estimates: run 15 from efed18a
3 changed files+207−183
README.mdmodified+25−25View file
@@ -21,33 +21,33 @@ Fetch it from a browser or a script (raw.githubusercontent.com sends
2121
2222 https://raw.githubusercontent.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/estimates/estimates.json
2323
24-## Current state (7 runs, generated 2026-08-02T07:26:53Z)
24+## Current state (8 runs, generated 2026-08-02T10:40:14Z)
2525
2626 | cell | sigma | M | mean | se | pasts | predicted |
2727 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
28-| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9432 | 0.0177 | 56 | 0.9513 |
29-| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5541 | 0.0340 | 56 | 2.5680 |
30-| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3401 | 0.0188 | 56 | 1.3319 |
31-| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9167 | 0.0519 | 56 | 2.9938 |
32-| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7147 | 0.0172 | 56 | 1.7342 |
33-| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1512 | 0.0385 | 56 | 2.1476 |
34-| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4705 | 0.0315 | 56 | 0.6166 |
35-| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4592 | 0.0237 | 56 | 1.4888 |
36-| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7274 | 0.0406 | 56 | 0.8251 |
37-| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6304 | 0.0304 | 56 | 1.7179 |
38-| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0179 | 0.0232 | 56 | 1.0415 |
39-| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2112 | 0.0260 | 56 | 1.2632 |
40-| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4828 | 0.0264 | 56 | 0.6100 |
41-| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.2031 | 0.0551 | 56 | 3.1777 |
42-| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9745 | 0.0123 | 56 | 0.9825 |
43-| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0635 | 0.0229 | 56 | 4.1125 |
44-| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5670 | 0.0170 | 56 | 1.5529 |
45-| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2773 | 0.0140 | 56 | 2.3064 |
46-| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.0913 | 0.0056 | 56 | 2.1048 |
47-| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9957 | 0.0485 | 56 | 6.0473 |
48-| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0561 | 0.0094 | 56 | 3.0620 |
49-| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9785 | 0.1034 | 56 | 7.0472 |
50-| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0337 | 0.0197 | 56 | 4.0508 |
51-| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0945 | 0.0430 | 56 | 5.0480 |
28+| bp300-6000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.9427 | 0.0160 | 64 | 0.9513 |
29+| bp300-6000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 2.5417 | 0.0308 | 64 | 2.5680 |
30+| bp300-6000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 1.3366 | 0.0183 | 64 | 1.3319 |
31+| bp300-6000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 2.9232 | 0.0525 | 64 | 2.9938 |
32+| bp300-6000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.7218 | 0.0164 | 64 | 1.7342 |
33+| bp300-6000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.1517 | 0.0337 | 64 | 2.1476 |
34+| lp3000_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4877 | 0.0299 | 64 | 0.6166 |
35+| lp3000_s16 | 16 | 512 | 1.4483 | 0.0228 | 64 | 1.4888 |
36+| lp3000_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.7395 | 0.0368 | 64 | 0.8251 |
37+| lp3000_s32 | 32 | 512 | 1.6310 | 0.0273 | 64 | 1.7179 |
38+| lp3000_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.0164 | 0.0212 | 64 | 1.0415 |
39+| lp3000_s8 | 8 | 512 | 1.2145 | 0.0231 | 64 | 1.2632 |
