006064901166462901
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212212 "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:55:13Z",
215- "mean": 0.9924767310633966,
216- "n_pasts": 1192,
217- "n_runs": 149,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:47:32Z",
215+ "mean": 0.9923533537177514,
216+ "n_pasts": 1200,
217+ "n_runs": 150,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.1893972819331927,
227- "se": 0.005485744980370989
226+ "sd": 0.18899127023504758,
227+ "se": 0.0054557080372347015
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232232 "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:56:03Z",
235- "mean": 1.2089617695447517,
236- "n_pasts": 1192,
237- "n_runs": 149,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:48:22Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2093984402622646,
236+ "n_pasts": 1200,
237+ "n_runs": 150,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.21133238446186386,
247- "se": 0.006121078166583375
246+ "sd": 0.21091152595280632,
247+ "se": 0.006088491314202373
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:51:19Z",
255- "mean": 0.47971904053848985,
256- "n_pasts": 1192,
257- "n_runs": 149,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:43:30Z",
255+ "mean": 0.47945655258636766,
256+ "n_pasts": 1200,
257+ "n_runs": 150,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.2098318654013924,
265- "se": 0.006077616798923221
264+ "sd": 0.2092453784438102,
265+ "se": 0.006040393778560946
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:51:44Z",
273- "mean": 3.174335481842279,
274- "n_pasts": 1192,
275- "n_runs": 149,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:44:00Z",
273+ "mean": 3.1745913527109133,
274+ "n_pasts": 1200,
275+ "n_runs": 150,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.2419900421440778,
283- "se": 0.0070090533794455135
282+ "sd": 0.24164811026103933,
283+ "se": 0.006975780075418771
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:51:24Z",
291- "mean": 0.9742971339639365,
292- "n_pasts": 1192,
293- "n_runs": 149,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:43:38Z",
291+ "mean": 0.9745629751956697,
292+ "n_pasts": 1200,
293+ "n_runs": 150,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.09487977447686526,
301- "se": 0.0027481188814461946
300+ "sd": 0.09473668522445423,
301+ "se": 0.0027348125358235744
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:51:49Z",
309- "mean": 4.087939846528919,
310- "n_pasts": 1192,
311- "n_runs": 149,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:44:06Z",
309+ "mean": 4.087842347713244,
310+ "n_pasts": 1200,
311+ "n_runs": 150,
312312 "params": {
313313 "filter": "moving-average",
314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
316316 },
317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.24405539886497218,
319- "se": 0.007068874830675834
318+ "sd": 0.2434031867601221,
319+ "se": 0.007026444769878463
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:51:29Z",
327- "mean": 1.5558579368089502,
328- "n_pasts": 1192,
329- "n_runs": 149,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:43:46Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5558133824493368,
328+ "n_pasts": 1200,
329+ "n_runs": 150,
330330 "params": {
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332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.10563015190935843,
337- "se": 0.003059495203405214
336+ "sd": 0.1055246828273343,
337+ "se": 0.003046235201825567
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:51:39Z",
345- "mean": 2.3094574162426977,
346- "n_pasts": 1192,
347- "n_runs": 149,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:43:54Z",
345+ "mean": 2.3095890448336225,
346+ "n_pasts": 1200,
347+ "n_runs": 150,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.16848630262639322,
355- "se": 0.0048800747268381
354+ "sd": 0.1680275577956876,
355+ "se": 0.004850537786230781
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-16T18:51:07Z",
363- "mean": 2.1057930808324206,
364- "n_pasts": 1192,
365- "n_runs": 149,
362+ "last_utc": "2026-08-16T20:43:18Z",
363+ "mean": 2.105543638171384,
364+ "n_pasts": 1200,
365+ "n_runs": 150,
366366 "params": {
367367 "filter": "none",
368368 "sigma": 1.0
369369 },
370370 "predicted": 2.1048326603976193,
371- "sd": 0.06609606775425293,
372- "se": 0.001914421200791314
371+ "sd": 0.06609634523791028,
372+ "se": 0.0019080371357778968
373373 },
374374 {
375375 "L": 1,
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450- "n_runs": 149,
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451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.2824801052953695,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-16T19:21:00Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-16T21:03:44Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 149
469+ "total_runs": 150
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -3574,3 +3574,27 @@
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