40+| ma8_s1 | 1 | 512 | 0.4787 | 0.0240 | 64 | 0.6100 |
41+| ma8_s16 | 16 | 512 | 3.2010 | 0.0488 | 64 | 3.1777 |
42+| ma8_s2 | 2 | 512 | 0.9723 | 0.0121 | 64 | 0.9825 |
43+| ma8_s32 | 32 | 512 | 4.0590 | 0.0213 | 64 | 4.1125 |
44+| ma8_s4 | 4 | 512 | 1.5639 | 0.0152 | 64 | 1.5529 |
45+| ma8_s8 | 8 | 512 | 2.2978 | 0.0180 | 64 | 2.3064 |
46+| none_s1 | 1 | 512 | 2.0945 | 0.0053 | 64 | 2.1048 |
47+| none_s16 | 16 | 512 | 5.9898 | 0.0443 | 64 | 6.0473 |
48+| none_s2 | 2 | 512 | 3.0589 | 0.0084 | 64 | 3.0620 |
49+| none_s32 | 32 | 512 | 6.9423 | 0.0954 | 64 | 7.0472 |
50+| none_s4 | 4 | 512 | 4.0305 | 0.0175 | 64 | 4.0508 |
51+| none_s8 | 8 | 512 | 5.0811 | 0.0383 | 64 | 5.0480 |
5252
5353 [wf]: https://github.com/concept-collection/timeseries-entropy/blob/main/.github/workflows/estimates.yml
estimates.jsonmodified+158−158View file
@@ -3,12 +3,12 @@
33 {
44 "L": 101,
55 "M": 512,
6- "highres_szego": -4.782567960178533,
6+ "highres_szego": -4.78256796018064,
77 "id": "bp300-6000_s1",
8- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:14:13Z",
9- "mean": 0.943224548515672,
10- "n_pasts": 56,
11- "n_runs": 7,
8+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:25:11Z",
9+ "mean": 0.942741148485376,
10+ "n_pasts": 64,
11+ "n_runs": 8,
1212 "params": {
1313 "filter": "bandpass",
1414 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -18,18 +18,18 @@
1818 "taps": 101
1919 },
2020 "predicted": 0.9512549259549268,
21- "sd": 0.13274602188600376,
22- "se": 0.017738933334093616
21+ "sd": 0.12769553476650453,
22+ "se": 0.015961941845813066
2323 },
2424 {
2525 "L": 101,
2626 "M": 512,
27- "highres_szego": -0.7825679601785338,
27+ "highres_szego": -0.7825679601806399,
2828 "id": "bp300-6000_s16",
29- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:24:29Z",
30- "mean": 2.55412459504187,
31- "n_pasts": 56,
32- "n_runs": 7,
29+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:35:49Z",
30+ "mean": 2.541727063533175,
31+ "n_pasts": 64,
32+ "n_runs": 8,
3333 "params": {
3434 "filter": "bandpass",
3535 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -39,18 +39,18 @@
3939 "taps": 101
4040 },
4141 "predicted": 2.56797969986038,
42- "sd": 0.2543590956400298,
43- "se": 0.03399016389623775
42+ "sd": 0.24657857527419832,
43+ "se": 0.03082232190927479
4444 },
4545 {
4646 "L": 101,
4747 "M": 512,
48- "highres_szego": -3.782567960178534,
48+ "highres_szego": -3.7825679601806397,
4949 "id": "bp300-6000_s2",
50- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:15:15Z",
51- "mean": 1.3401212225551233,
52- "n_pasts": 56,
53- "n_runs": 7,
50+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:27:36Z",
51+ "mean": 1.3365978013113446,
52+ "n_pasts": 64,
53+ "n_runs": 8,
5454 "params": {
5555 "filter": "bandpass",
5656 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -60,18 +60,18 @@
6060 "taps": 101
6161 },
6262 "predicted": 1.3318639472861573,
63- "sd": 0.1406497679359641,
64- "se": 0.018795115826630023
63+ "sd": 0.14603508584440686,
64+ "se": 0.018254385730550857
6565 },
6666 {
6767 "L": 101,
6868 "M": 512,
69- "highres_szego": 0.21743203982146625,
69+ "highres_szego": 0.2174320398193601,
7070 "id": "bp300-6000_s32",
71- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:26:53Z",
72- "mean": 2.9167429310878026,
73- "n_pasts": 56,
74- "n_runs": 7,
71+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:40:14Z",
72+ "mean": 2.9232342111289764,
73+ "n_pasts": 64,
74+ "n_runs": 8,
7575 "params": {
7676 "filter": "bandpass",
7777 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -81,18 +81,18 @@
8181 "taps": 101
8282 },
8383 "predicted": 2.9937688408517453,
84- "sd": 0.38825060174220966,
85- "se": 0.051882168997434516
84+ "sd": 0.42033986499782516,
85+ "se": 0.052542483124728145
8686 },
8787 {
8888 "L": 101,
8989 "M": 512,
90- "highres_szego": -2.782567960178534,
90+ "highres_szego": -2.7825679601806397,
9191 "id": "bp300-6000_s4",
92- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:17:25Z",
93- "mean": 1.7147057960951713,
94- "n_pasts": 56,
95- "n_runs": 7,
92+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:29:02Z",
93+ "mean": 1.7217787532434679,
94+ "n_pasts": 64,
95+ "n_runs": 8,
9696 "params": {
9797 "filter": "bandpass",
9898 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -102,18 +102,18 @@
102102 "taps": 101
103103 },
104104 "predicted": 1.734166393696377,
105- "sd": 0.1287603993605725,
106- "se": 0.017206332121123172
105+ "sd": 0.13135130495164116,
106+ "se": 0.016418913118955145
107107 },
108108 {
109109 "L": 101,
110110 "M": 512,
111- "highres_szego": -1.7825679601785338,
111+ "highres_szego": -1.78256796018064,
112112 "id": "bp300-6000_s8",
113- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:19:16Z",
114- "mean": 2.15115062556026,
115- "n_pasts": 56,
116- "n_runs": 7,
113+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:32:09Z",
114+ "mean": 2.1516565967823342,
115+ "n_pasts": 64,
116+ "n_runs": 8,
117117 "params": {
118118 "filter": "bandpass",
119119 "high": 6000.0,
@@ -123,18 +123,18 @@
123123 "taps": 101
124124 },
125125 "predicted": 2.1476021059762167,
126- "sd": 0.28797751809921823,
127- "se": 0.03848261456502737
126+ "sd": 0.26970977809011826,
127+ "se": 0.03371372226126478
128128 },
129129 {
130130 "L": 101,
131131 "M": 512,
132- "highres_szego": -7.756237076152649,
132+ "highres_szego": -7.756237076152647,
133133 "id": "lp3000_s1",
134- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:06:44Z",
135- "mean": 0.47050703092946294,
136- "n_pasts": 56,
137- "n_runs": 7,
134+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:15:31Z",
135+ "mean": 0.4877120998765981,
136+ "n_pasts": 64,
137+ "n_runs": 8,
138138 "params": {
139139 "filter": "lowpass",
140140 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -143,18 +143,18 @@
143143 "taps": 101
144144 },
145145 "predicted": 0.616561114498688,
146- "sd": 0.2355924156539197,
147- "se": 0.03148236079640734
146+ "sd": 0.23907946894280646,
147+ "se": 0.029884933617850808
148148 },
149149 {
150150 "L": 101,
151151 "M": 512,
152- "highres_szego": -3.7562370761526487,
152+ "highres_szego": -3.756237076152648,
153153 "id": "lp3000_s16",
154- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:11:48Z",
155- "mean": 1.459182494771277,
156- "n_pasts": 56,
157- "n_runs": 7,
154+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:22:26Z",
155+ "mean": 1.448257764329804,
156+ "n_pasts": 64,
157+ "n_runs": 8,
158158 "params": {
159159 "filter": "lowpass",
160160 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -163,18 +163,18 @@
163163 "taps": 101
164164 },
165165 "predicted": 1.4888184418209351,
166- "sd": 0.17763520025038163,
167- "se": 0.023737502113139596
166+ "sd": 0.18240181081894094,
167+ "se": 0.022800226352367618
168168 },
169169 {
170170 "L": 101,
171171 "M": 512,
172- "highres_szego": -6.756237076152649,
172+ "highres_szego": -6.756237076152647,
173173 "id": "lp3000_s2",
174- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:07:41Z",
175- "mean": 0.7273702645886552,
176- "n_pasts": 56,
177- "n_runs": 7,
174+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:16:51Z",
175+ "mean": 0.7394755944852216,
176+ "n_pasts": 64,
177+ "n_runs": 8,
178178 "params": {
179179 "filter": "lowpass",
180180 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -183,18 +183,18 @@
183183 "taps": 101
184184 },
185185 "predicted": 0.8251241884518832,
186- "sd": 0.3036560799499053,
187- "se": 0.04057775052083506
186+ "sd": 0.29444486755874877,
187+ "se": 0.036805608444843596
188188 },
189189 {
190190 "L": 101,
191191 "M": 512,
192- "highres_szego": -2.7562370761526487,
192+ "highres_szego": -2.756237076152648,
193193 "id": "lp3000_s32",
194- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:13:21Z",
195- "mean": 1.630365210537305,
196- "n_pasts": 56,
197- "n_runs": 7,
194+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:24:18Z",
195+ "mean": 1.630996405176139,
196+ "n_pasts": 64,
197+ "n_runs": 8,
198198 "params": {
199199 "filter": "lowpass",
200200 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -203,18 +203,18 @@
203203 "taps": 101
204204 },
205205 "predicted": 1.71791605587854,
206- "sd": 0.2277184942320584,
207- "se": 0.03043016378744359
206+ "sd": 0.21823803393261879,
207+ "se": 0.027279754241577348
208208 },
209209 {
210210 "L": 101,
211211 "M": 512,
212- "highres_szego": -5.756237076152649,
212+ "highres_szego": -5.756237076152647,
213213 "id": "lp3000_s4",
214- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:09:11Z",
215- "mean": 1.017929344342478,
216- "n_pasts": 56,
217- "n_runs": 7,
214+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:18:43Z",
215+ "mean": 1.0164125946548601,
216+ "n_pasts": 64,
217+ "n_runs": 8,
218218 "params": {
219219 "filter": "lowpass",
220220 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -223,18 +223,18 @@
223223 "taps": 101
224224 },
225225 "predicted": 1.04149876351225,
226- "sd": 0.17391148402410675,
227- "se": 0.023239899601557763
226+ "sd": 0.1695189806851464,
227+ "se": 0.0211898725856433
228228 },
229229 {
230230 "L": 101,
231231 "M": 512,
232- "highres_szego": -4.756237076152649,
232+ "highres_szego": -4.756237076152647,
233233 "id": "lp3000_s8",
234- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:10:08Z",
235- "mean": 1.211175553402829,
236- "n_pasts": 56,
237- "n_runs": 7,
234+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:20:18Z",
235+ "mean": 1.2145313251671774,
236+ "n_pasts": 64,
237+ "n_runs": 8,
238238 "params": {
239239 "filter": "lowpass",
240240 "high": 3000.0,
@@ -243,222 +243,222 @@
243243 "taps": 101
244244 },
245245 "predicted": 1.2631675560846525,
246- "sd": 0.19489643753155764,
247- "se": 0.026044131969495666
246+ "sd": 0.18480347075452963,
247+ "se": 0.023100433844316204
248248 },
249249 {
250250 "L": 8,
251251 "M": 512,
252252 "highres_szego": -0.9529044148193548,
253253 "id": "ma8_s1",
254- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:05:14Z",
255- "mean": 0.4828094340207895,
256- "n_pasts": 56,
257- "n_runs": 7,
254+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:12:14Z",
255+ "mean": 0.4786507400899406,
256+ "n_pasts": 64,
257+ "n_runs": 8,
258258 "params": {
259259 "filter": "moving-average",
260260 "sigma": 1.0,
261261 "width": 8
262262 },
263263 "predicted": 0.6099987154839898,
264- "sd": 0.19767237576676702,
265- "se": 0.026415082319602788
264+ "sd": 0.19229269575134642,
265+ "se": 0.024036586968918302
266266 },
267267 {
268268 "L": 8,
269269 "M": 512,
270270 "highres_szego": 3.0470955851806454,
271271 "id": "ma8_s16",
272- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:05:43Z",
273- "mean": 3.203059048756115,
274- "n_pasts": 56,
275- "n_runs": 7,
272+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:13:01Z",
273+ "mean": 3.200987330915429,
274+ "n_pasts": 64,
275+ "n_runs": 8,
276276 "params": {
277277 "filter": "moving-average",
278278 "sigma": 16.0,
279279 "width": 8
280280 },
281281 "predicted": 3.1776500292335506,
282- "sd": 0.4122779966748915,
283- "se": 0.055092964702248934
282+ "sd": 0.3903976988246931,
283+ "se": 0.04879971235308664
284284 },
285285 {
286286 "L": 8,
287287 "M": 512,
288288 "highres_szego": 0.04709558518064521,
289289 "id": "ma8_s2",
290- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:05:26Z",
291- "mean": 0.9744898997488909,
292- "n_pasts": 56,
293- "n_runs": 7,
290+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:12:24Z",
291+ "mean": 0.972312335463812,
292+ "n_pasts": 64,
293+ "n_runs": 8,
294294 "params": {
295295 "filter": "moving-average",
296296 "sigma": 2.0,
297297 "width": 8
298298 },
299299 "predicted": 0.9825176804091631,
300- "sd": 0.0921123724129917,
301- "se": 0.01230903352329795
300+ "sd": 0.09712488601283725,
301+ "se": 0.012140610751604657
302302 },
303303 {
304304 "L": 8,
305305 "M": 512,
306306 "highres_szego": 4.047095585180645,
307307 "id": "ma8_s32",
308- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:05:52Z",
309- "mean": 4.063536427486452,
310- "n_pasts": 56,
311- "n_runs": 7,
308+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:13:06Z",
309+ "mean": 4.058964351080207,
310+ "n_pasts": 64,
311+ "n_runs": 8,
312312 "params": {
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314314 "sigma": 32.0,
315315 "width": 8
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317317 "predicted": 4.112486639362294,
318- "sd": 0.17105531517356887,
319- "se": 0.022858227984504594
318+ "sd": 0.17035379367663994,
319+ "se": 0.021294224209579993
320320 },
321321 {
322322 "L": 8,
323323 "M": 512,
324324 "highres_szego": 1.0470955851806452,
325325 "id": "ma8_s4",
326- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:05:33Z",
327- "mean": 1.567017864037041,
328- "n_pasts": 56,
329- "n_runs": 7,
326+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:12:30Z",
327+ "mean": 1.5638552433576498,
328+ "n_pasts": 64,
329+ "n_runs": 8,
330330 "params": {
331331 "filter": "moving-average",
332332 "sigma": 4.0,
333333 "width": 8
334334 },
335335 "predicted": 1.5529090070448803,
336- "sd": 0.12696428122693879,
337- "se": 0.016966315739614983
336+ "sd": 0.12177506935341885,
337+ "se": 0.015221883669177356
338338 },
339339 {
340340 "L": 8,
341341 "M": 512,
342342 "highres_szego": 2.0470955851806454,
343343 "id": "ma8_s8",
344- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:05:39Z",
345- "mean": 2.277282749707685,
346- "n_pasts": 56,
347- "n_runs": 7,
344+ "last_utc": "2026-08-02T10:12:53Z",
345+ "mean": 2.297773733317976,
346+ "n_pasts": 64,
347+ "n_runs": 8,
348348 "params": {
349349 "filter": "moving-average",
350350 "sigma": 8.0,
351351 "width": 8
352352 },
353353 "predicted": 2.3064317412363535,
354- "sd": 0.1050456408042104,
355- "se": 0.014037314209409858
354+ "sd": 0.14366048624642028,
355+ "se": 0.017957560780802535
356356 },
357357 {
358358 "L": 1,
359359 "M": 512,
360360 "highres_szego": 2.047095585180641,
361361 "id": "none_s1",
362- "last_utc": "2026-08-02T07:05:04Z",
363- "mean": 2.0912805292526224,
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450- "n_runs": 7,
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451451 "params": {
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455455 "predicted": 5.048034228800837,
456- "sd": 0.3214430790347331,
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456+ "sd": 0.3065121933498882,
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458458 }
459459 ],
460460 "estimand": "H(z_{M+1} | z_1..z_M) in bits/sample, for x ~ iid N(0, sigma^2) -> y = h * x -> z = round(y)",
461- "generated": "2026-08-02T07:26:53Z",
461+ "generated": "2026-08-02T10:40:14Z",
462462 "settings": {
463463 "n0": 128,
464464 "pasts_per_run": 8,
@@ -466,5 +466,5 @@
466466 "reps": 8,
467467 "thin": "auto"
468468 },
469- "total_runs": 7
469+ "total_runs": 8
470470 }
runs.jsonlmodified+24−0View file
@@ -166,3 +166,27 @@
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